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swfc

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Everything posted by swfc

  1. swfc
    Yes but the background signals don't have a specific influence on any specific date? If there was a SSW taking place then maybe the lag time after "could" indicate via the nhp or models a chance of northern blocking. As always the uk being in its location always walks a thin line. As catacol said it may or may not happen inclusive of background signals. I mentioned the wheels not coming of becsuse the output never had them on
  2. swfc
    Evening. Not sure about the wheels coming off its the 9th of December? I've not seen any runs this week that showed a strong push of heighths high up into Greenland. High over the uk and way out in fi atlantic ridge. A dry spell will be most welcome by a lot of folk.
  3. swfc
    Indeed. If you also look to the far nne the arctic high and residual heights are not evident on the gfs 6z
  4. swfc
    Yep its becoming a joke. Theres also the ",dickension" frosty high.
  5. swfc
    Fantastic we have time travel forecasts
  6. swfc
    The old adage anything over 144 hrs seems not to resinate if its showing a sign of blocking and anything wintry. Its works if were in a position of a westerly flow. Best hang fire see what the next 7 days brings on the mo/nhp. Looks good on the background signals but relax a bit on meto/bbc longe range outlook
  7. swfc
    Thanks pal, it's becoming repetitive
  8. swfc
    Yep. Not a bad place to be is it
  9. swfc
    Not sure how this adds to the model output tbh. Anyway give it ten to 14 days, all will be revealed
  10. swfc
    Yes it looks dry which is great. I find it amazing on the other side if its showing a great output at 240 hours it's awsome. If it's showing a dank ssw flow then the max on the mo is 72/144 hours
  11. swfc
    Tbh there's nothing on the current output that screams a cold run up to Xmas. Background signals, mfi, b and q and a ikea dont bring a cold spell and snow ie Xmas week. The actual chances are a bit higher without my inept sarcism but the touted blocking to the north west is a mile away
  12. swfc
    Bit early day 10 max?
  13. swfc
    Were currently flooded st wise in Sheffield. Thats without the river don sorry if it's of topic. Uto
  14. swfc
    Yes 1050mb hopefully moves a bit south west later in December
  15. swfc
    Still snowing here in outibridge. Been a good couple of days
  16. swfc
    Struggling a bit with some of the knee cherk comments on here. Decent cold spell "snow in many areas" and look at the date. Eqbo, strat under pressure, temps at 10pha looking good and know raging pv and cod.
  17. swfc
    Freezing rain here with a bit of snow
  18. swfc
    Just a variation of the same "hopefully" same theme going forward. Seen many worse nhp
  19. swfc
    Tbh Nws was making a point about going forward, not really picking any bones.
  20. swfc
    Morning. We have a good covering of snow here atm and very cold. My only moan would my gas meter spinning around like a hamster wheel. Jeez what a rip off
  21. swfc
    Does it only run out to 144 hrs
  22. swfc
    Pre 170hrs the second low leaving the Esb on the back of the low in the Atlantic brings in s west to east flow ie Atlantic
  23. swfc
    Strange that has things look a bit off at the 150 hr msrk, for the worst
  24. swfc
    At what timescale
  25. swfc
    Its just a small run varience. Its to ne expected tbh
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