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mulzy

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Everything posted by mulzy

  1. Heavy stuff gone now - a partial covering on some surfaces. At 20m elevation, I am going to struggle. Folks over 75m are quids in! Sleety drizzle now. 0.6C
  2. It just shows how bad things are when we celebrate sleet/wet snow! Beggars can't be choosers I guess. Sleet / 1.3C
  3. Very poor (against expectations) 12z runs so far. Everything further south - we're back in UK high territory.
  4. Still raining here (~10mm so far today so a pretty wet day). 4.3C
  5. Staff have started putting grit on the paths around my local Waitrose in Raynes Park. Do they know something we don't? Raining still / 5.5C.
  6. Yamkin is a legend. But even he wouldn't be ramping this evening's event up. Looks like a damp squib to me but plenty of other opportunities over the next couple of weeks by the looks of it! Rain / 6.8C here
  7. Yes, the extended eps far better than I anticipated. Deep upper trough over Central/Eastern Europe and upper ridge in the mid-Atlantic. The 850s for day 12-15 in London are circa -4 (which is pretty decent at that range).
  8. Keep the faith. The NAVGEM still has a green light for the second northerly! (I'll get my coat).
  9. UKMO 144 - wetter format We desperately need that incoming Atlantic low to disrupt.
  10. Sadly, UKMO rock solid in its progression. Northerly looks out with this evolution but maybe an easterly?
  11. All FI of course but I'm loving the trough disruption to the west of Greenland at 156h from the 6z GFS
  12. The extended eps are sensational. Broadly similar from the last 2 runs, but with everything corrected north west by a few hundred miles. London 850s circa -5 through the period (days 11-15).
  13. At first glance the extended eps looks similar to this morning's run - i.e. pretty decent. Higher than normal heights centred between Scotland and Iceland and lower than normal heights over the Med stretching up into Russia. Just for fun, 850s for London from the extended eps are: Day 11: -3, Day 12: -3, Day13, -2.5, Day 14, -3, Day 15, -3.5.
  14. With high pressure dominating between days 6-10, it will be cold at the surface.
  15. 12z GFS not as amplified over the Atlantic days 6-8 when compared to the 6z. Actually looks very similar to the 6z (P).
  16. Indeed! The GFS 6z (P) wasn't brilliant - goes all zonal in deep FI after a short lived northerly days 9-10.
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