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Frosty.

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Everything posted by Frosty.

  1. Frosty.
    High pressure retrogression (north westwards) is the theme of today's models and also got a mention from Exeter earlier for the first time so a colder shot from the nw / n / ne could be on the way beyond the upcoming anticyclonic spell.
  2. Frosty.
    Even southwest england gets a bit of snow on the Gfs 12z. It's very good to see wintry charts appearing so early in the season.
  3. Frosty.
    This looks good for coldies on the Gfs 12z!
  4. Frosty.
    There are some interesting GEFS 6z perturbations cropping up for early november which show a possibility of our first cold snap / spell of the season.
  5. Frosty.
    The GEFS 6z mean becomes strongly anticyclonic from the middle of next week, initially across southern uk before extending north to the rest of the uk bringing very pleasant surface conditions for late october with daytime temps becoming unseasonably warm for a time but still with chilly misty nights where skies clear. During early november there are signs of a change to unsettled with the high weakening and drifting away w / sw with lowering heights from the n / ne.
  6. Frosty.
    It does look like an Indian summer of sorts during the second half of next week as high pressure builds north drawing air sourced from southern europe up across the uk. I wouldn't be surprised to see somewhere in the south reach 19/20c 67f later next week.
  7. Frosty.
    The Gfs 6z op run shows the uk getting close to some early wintry weather on more than a few occasions in low res..early November certainly holds cold potential.
  8. Frosty.
    The Ecm 00z ens mean becomes anticyclonic and stays that way, just like the op..becoming very pleasant with light winds, plenty of sun, mild temps for the time of year by day but nights on the chilly side where skies clear with a risk of frost, especially in the countryside and mist / fog becoming more frequent.
  9. Frosty.
    There is early wintry potential for early november showing on the control run and some of the GEFS 00z perturbations.
  10. Frosty.
    The Ecm 00z op turns into a very pleasant anticyclonic run..nice benign weather looks to be on the way, especially for the southern half of the uk but further north too as time goes on.
  11. Frosty.
    The GEFS 00z mean becomes very anticyclonic during next week with very pleasant surface conditions by day but with chilly nights, mist / fog..so, after the current showery spell in the east especially, and some rain across the south early next week, it looks like settling down across most of the uk until at least the end of october and for the south and west, into early november.
  12. Frosty.
    The Ecm 12z ensemble mean sure looks pretty if you like pleasant anticyclonic weather..what's not to like about these charts?
  13. Frosty.
    A gorgeous Ecm 12z develops as high pressure builds in strongly across the south introducing much milder and very pleasant surface conditions which gradually extend further north to cover most of the uk and then later in the run our high starts to retrogress, opening the door or at least leaving it ajar for our first cold plunge of the season..something for everyone!
  14. Frosty.
    Looking further ahead into early november, the Gefs 12z mean suggests a cold shot of polar / arctic maritime is possible.
  15. Frosty.
    A peachy looking GEFS 12z mean from next midweek until the start of November as high pressure builds in and intensifies over the uk bringing very pleasant surface conditions by day but with cold nights with slight frosts and mist / fog.
  16. Frosty.
    There is some support from the GEFS 00z mean / perturbations for our first cold snap of the season during early November beyond the upcoming pleasant anticyclonic spell
  17. Frosty.
    The GEFS 00z mean paints an anticyclonic picture across most of the uk from around the middle of next week onwards into early november, especially further south..so, plenty of pleasant autumn weather looks to be on the way beyond the current showery blip.
  18. Frosty.
    Yes Ali, the Ecm has been showing this trend for a few runs now, very pleasant autumn weather could be on the way.
  19. Frosty.
    The Ecm 00z op turns into a BEAUTY with high pressure building in from the south and introducing much milder uppers with surface conditions becoming very pleasant for the time of year.
  20. Frosty.
    Tonight's Ecm 12z ensemble mean shows anticyclonic influence becoming significantly stronger across at least the southern half of the uk from the second half of next week onwards, just as the operational earlier.
  21. Frosty.
    The Ecm 12z turned out pretty good for central / southern uk according to those charts I posted above.
  22. Frosty.
    The Ecm 12z gradually becomes milder and increasingly anticyclonic across southern uk from around next midweek with the highs influence extending further north for a time, the second half of the run looks very pleasant indeed across the southern half of the uk by late october standards but there are signs of unsettled weather towards months end arriving in the northwest but remaining settled further south until the end of the run.
  23. Frosty.
    The GEFS 12z mean is anticyclonic for much of the next couple of weeks with the high intensifying and becoming centred over the uk for a time before slowly drifting west into the atlantic but maintaining a strong ridge. There would be plenty of settled and pleasant / sunny days but with chilly nights bringing slight frosts, mist and fog..hints of change during early november.
  24. Frosty.
    Anyone fancy more high pressure? The Gem 12z certainly does! Even by T+240 we are in familiar territory...as blocked as ever!
  25. Frosty.
    The GEFS 12z mean is all about high pressure, and more high pressure all the way out to T+384 hours, it indicates a lot of settled pleasant weather, especially further south.
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