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Everything posted by mulzy
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
mulzy replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That’s great news. I have missed those NAVGEM charts! -
October 2023 C.E.T. and EWP contests
mulzy replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
11.2C and 75mm please -
September 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
mulzy replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
15.0C and 55mm please -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
mulzy replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed, the UKMO has put the spanner in the works of many a potential cold spell here in the UK. When I’m religiously following the NWP (mainly winter), it is the first model I check. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
mulzy replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
If it is not cold and snowy, mild and dry will do. I despise the wetness and storminess and the fake cold. -
August 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
mulzy replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
16.9C and 70mm please. -
July 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
mulzy replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
17.3C and 56mm please -
June 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
mulzy replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
14.3C and 44mm please -
May 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
mulzy replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
12.4C and 74mm please -
April 2023 C.E.T. and EWP contests
mulzy replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
8.8C and 45mm please -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
mulzy replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It looks like this week is likely to be very disappointing for many. Hey-ho, it is what it is. Chances are possible later in the month but at least for those in the south, we need perfect synoptics to deliver. A pretty ordinary day 7 chart. -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
mulzy replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. FWIW, ECM day 10 is promising largely because those dreaded Iberian heights are diminished. -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
mulzy replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM day 6 - health warning before viewing! It’s ghastly… -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
mulzy replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Seems Like the 6z GFS is pushing everything south regards the Weds / Thurs event to such an extent it’s a blank even for most of Southern England. -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
mulzy replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM Plume for Reading suggests the cold air will be in place till Friday and then a significant warm-up (at least in the south). Friday is FI and there are chances that this warm-up will be pushed back. -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
mulzy replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It can snow with 850s close to zero at any time of the year. 850s are not the be all and end all for snow - so many other parameters in play. Edit: the 12z ECM is close to being a great run. -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
mulzy replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
mulzy replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM - oh dear! Mild air pushes into the south by day 7. -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
mulzy replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM was the pick this morning - it really needs to be again this evening. Things could unravel fast here (toys and prams and all that) if ECM is poor. -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
mulzy replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Day 7 UKMO would be good to see - just a few more minutes to wait. I am worried that the Atlantic low will push up heights from the south - which would limit any trough disruption. -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
mulzy replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion