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Harsh Climate

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    Snow Watch: N&w Yorkshire, Northern & Ne England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    So what happened here then???? The Pnn seems to have tracked due north and not across the country (from the SW to the NE) as was progged. Looks like 2 to hrs of pnn just about to arrive here (already light snow) and ,as those plains indians say "small flake ,big flake ,big snow..." small flakes again....... :)

    bummer, the precipitation seems to have stalled just south of west yorkshire :) doubtfull I will get an inch+ of snow now....

    I think its little flakes, simply because its so light..

    Snow Watch Thread For Midlands & C Southern England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Jed Bickerdike

    Exactly there is quite alot of snow left here and has only gone where the sun has been at it constantly!

    Once again, i agree loads...could be lots of factors to that post including Jealousy...Opps... :):crazy:

    lol jelouse? Im quite happy with my 3-4" in me garden thank ya very much.

    I just dont want you guys getting ya hopes up for them to be cruely dashed at the last minute.. :)

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn482.png

    Look at where the -5hpa line is, south yorksire northwards is just on the right side of that marker, unfortunatly areas like the midlands is on the wrong side..

    All im saying is, those uppers along with not very low dewpoints arent conductive for settling snow that isnt slushy or not guna thaw in lighter outbreaks..

    Snow Watch Thread For Midlands & C Southern England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    To be honest, that is probably the worst post i've seen around here. Is that meant to be a wind up? Where is your evidence for the above?

    Have a look at the precip charts, ground temps, 850s, wet bulbs and dews and you will clearly see that Eastern areas of Wales and the NW of the Midlands are in for some really heavy snow with 10-20cms of snow. Moreover, I surprised you are being so optimistic about Yorkshire...I will be surprised if the band remains intact till it gets to Yorkshire. I think by the time it reaches Yorkshire...it will be nothing more than a band of showers.

    Regards, hgb

    yes, several centimetres of snow may well fall, but I think it will be slushy and thaw inbetween lighter outbreaks.. If im wrong after the event, then you can critisize my prediction :)

    Snow Watch Thread For Midlands & C Southern England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Jed Bickerdike

    Dont get your hopes up peeps, the snow is likely to be too wet to settle anywhere south of yorkshire or on high ground. But just as it pushes into yorkshire it should just be cold enough for heavy accumulating snow. Of which should be helped by the orographic enhancement caused by the pennines.. :whistling:

    Snow fall prediction:

    low ground:

    central southern england 0-1cm of slush.

    wales to east midlands 2-7cm of slush.

    yorkshire 2-10cm of snow.

    high ground:

    10-20cm. high peaks of wales/derbyshire/penines highest risk. :rolleyes:

    Snow Watch: N&w Yorkshire, Northern & Ne England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Fact is that they forecast way more precip than there has been. Now that is perhaps understandable as the GFS showed something a lot more potent, BUT I and others came on here at 4pm saying things were going pear-shaped. It was obvious there was less stuff about. And yet there we were at an 8pm forecast listening to 20-30cm above 200m - there has been nothing like that anywhere in N Yorks (yet, although I can't see it tbh).

    The problem for me was the fact that they refused to look at the radar and ramped on regardless.

    They also said "risk to life" which was ridiculous.

    Hmm maybe thats because there either expecting it to intensify significantly in the earlier hours or because its such a persistent spell of snow?? Or maybe your right and theyve just got it wrong.. :(

    I still think its too early to come to a conclusion though. our snow is verging on moderate to heavy now, so who knows :rolleyes:

    Snow Watch: N&w Yorkshire, Northern & Ne England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I think the bbc forecast has been fairly accurate, dont know what people are moaning about :lol:

    Snowing moderatly here now, with a good covering of 7-10cm (5cm so far tonight.) So 5-10cm on lower ground soes seem quite realistic. And where the snowfall is heavier on higher ground, 30cm should quite easily fall in such a prolonged period of steady snowfall.. I reckon the otley chevin (1000ft) has got 10-15cm so far this evening..

    Snow Watch: N&W Yorks, Northern & North East England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Jed Bickerdike

    The BBC shows nothing W of the Pennines, but it's in the Irish Sea?!

    This is very very odd, I seriously hope the precip to the SE intensifies as it moves NW. Otherwise the calls for 40cm over the Pennines look ridiculous. Eern Pennines were supposed to be the worst hit area!!!!!!

    Be patient, itl come! my biggest fear is of it turning to rain lol..

    I think a feature/zone of convergence is expected to push up or develope over north east england soon. As this happens the precipitation should just intesify and expand over us./ :(

    Must admit, Im getting rather inpatient too. From this event thats promised so much, im still waiting for it to get going..

    Snow Watch: N&W Yorks, Northern & North East England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I think the highest lowland snowfall will occur in the eastern pennine upslopes! Places like halifax/bradford/skipton should see heavy snowshowers buffering up aggainst the pennines producing spells of persistent heavy snow, whereas towards the coast they quickly move through..

    My early estimations for 1800 sunday - 0000 tuesday are for 2-5cm in all other parts of yorkshire (excluding coast) and 5-10cm in the places I have just highlighted. :lol:

    I think come friday, it should be the higher parts of west yorkshire who have seen the most snow. I think the mild sector early tuesday onwards should restrict snowfall amounts in the north yorkshire moors to no more than 20cm. Some where like tanhill or great whernside cud see 40cm+! :lol:

    Easter Weekend Chill/Freeze

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    ''QUOTE (Jed Bickerdike @ 19 Mar 2008, 06:17 PM)

    This is how I see things at the moment..

    Highest risk areas of heavy snow:

    north/East scotland, Hills of eastern england/scotland. 5-10cm (15cm+ scottish mountains)

    Moderate risk (2-5cm):

    linconshire - 70%

    yorkshire - 60%

    north east england - 60%

    central/east midlands - 50%

    south east - 40%

    elsewhere - 20>%.

    Although this isnt taking to account sunday's possible disturbance, if this happens wales/northern ireland/western england will be at risk from some snow.. ''

    Looks like my early predictions are spot on, linconshire,yorkshire,north/east midlands still at highest risk.. And the south east should atleast see some wintryness :lol:

    Easter Weekend Chill/Freeze

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    The weather advisories seem to be constantly changing on the Meto site. This morning Hampshire was not under an advisory, now it is for Saturday, meanwhile large sections of the East Coast that were under an advisory for Sunday are no longer on alert

    I wouldnt take too much notice to the exact warnings out now, I think the people at the met office have a new toy and are playing around with it :doh:

    Its the flash warnings that will be of interest, should start comeing out this evening.. :)

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