ribster
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Posts posted by ribster
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15 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:
They said June would be a very warm and settled month. I wanted to hear that, but still didn’t believe it. The standard of forecasts and analyses in this thread far exceeds what the Met Office put out to the general public. If you are happy with that then be my guest. As for the BBC,
Don't deny that things have gotten worse since the BBC changed providers, but what was posted was entirely relevant. Anyway, enough said before I get a ticking off.
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11 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:
Like the Meto were bullish about June being warm and settled?
The BBC forecast isn’t even worth reading.
Not if they don't say what you want to hear. I'll take their professional, highly qualified interpretation over that of an amateur thanks. Besides, like it or not that's the way the models are trending, also backed up by another ex-meteorologist earlier in the thread.
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I like the way the models are trending this evening, get tomorrow out of the way and its all gravy baby!
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32 minutes ago, mb018538 said:
You obviously haven’t followed this thread closely then. All we’ve been discussing is rain and potential flooding for days now!
While he may be wide of the mark on this occasion, I have some sympathy with his view, as prior to this minor unsettled period it was almost evangelical in here, with anyone mentioning cool or unsettled made out to be a blaspheming heathen. Anyway, a few cracking thunderstorms would be lovely...
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Liking UKMO this evening, not infallible as has been said, but wouldn't bet my house against it!
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8 minutes ago, Sunny76 said:
If it’s lifted by then.
None of the companies that work in my building will be coming back until September or even October as the earliest date.
A second wave is more than likely.
Indeed, especially given the way some are behaving...
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2 hours ago, CreweCold said:
UKMO at 144...
that's some trough
GFS at 144 is slightly more benign but more precarious looking than the 18z
Best put the Champagne on ice for now...
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33 minutes ago, Griff said:
Yes undoubtedly, always around 10+ days away
As are promises of a warm/settled June which is 5-35 days away, but little fuss was made of that...
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13 hours ago, Scorcher said:
The thing is, if you say something enough eventually it will happen. I'm sure you mentioned this at least a week ago- I still can't see strong signs of the Atlantic taking over.
Yes indeed Scorcher, if the cap fits eh?
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7 hours ago, Djdazzle said:
ECM 0z showing a much watered-down northerly compared to its previous two runs.
Thank goodness for that, was terrified of blizzards!
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50 minutes ago, General Cluster said:
YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Yarmouth pier here I come!
Oh dear, I've broken the Eleventh Commandment, Thou Shall Not Ramp!
Surely Lowestoft would be better?!
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11 minutes ago, MikeC53 said:? I'll have some of what you're on. I'm sure you are walking in a virtual winter wonderland.
Not sure that's justified, he has posted charts backing up his thoughts and analysis of a possible outcome. Glad someone is to be fair, the 'it's a day 10 chart' line is growing tiresome...
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Well the dark, murk and gloom are here for a while yet, something you can rely on every winter regardless of the weather, wonderful!
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7 minutes ago, swfc said:Writing what off Steve,nothings happened yet ??
Think you've answered your own question there...
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49 minutes ago, swfc said:
think ido just covered this
Did he? I think I'd like to see analysis of a much larger dataset over a much longer period before drawing any such conclusions...
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1 minute ago, jordan smith said:
Yeah I know but I meant more for people who won't necessarily know what these shortened abbreviations of names mean.
I think most do and no harm in asking, nobody bites!
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June, utter borefest!
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6 minutes ago, Azazel said:
No worries, thank you for clarifying.
Does anyone know if there will be a "heat hunt - models and chat thread" come March/April?
Doubt it, there would be tumbleweed blowing through it...
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7 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:
Looks like I was right last week then when I said GFS/ECM ops firming up on trending 'mild' at day 9/10 - I was the Peter Kay of this thread. Is there a smug emoji?...
By the way good post Catacol.
Turning milder after a cold spell, fancy that?! Think forecasters were saying the same but starting at the weekend, which has been delayed. Briefly less cold I think was said, we shall see. But top marks, a gold star is in the post!
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13 minutes ago, WhiteFox said:
It does a little. But, looking at the Northern Hemisphere view, could be a transitory milder period: seeing an Aleutian Low set up and draining of lower heights over Eastern Canada. Last hurrah for the Atlantic?
Academic of course at this range, but I don't think the ECM day 10 chart necessarily represents a flat and mild pattern for any great length of time.
Spot on, forecasts have mentioned briefly less cold next weekend, doesn't sound mild to me...
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36 minutes ago, Updated_Weather said:
Whilst I understand they have to be strict and not hyperbole or scare the public (not like any model is showing anything that way atm) It still isn't going to be mild basing of latest output.. 18z has 4'c as max on friday next week?
Think you need to watch it again, NW is correct...
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Blimey, if you've thrown the towel in, think the vortex of doom is to blame, or it's time to call it a day, you're 'done' with this rubbish winter or indeed it's all auntie Mavis' tea leaves fault, then perhaps it's time for a new hobby? Meanwhile, the rest of us are still enjoying the ride!
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44 minutes ago, sparky1972 said:
it was a joke, i know temps are forecast to be a bit milder tomorrow and saturday, then its looking like the real cold will arrive soon after, well hopefully. lol bbc forecast for MBY for tommow is 11c and saturday 10c though
Yes, well expected and advertised mild blip, even bbc forecast was being revised every 30 mins this morning, narrowing the blip.
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Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
And going by the looks of GFS this evening...