Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

frosty ground

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,589

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

 Content Type 

Everything posted by frosty ground

  1. frosty ground
    Not sure there is any support for any snowfall next week as the uppers are once again to high, they do drop back below zero but the air then is atlantic sourced and is there fore not a classic undercut.
  2. frosty ground
    The 06z Run with lots of cold air over northern Scandi.
  3. frosty ground
    O no the Extended EPS have changed again, is almost like they change day to day like all the other extended models and ensembles forecast.,
  4. frosty ground
    I must of missed the post declaribg the GFS the best model.....
  5. frosty ground
    It was obvious what was going to happen on the 144 chart....
  6. frosty ground
    The Met Office have described the high as a cold block......, Is that an accurate description to me it looks like a standard ridge thrown up with Cold air going down its eastern flank, had the ridge been thrown up over the Atlantic it would be described as a toppler. Speaking of topplers
  7. frosty ground
    The Azores high is just about to ridge in the raise height over Europe..... not a great chart really
  8. frosty ground
    Something to look forward to.
  9. frosty ground
    Judging by the output so far I think we can dismiss any possabillty of any sort of snowfall next week, any encroachment of the Atlantic over the UK will be met with Warm uppers and rain. Freezing rain if the surface is cold enough for a time.
  10. frosty ground
    GEM has left the party, Warm uppers and the Block sulks away East.,
  11. frosty ground
    Those uppers are warm but at the surface I think it would be slightly colder.
  12. frosty ground
    The risk of one or more Snowfalls from the mobile period.
  13. frosty ground
    Now that's what we want to see
  14. frosty ground
    To warm fo any snow.
  15. frosty ground
    Had the uppers been lower you may have seen some snow of that, but all models now agree on (or have converged upon) the uppers being to warm for any battleground type setup (at least a wintry one) Ensemble Member 1 has a better go at it
  16. frosty ground
    @Steve Murr expected an 80% swing from the GFS towards the other models i would say that was a good call but its the other 20% swing from the other models that have killed the cold chances. As for which model won.... well if its cold vs not cold then the GFS won but if you actually examine it then you can see that the GFS struggled the most but as i and a few others have stated there was always going to be a convergence
  17. frosty ground
    But its the movement of the other models that makes it a non event.
  18. frosty ground
    But that swing to the GFS has removed the chance of Block in a good position to around zero! Has it has been said many times by many people No one Model is ever right hat far out and what we always see is a convergence, unfortunately in this case any movement away from the GEM/ECM/UKM leads to not much of anything.
  19. frosty ground
    And if a front hits those uppers its going to be rain
  20. frosty ground
    Not really, But the movement of the high from 120 to 144 is north
  21. frosty ground
    The Jet is not Curving back, So the Block will get pushed East / South East. It is worth noting that the Northern arm of the Jet has a more vertical look to it over iceland.
  22. frosty ground
    The Low over Spain is further east and the Heights are lower, if you wan to see a decent Easterly blast you need both Low heights and Low Pressure to be closer to Italy.
  23. frosty ground
    Any Links? Never Mind seen it now
  24. frosty ground
    AKA the Extended EPS has changed yet again.
  25. frosty ground
    Ensemble 1 shows what we want from the Jet, Curved back South West.
×
×
  • Create New...