WINTRY WALES
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
WINTRY WALES replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
raz.org.rain Fantastic and very well explained. But being an avid skiier over the last 30 years in the alps etc... there is a considerable change in the last 10 years or so to the climate in Western Europe that seems noticeably extreme to what most of the rest of the world is experiencing. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
WINTRY WALES replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I am not so sure, Western to central Europe, which is substantial area in size seems to have suffered a key change to some driver other or something other than the Climate change factor the rest of the world is experiencing. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
WINTRY WALES replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hey guys just a quick musing whilst this thread is so quiet. We have seen places in Europe ( Scandanavia) and other parts of the World like China experience very harsh and record cold Winters this year. Other parts of the World like Greece and Turkey in recent years gone by experiencing theirs too. For our small part of the globe and most of western europe it seems pretty difficult to see any prolonged decent cold weather due to repeating pressure set ups scuppering some favourable cold weather signals for it to happen. This to me seems something else maybe other than the general global climate change. Can any one expand on this and maybe help explain? -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
WINTRY WALES replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Catacol I agree….just as a seasoned skier over the last 25 years the difference in climate is extremley noticeable. Gone are the days of having to wear layers, and sure snow cover in the resort villages. Really depressing the acceleration climate change has taken on Europe it seems. Irreversible now and a worry for our future generations -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
WINTRY WALES replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
But if she made the move for a warmer climate then that would indicate Tamara does have a bias towards what the weather could be. But I do value Tamara input and she has championed the clod weather this year which strengthens your point mate. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
WINTRY WALES replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I know not strictly model related but there has been some chat about the consistent High pressure not setting up in the right place no more. After 25 years of skiing in the alps there has been a definite noticeable change to the weather. Long gone are the years of having to wear layers because of the cold. The most important thing to pack from the last 8!years or so is sun cream! Nearly always dry sunny and warm. Such a shame how our climate has changed. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
WINTRY WALES replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Dennis Nor way will it ever happen on this island though -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
WINTRY WALES replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Another dig 80 miles or so south and south midlands south wales and West Country come in to play. Parts of London too! Is it possible!?! -
Not good for us down south again tho
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I agree ….i know it’s not as simple as this but if there were say 8 variables required to result in uk wide snow like in the past…we need all 8. And then…what would we say we had this spell…90% of the variables favourable?? And still quite a let down. Could be a good while to have so many favourable. But in the past ….again shooting from the hip here….maybe 65-75% of the variables required for the patterns to result in the majority of the uk seeing snow. From a non teleconnections expert…and at afar this is how it seems to have panned out over recent years
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Ok ok let’s all stop but please understand the moaning. If you went on a summer holiday and it was very warm but had no sunshine we would all mostly complain. Folk here understand it’s cold, maybe very cold. But we all chase the snow. Frustrating but fun. This coming week had potential, still may have. If not,it sounds like there may be more opportunities for the rest of winter where there is plenty of time left.
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Not trying to moan but ignoring the teleconnection possibilities and just looking out of the window, the next week, in realism terms will be standard winter cold weather. Disappointing for now let’s hope the science comes to fruition and the next few couple of weeks gives us all something to reminisce about next year and beyond