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Everything posted by Hairy Celt
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Wunderground has always been flaky for me so I have to be in a really good mood to want to look there... We had a light shower of half-melted snow a while back. The radar shows a bit more activity now than an hour or so ago but it's the usual story of the inner firth snowdome firing up.... we'll see.
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Tuesday's snow for the south-west and possibly Central Belt is still on the cards... Oh no though, Wednesday's low is going to track further south, taking Tunbridge Wells' snow into France. How dare they steal our snow. It must be revenge for Brexit! (c) Daily Fail In other news, we're at 6C now and looks like that might be our max. I wonder how @Halfamilefromnowhere's temp is doing as he'll feel the chill 1st...
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The next week looks like a fairly typical wintry northerly lasting a few days then getting slowly replaced by milder westerlies. Doesn't look like anything major - but this is from a Black Isle perspective, further south I think you have a bigger chance of something exciting midweek on. Best of luck!
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It's hard enough to forecast intensity, duration of rain at 5 days ahead. Snow, with the difference between types of snow, sleet, freezing rain, graupel etc. being down to differences of 10ths of a degree Celsius at all heights from ground level up... well, as the old boy said wrt his daughters, 'O, that way madness lies; let me shun that; no more of that.' Many years ago in the MT there was a handful of commentators who seemed to have a good grasp of meteorology, but it eventually seemed to me that the reasons for their lengthy posts was less to do with the weather and more to do with their states of mind. Arguing about the weather a week ahead in public? Unfortunately now there are dozens of less well-informed commentators all shouting at the same time so it really is bedlam at times like this.
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This isn't really an answer, but even hoping for a forecast to model snowfall on an island that's downwind of a big and (relatively) warm ocean, several days ahead, and you're on a hiding to nothing. We can look at the colourful maps of various parameters for 6 - or even 3 - hour intervals but when we know from experience that it's all down to watching the radar then the lamp post, then well why do it?