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frosty ground

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Everything posted by frosty ground

  1. Potential snow maker beyond 240, atlantic system moving into arctic air thats over the UK
  2. Bigger Ridge in the Atlantic Uppers are now getting mixed out but its what follows that is of interest.
  3. Not sure that's the case.... I think each situation is unique. Plenty of time the cold gets moderated only to regain strength near the time.
  4. Still looking cold on the UK, but a more stable flow (no disturbances) Plenty to look out for nearer the time.
  5. Looks like we are getting a runner on this.... A wave developing on the southern flank.
  6. by 192 heights over the pole are positive and the PV is in pieces
  7. There is a reason NWS is stating NW Britain, and this may shock you...... He basically stating what the models show, its almost as if hes actually using this thread for its intended purpose.
  8. Snow in the form of showers 5 days plus away and the BBC don't mention snow.... well thats shocking
  9. Wow thats a nats private parts differene looks awful
  10. When you posted this the GFS was out to about 84 hours and 48 hours away from the first signs of the colder weather. The differene at 102 is almost non existent
  11. What is being forcast next wrek is not your typical westerly it is cold from top to bottom and will kick of some serioulsy big and probably thundary showers.
  12. That wave could devlop into a real winter storm..... or if it stays shallow bring a lot of snow to the northern edge. An interesting spell of weater is on offer.... even if the uppets arent snow makong there must be a possabillaty of some real heavy thundery showers.
  13. Day 10 Much colder air over Europe on this attempt.
  14. The GFS is below -6 for most 95% of the UK is under -5 UKM has a smaller area of -6 over northern England.
  15. The UKM is under -5 especially for the Greater Manchester area. Cold for for snow with elevation...... Plus any shower activity is going to pack a punch and drag temps down. Also the reply you replied to quoted both GFS and UKM.
  16. The GFS is sticking to its guns As is the UKM
  17. Most if not all Ensembles dig the Low south east into Europe. Some develop a wave/secondary low that creates the chances of some heavy snowfall.
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