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Stuart

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Everything posted by Stuart

  1. not head any thunder here but had torrential rain
  2. UK Outlook for Saturday 18 Jun 2016 to Saturday 2 Jul 2016: Through much of the second half of June it is likely to be rather unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain, mainly affecting northern and western parts, though some rain is possible across southern and eastern areas too. There will continue to be a risk of some heavy and perhaps thundery outbreaks at times, though there should still be some drier and brighter intervals in between. Towards the end of the month the latest indications are that the drier and brighter conditions which will be more prevalent across southern and eastern parts, could spread northwards to give a more settled end to the month. Temperatures generally near or just above average in the north and warm in the south, where it may turn very warm at times. Updated at: 1220 on Fri 3 Jun 2016 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/mobile/forecast/gcpvj0v07
  3. UK Outlook for Wednesday 8 Jun 2016 to Friday 17 Jun 2016: Many places seeing further dry, bright and warm, or very warm weather through the middle part of next week, but also some potentially heavy, thundery showers breaking out. Towards the end of next week we should start to see a change to more generally unsettled, and somewhat cooler weather with more organised bands of rain attempting to cross from the west, along with breezier conditions. Eastern and southeastern areas are likely to hold on to the fine, warmer conditions longest, but may also see some thunderstorms. This more unsettled weather accompanied by a northwest/southeast split is expected to continue through mid-June with the more unsettled conditions in the northwest, and drier, brighter conditions in the southeast. Updated at: 1219 on Fri 3 Jun 2016 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/mobile/forecast/gcpvj0v07
  4. UK Outlook for Thursday 16 Jun 2016 to Thursday 30 Jun 2016: It should start mainly dry in the north and northeast, but for most the middle of June is likely to be unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain. These are likely to be heavy and thundery at times, with the west and southwest probably experiencing the most unsettled conditions at first, but there should also be some drier and brighter intervals in between. Later in the month the latest indications are that it will be changeable, with all areas likely to see rain at times, but with northern areas most likely to have the most rain and the south the best of any drier, brighter weather. Temperatures generally near or just above average in the north and warm in the south, where it may turn very warm at times. Updated at: 1258 on Wed 1 Jun 2016 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/mobile/forecast/gcpvj0v07
  5. UK Outlook for Monday 6 Jun 2016 to Wednesday 15 Jun 2016: High pressure to the north of the UK will bring settled weather for northern parts on Monday and Tuesday, with showers developing across some western parts and in the south with showers here turning heavy and thundery. Through the week it will become unsettled with an increased risk of showers or thunderstorms for most and perhaps a more organised band of thunderstorms pushing north across southern parts. Despite this unsettled spell, it will become warm for all and perhaps very warm and humid in the south. This trend to unsettled conditions looks likely to continue into the weekend and following week with heavy showers or longer spells of rain pushing east and northeastern parts seeing more in the way of drier, settled conditions. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/mobile/forecast/gcpvj0v07
  6. looking forward to today as things are now kicking off
  7. let see if we can get our 2nd storm the year had a weeee storm on sat afternoon
  8. Day 2 Convective Outlook VALID 06:00 UTC Fri 20 May 2016 - 05:59 UTC Sat 21 May 2016 ISSUED 19:36 UTC Thu 19 May 2016 ISSUED BY: Chris A post-cold frontal environment will provide modest cold air aloft and along with surface heating could generate a few isolated to scattered heavy showers during the afternoon on Friday. CAPE values are small and lapse rates are marginal so the risk of lightning remains in the 5-10% region across this area. http://www.convective.weatherquest.co.uk/forecast.php?date=2016-05-20
  9. Day 2 Convective Outlook VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 18 May 2016 - 05:59 UTC Thu 19 May 2016 ISSUED 19:03 UTC Tue 17 May 2016 ISSUED BY: Chris Post cold-frontal convection is expected to develop widely across the British Isles through Wednesday as an upper low and subsequent broad cold pool aloft will aid convection capable of producing a few lightning strikes across much of southern Scotland, eastern Ireland and northern and eastern England. However, overall instability will be weak, meaning the potential of lightning will remain low. The greatest potential for thunderstorms on Wednesday will be across the Welsh-English border and much of the West Midlands and parts of south-central and southwestern England. After the morning cold front clears eastwards cold air aloft will spread across the region and combined with some sunny spells/surface heating, CAPE values will reach 500-700 j/kg. Convection should initiate just before midday in the western edge of the SLGT area and shift eastwards through the afternoon. Overall shear remains relatively weak therefore showers and thunderstorms will be mainly of the pulse variety and thus severe weather and the chance of any significant hail is unlikely. Brief heavier downpours on ground that will have had rain earlier in the day could produce some very localised flash flooding, mainly in the SLGT region. All showers will be diurnal in nature and will become more isolated after 1800BST and fading away between 1900-2000BST. http://www.convective.weatherquest.co.uk/forecast.php?date=2016-05-18
  10. Day 2 Convective Outlook VALID 06:00 UTC Fri 13 May 2016 - 05:59 UTC Sat 14 May 2016 ISSUED 18:22 UTC Thu 12 May 2016 ISSUED BY: Dan A sharpening upper trough will dig southwards across the North Sea, while a surface cold front slides southwestwards across Britain through Friday. Ahead of this front, sufficient insolation and sea breeze convergence will be the main trigger for isolated showers with a couple of thunderstorms possible, particularly close to southern coasts in the highlighted areas where onshore flow / convergence is maximised. Lapse rates are a little steeper, but dewpoints lower, compared with Thursday so overall lightning frequency will probably be less per individual shower/storm in comparison. DLS does increase, though, from the north later as a northerly jet digs in around the western periphery of the upper trough. Overall severe threat is quite minimal, with perhaps just some small hail from the most intense cores, with the main threat being minor surface water issues from heavy downpours. http://www.convectiveweather.co.uk/forecast.php?date=2016-05-13
  11. FRI 29 APR 2016: UPDATE 10:24 UTC Low-end (near 30% chance) SLGTs added to highlight areas with greatest potential for lightning activity. Over England, instability is greatest across Midlands/West Country to The Wash, but with much stronger shear to the SE, and hence the extension of the SLGT into SE England where DLS may compensate for lower CAPE http://www.convectiveweather.co.uk/
  12. had some thunder with some hail this morning I hate getting woken up with thunder
  13. UK Outlook for Thursday 12 May 2016 to Thursday 26 May 2016: There are uncertainties in conditions for the second half of May, although the most likely scenario is for northwestern parts to have more in the way of unsettled weather with showers, merging into longer spells of rain at times, and some brightness. Southeastern parts look to see the best of the drier and brighter conditions, particularly at the start of this period. Temperatures are likely to stay near, or just below average, but it will feel warm on the sunnier days, especially in the south. Updated at: 1206 on Wed 27 Apr 2016 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast
  14. UK Outlook for Monday 2 May 2016 to Wednesday 11 May 2016: Bank Holiday Monday is expected to be cloudy and windy with outbreaks of rain. These are likely to be heaviest and most persistent in the north and west, where there is also a risk of gales. The rain should clear eastwards to be followed by sunshine and showers on Tuesday. The second half of next week through to the middle of May is expected to be changeable with showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed with some dry and bright interludes. The rain being heaviest and most persistent in the northwest, with the chance of high pressure building across the south giving a mainly dry and sunnier spell. Temperatures probably near average, perhaps warm in the south. Updated at: 1206 on Wed 27 Apr 2016 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast
  15. WED 27 APR 2016: A SLIGHT chance of thunderstorms: Broad upper low resides across the North Sea on Wednesday, with cold mid-levels overspreading relatively warm SSTs and combining with diurnal heating inland to create a deeply unstable airmass. Another day of scattered showers and a few weakly-electrified thunderstorms is expected, lightning activity particularly focussed along zones of low-level convergence encompassed by the SLGT. Very steep lapse rates suggests that multiple events of graupel/small hail are likely, and with lighter winds than on Tuesday, showers/storms will tend to be much slower moving and thus pose a threat for some local minor surface water issues. http://www.convectiveweather.co.uk/
  16. SAT 16 APR 2016: A LOW chance of thunderstorms: A notably cold Arctic airmass will spread south, with scattered showers in the post-frontal environment which may produce some isolated lightning and small hail, falling as sleet or snow over high ground. http://www.convectiveweather.co.uk/
  17. Day 2 Convective Outlook VALID 06:00 UTC Sat 09 Apr 2016 - 05:59 UTC Sun 10 Apr 2016 ISSUED 19:53 UTC Fri 08 Apr 2016 ISSUED BY: Dan Notably cold airmass spreads across most of the British Isles behind a northwards/eastwards-moving occlusion, as a broad upper low slides SEwards from the Atlantic towards west of Biscay. In a deeply unstable airmass, especially so to diurnal heating, numerous showers are expected with a few thunderstorms, especially across Ireland where low-level convergence and very steep lapse rates will aid in shower/thunderstorm development. One precluding factor across Ireland is the lack of any significant shear, with pulse-type showers/storms the most likely mode, but also scope for shower-training and some local surface water issues given the rather slack setup. Elsewhere, instability is weaker but shear much stronger, allowing cells to perhaps get better organised and hence a broad LOW threat level for lightning. Some small hail is likely in any stronger cells, perhaps even a brief spell of snow (especially in Ireland and to high ground elsewhere). http://www.convectiveweather.co.uk/forecast.php?date=2016-04-09
  18. UK Outlook for Tuesday 12 Apr 2016 to Thursday 21 Apr 2016: An unsettled period for most with many areas likely to see showers or longer spells of rain. These are expected to be heavy at times with a risk of hail and thunder, and maybe some snow over northern hills. There should also be some drier interludes, with the far north expected to see the best of these. Winds are likely to be strongest in the north at first with gales possible, but will vary markedly with both light and strong winds possible at times anywhere. A wide variation in temperatures is expected, predominantly warmer than average in the south, to rather cold in the north, although feeling chilly anywhere in periods of rain and strong winds. Updated at: 1317 on Fri 8 Apr 2016 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast
  19. UK Outlook for Monday 18 Apr 2016 to Monday 2 May 2016: The detail in the forecast through the second half of April and into May is currently uncertain. However, the most likely scenario is for a continuation of changeable conditions, with a mixture of sunny spells and showers or longer spells of rain. Some more prolonged sunnier and drier periods are possible, the best of which will probably occur in the northwest. Overall temperatures will remain around normal for the time of year but with some warmer spells developing at times. Updated at: 1201 on Sun 3 Apr 2016 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast
  20. UK Outlook for Friday 8 Apr 2016 to Sunday 17 Apr 2016: A generally fine day on Friday with plenty of sunshine but also scattered showers, some of which could be heavy and thundery, with a chance of snow over northern hills. Thicker cloud likely in the southwest later, with rain and strengthening winds possible. Northern areas will see sunshine and showers through the weekend, while the south looks to be cloudier with spells of rain. A largely unsettled trend is expected to continue through to mid-April, with showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed with some drier and brighter interludes, with the best of these probably in the north and northwest. Temperatures are likely to start rather cold with a risk of overnight frosts, but returning nearer normal through the period, perhaps with some warmer spells at times. Updated at: 1201 on Sun 3 Apr 2016 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast
  21. Stuart

    my New lighting Detrctor

    This is my my New lighting Detrctor
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