frosty ground
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Everything posted by frosty ground
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I mean it could be dry, and it’s worth mentioning this if the ops show this, but like you said there plenty of evidence that it might not be. a poster last week said a setup would bring 20cm of snow into the south east via streamers, but when confronted with a chart that showed nothing of the sort the same poster said this is what you would expect from this setup. Now the same poster is saying it’s going to be dry based purely on the GFS run contradiction previous stances.
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Not sure how many more time you can basically write it’s going to be dry. i think we get it now. we've gone from storm of the century to dry as a desert, i now forecast change with new data but maybe just maybe we dial it back a bit. looking at a few operation 5 days and dismissing unexpected features about 6 times in one morning is a bit much.
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
frosty ground replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
frosty ground replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS is changing in the mid term but it’s sticking to a collapsing GH, it won’t be the first time the GFS has called it correctly but we usually end up in a meeting if the models a half way house. ECM UKM and GFS to change places in the morning -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
frosty ground replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
frosty ground replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
frosty ground replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
frosty ground replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
frosty ground replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yeah it’s been there in one form or another, details change so comes and goes -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
frosty ground replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
frosty ground replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep it’s been there for ages, this is not a new feature -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
frosty ground replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
the one that’s slightly more developed than the last run and a bit further south that has been showing on lots of runs since 240? -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
frosty ground replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Check that against the uppers in places like Europe, not even remotely correct or worth paying attention to. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
frosty ground replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The milder sector and the short wave has been on and off all runs around this time frame for days now, I see the low delveloping and moving south and reintroducing the colder air. This mild sector will probably be squashed as we approach day dot -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
frosty ground replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I meant low as well. yes the low moves in, in all three models sorry I clearly misread your post