Stuart

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Good luck paul

at last it snowing in Ardersier

last week I not see any snow bar rain hope better luck this time

Thanks for the head up paul

UK Outlook for Sunday 1 Nov 2015 to Sunday 15 Nov 2015: The weather for November looks most likely to remain changeable and parts of northwestern UK will to continue to see the bulk of the wet and windy weather, with a continued risk of gales. The southeast should have the best of the drier and more settled weather, although occasional showers or spells of rain are possible just about anywhere. Unsettled spells, however, are still likely to be interspersed with drier, brighter and less windy interludes, even in the far northwest although here they may be rather brief. Temperatures look likely to be around the seasonal average, with milder spells interspersed by chilly nights in the more settled periods. Updated at: 0501 on Sun 18 Oct 2015 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 22 Oct 2015 to Saturday 31 Oct 2015: The weather looks to be changeable across the UK during this period. Showers or longer spells of rain and stronger winds, are expected to arrive from the west or northwest at times, with the bulk of the rainfall expected here, and generally drier conditions further south and east. Due to the increasing winds gales are possible in the far north and over hills further south. These unsettled periods, however, will be interspersed by drier, brighter, interludes, with these most likely for southern and eastern parts, although brief settled spells are possible elsewhere as well. Temperatures are expected to be milder than of late, although some chilly nights, with fog or frost in the morning, are still possible in the quieter periods. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

TheWeatherOutlook says The fourth update suggests a slightly increased chance of a White Christmas in both the north and south. The reasons for this are: 1) Updates to some of the long range anomaly charts which now suggest a higher chance of below average temperatures affecting the UK during the winter months. This may be due to the persistence of below average Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) in the North Atlantic. 2) The current lack of activity in the North Atlantic suggesting the possibility of cold periods during the second half of the autumnmixed start to September with temperatures below the Central England Temperature (CET) during the first half of the month. Anecdotal evidence during recent decades suggests warm Septembers are often followed by milder winters bringing less snowfall. Despite 1 and 2, moderate or strong El Nino conditions are expected to continue beyond Christmas and the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) is expected to be in a westerly phase. Both of these factors are thought to favour milder and more unsettled weather, although recent discussion raises uncertainty about the impact of the El Nino. The temperature anomaly charts possibly indicate colder spells being more likely to come from the north west and north rather than east. This would mean snow is more probable in the northern half of the UK. Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 20% South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 12% Forecast issued Update 4, 10/10/2015 The computer says [issued 10/10/2015 16:10:03]The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right? It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south. Cold but dry conditions are expected in Wales Snow is expected in the Midlands Snow is expected in the north Cold but dry conditions are expected in Scotland Cold but dry conditions are expected in Northern Ireland Cold but dry conditions are expected in the Republic of Ireland Snow is expected in the Netherlands http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast

TheWeatherOutlook says The third update makes no changes to the chances of a White Christmas in both the north and south but the chances are considered slightly higher now than when the updates started at the beginning of September. The reasons for this are: 1) Updates to some of the long range anomaly charts which now suggest a higher chance of below average temperatures affecting the UK during the winter months. This may be due to the persistence of below average Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) in the North Atlantic. 2) The mixed start to September with temperatures below the Central England Temperature (CET) during the first half of the month. Anecdotal evidence during recent decades suggests warm Septembers are often followed by milder winters bringing less snowfall. Despite 1 and 2, moderate or strong El Nino conditions are expected to continue beyond Christmas and the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) is expected to be in a westerly phase. Both of these factors are thought to favour milder and more unsettled weather, although recent discussion raises uncertainty about the impact of the El Nino. The temperature anomaly charts possibly indicate colder spells being more likely to come from the north west and north rather than east. This would mean snow is more probable in the northern half of the UK. Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 18% South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 10% Forecast issued Update 3, 26/09/2015 The computer says [issued 27/09/2015 10:13:43] The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right? It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south. It's expected to be too mild for snow in Wales. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Midlands. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north. Snow is expected in Scotland It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Netherlands. http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast -

TheWeatherOutlook says The second update increases the chances of a White Christmas in both the north and south. The reasons for this are: 1) Updates to some of the long range anomaly charts which now suggest a higher chance of below average temperatures affecting the UK during the winter months. This may be due to the persistence of below average Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) in the North Atlantic. 2) The mixed start to September with temperatures below the Central England Temperature (CET) during the first half of the month. Anecdotal evidence during recent decades suggests warm Septembers are often followed by milder winters bringing less snowfall. Despite 1 and 2, moderate or strong El Nino conditions are expected to continue beyond Christmas and the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) is expected to be in a westerly phase. Both of these factors are thought to favour milder and more unsettled weather, although recent discussion raises uncertainty about the impact of the El Nino. The temperature anomaly charts possibly indicate colder spells being more likely to come from the north west and north rather than east. This would mean snow is more probable in the northern half of the UK. Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 18% South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 10% Forecast issued Update 2, 19/09/2015 The computer says [issued 21/09/2015 16:18:38]The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right? It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south. It's expected to be too mild for snow in Wales. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Midlands. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north. Cold conditions in Scotland are expected. Marginal for rain or snow. It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland. It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland. Cold but dry conditions are expected in the Netherlands http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast

Hope Paul don't mind TheWeatherOutlook says The meteorological autumn has only just begun and December 25th is still well over three months away so at this stage it's too early to gauge how the autumn is playing out. Current indications are for a good deal of high pressure dominated weather during September as has often seemed to be the case in the last couple of decades. Moderate or strong El Nino conditions are expected to continue beyond Christmas and the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) is expected to be in a westerly phase. Both of these factors are thought to favour milder and more unsettled weather. North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) are below normal to the south of Greenland and west of the UK so this could help to reduce the strength of the jet stream which would favour colder and drier spells. Given the current overview there is little at this stage to suggest a greater than average chance of a White Christmas this year in the UK. In this scenario the best chance of seeing snow would usually be over high ground in the north. Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 14% South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 7% Forecast issued Update 1, 05/09/2015 The computer says [issued 05/09/2015 16:32:42]The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right? It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south. Cold but dry conditions are expected in Wales Cold but dry conditions are expected in the Midlands It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north. Snow is expected in Scotland It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland. Cold but dry conditions are expected in the Republic of Ireland It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Netherlands. http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast

hope there make it up here 2night

UK Outlook for Sunday 6 Sep 2015 to Sunday 20 Sep 2015: The more settled conditions should continue across much of the country for the first few days, although cooler and showery weather could push into the far northwest at times, with occasional periods of stronger winds. As the month progresses it is likely that settled conditions are expected to break down, heralding the possible return of showers or longer periods of rain. The southeast is least likely to see any heavy rain, with longer drier spells likely here. Generally warm at first, especially in the southeast. It may well turn cooler as we go towards mid September, especially with the possible return of wetter and windier weather. Updated at: 1240 on Sat 22 Aug 2015 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 27 Aug 2015 to Saturday 5 Sep 2015: Further spells of rain are likely to spread across all parts of the UK, interspersed with drier conditions although showers are possible at times. Scotland, western England and Northern Ireland could see occasional outbreaks of heavy rain along with strong winds, and even a chance of gales around exposed coasts. Eastern parts in contrast should be broadly drier, but patchy light rain may make it across from the west at times. Towards the end of August and start of September conditions should become less unsettled across the country, with driest weather most likely in the southeast. Temperatures throughout the period are expected to remain near normal for most, perhaps becoming very warm at times in the southeast, especially around the end of August. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

it still a bit uncertain if it will make it up to me

yes still hammering down here but don't hear any more thunder since about 5pm

had a lovely thunderstorm here

well tomorrow looking not to bad here there a risk but you Know my luck I will miss out

UK Outlook for Sunday 23 Aug 2015 to Sunday 6 Sep 2015: The most likely scenario is largely warm and settled weather across the southern half of the United Kingdom, but there remains a small risk of isolated thunderstorms spreading from the near continent into southern England at times. Further north, it is more likely to be cooler and breezier with spells of rain, particularly across western Scotland. Temperatures are expected to be generally near average, but slightly below normal in the far northwest, and rather above normal in the far southeast. Updated at: 1209 on Sat 08 Aug 2015 http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 13 Aug 2015 to Saturday 22 Aug 2015: Predominantly fine and warm, although it is expected to be generally cool and cloudy with outbreaks of rain and showers at times towards the north and west of Scotland. Towards the south and east of England, it is expected to become very warm, with increasing humidity from the continent bringing the threat of outbreaks of heavy rain, perhaps turning thundery at times. It is likely that the weekend will see a rather cool and changeable regime becoming established across the northwestern half of the United Kingdom, making for some wet and breezy weather here at times. For the southeastern half of the country, a few showers at times, but on the whole predominantly warm and fair, with temperatures rather above average http://www.metoffice...eather/forecast

UK Outlook for Monday 17 Aug 2015 to Monday 31 Aug 2015: The changeable theme is likely to continue for much of the UK to the end of August with wet and windy conditions at times, particularly in the north and west of the UK. Southern and eastern parts will continue to see the best of any drier and brighter spells, although there is still a risk of rain or showers here at times. There is a weak signal for some periods of drier and more settled weather to develop towards the end of the month, however confidence in this is currently low. Temperatures on the whole will be near or below average for the time of year, especially in the north, although during any more settled spells of weather it could turn warmer at times in the southeast. Updated at: 1233 on Sun 02 Aug 2015 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Friday 7 Aug 2015 to Sunday 16 Aug 2015: Friday and Saturday are likely to be unsettled, with showers or longer spells, of rain. The rain being most persistent in the north and west, where it will be windy at times. The southeast could stay largely dry although there is the risk of some thundery showers here. Through the rest of the period, westerly or south-westerly winds will push bands of rain or showers across the country at times, interspersed by some drier and brighter interludes. The wettest and windiest weather occurring in the north and west, with the south seeing the best of the brighter weather. Temperatures will range from rather cool in the northwest, to near normal in the east, although there is the chance of some very warm interludes in the southeast. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Sunday 16 Aug 2015 to Sunday 30 Aug 2015: The unsettled theme is likely to continue for much of the UK to the end of August with wet and windy conditions at times, particularly in the north and west of the UK. Southern and eastern parts will continue to see the best of any drier and brighter spells, although there is still a risk of rain or showers here at times. There is a weak signal for some periods of drier and more settled weather to develop towards the end of the month, however confidence in this is currently low. Temperatures on the whole will be near or below average for the time of year, especially in the north, although during any more settled spells of weather it could turn warmer at times in the southeast. Updated at: 1207 on Sat 01 Aug 2015 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

UK Outlook for Thursday 6 Aug 2015 to Saturday 15 Aug 2015: Unsettled and often wet conditions are expected to persist in the north on Thursday with southeastern parts having the greatest chance of staying dry with some sunshine, although there is a risk of some thundery showers here later in the day. Generally drier and brighter on Friday, particularly in the southeast. Conditions will then remain generally unsettled with bands of rain, accompanied by strong winds, pushing in from the west at times. These will be interspersed with more showery conditions with the southeast seeing the best of any drier weather. Temperatures are likely to range from rather cool in the north and west to nearer normal in the south and east, although some transient warm spells are possible in the southeast at times http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

I think it a bit early talking about Autumn