frosty ground
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Everything posted by frosty ground
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Potential snow maker beyond 240, atlantic system moving into arctic air thats over the UK- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No interesting charts until day 8.....- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Bigger Ridge in the Atlantic Uppers are now getting mixed out but its what follows that is of interest.- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not sure that's the case.... I think each situation is unique. Plenty of time the cold gets moderated only to regain strength near the time.- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Still looking cold on the UK, but a more stable flow (no disturbances) Plenty to look out for nearer the time.- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like we are getting a runner on this.... A wave developing on the southern flank.- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
by 192 heights over the pole are positive and the PV is in pieces- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
By the time we get to next wednesday.- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There is a reason NWS is stating NW Britain, and this may shock you...... He basically stating what the models show, its almost as if hes actually using this thread for its intended purpose.- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A north easterly would be nice- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Snow in the form of showers 5 days plus away and the BBC don't mention snow.... well thats shocking- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wow thats a nats private parts differene looks awful- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
When you posted this the GFS was out to about 84 hours and 48 hours away from the first signs of the colder weather. The differene at 102 is almost non existent- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That wave could devlop into a real winter storm..... or if it stays shallow bring a lot of snow to the northern edge. An interesting spell of weater is on offer.... even if the uppets arent snow makong there must be a possabillaty of some real heavy thundery showers.- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Day 10 Much colder air over Europe on this attempt.- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The GFS 12Z Run is colder for longer Vs06z- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The GFS is below -6 for most 95% of the UK is under -5 UKM has a smaller area of -6 over northern England.- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The UKM is under -5 especially for the Greater Manchester area. Cold for for snow with elevation...... Plus any shower activity is going to pack a punch and drag temps down. Also the reply you replied to quoted both GFS and UKM.- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
not in my back yard- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is it?- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The GFS is sticking to its guns As is the UKM- 2,572 replies
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
frosty ground replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
CFS -
Model output discussion - mid-winter
frosty ground replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Most if not all Ensembles dig the Low south east into Europe. Some develop a wave/secondary low that creates the chances of some heavy snowfall.- 2,572 replies
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