WINTRY WALES
Members-
Posts
467 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by WINTRY WALES
-
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
WINTRY WALES replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So what do we need to look for for those south of the midlands to receive a snow event and not snow to rain?? Colder air digging in further south before the LP arrives from the south west?? Or the LP to take a more southerly route through northern France?? What is the perfect setup so the vast majority here receives snow , stays as snow and what is the likelihood of this at the moment?? Any models showing this?? -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
WINTRY WALES replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If the morning runs produce the goods we are in for a good day I think -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
WINTRY WALES replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I know others have said the same thing and people say there’s no truth in it but it always seems like the early morning runs improve through out the day…may explain the constant down beat moods first thing. Surely it’s a pattern and not just perception -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
WINTRY WALES replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gong to be some right pants pulled down here unfortunately if this does turn out to be standard January weather from mid month. That’s not a dig or anything like that as all the teleconnectiins etc pointed towards that. More so points to the fact that nearly all most understood drivers were lining up in a positive way and the technical guys feeling comfortable yet “maybe” the blinking wheels are still falling off . -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
WINTRY WALES replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Quick question. I know we have a graph which compare the performance of the various models (ECM, GFS, etc) but do they do that for each per run. Like which one performs best 06z, 12z etc…is the performance of those captured too?? -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
WINTRY WALES replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What is exactly expected to happen on the 15th????? Like it’s turning cold now…getting colder…:so what is on track for the 15th exactly??? Cheers -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
WINTRY WALES replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So your experience just flipped to the cold may come after all?? Jeez -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
WINTRY WALES replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So nothing else other than intuition??? -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
WINTRY WALES replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Which can also be used to the point of the wintery 10 day charts that have been showing last few days not verifying also -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
WINTRY WALES replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Youve just reminded me I have that in the fridge -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
WINTRY WALES replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Kasim I think the trouble most people have on here is the flip flop of live model viewing commentary. It’s like watching a football match and when one team has the ball for 10 seconds saying this team is looking like they are going to win. Then the next team gains possession and saying no They are not the other team are about to score and win. Then this keeps repeating each time a side gains possession or has a few shots etc…. Catch my drift?? Take 5 watch how it pans out and put a balanced view together -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
WINTRY WALES replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I know the old saying is get the cold in and the snow will follow….but over recent years it seems any kind of snowy breakdown of such has disappeared with just rainy breakdowns. Put this down to the climate change but hopefully we can make this different this year . -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
WINTRY WALES replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So is the spilt back on ?? -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
WINTRY WALES replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Where can one find the latest METO update? -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
WINTRY WALES replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
What would this indicate?? -
Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards
WINTRY WALES replied to Cambrian's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
How’s next winter shaping up?