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mulzy

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Everything posted by mulzy

  1. mulzy
    Every year we talk about this year being different, this will be the one etc etc. Spurious correlations and pattern matching techniques are then brought out as evidence as to why this year will be different. Happens every damn year. Guess what I am predicting for winter? Yep, wet, mild an windy. Shoot me down if you wish but that is and will always be the form horse! Rant over!!!!
  2. mulzy
    10.9C please
  3. mulzy
    Summer in London was essentially a 'game of two halves' - great start, poor end. Overall assessment - average.
  4. mulzy
    A very average 14.2C please.
  5. mulzy
    Crack of thunder and cold rain here
  6. mulzy
    16.2C - cool at first then warmer!
  7. mulzy
    Flashes every second from that thunderstorm over North London - all C-C but still impressive.
  8. mulzy
    Winds picked up here in SW London. Might get a glancing blow from the Southampton storm.
  9. mulzy
    A new cell forming just off the Cherbourg Peninsula. Let's see how this develops...
  10. mulzy
    16.5C please
  11. mulzy
    14.6C please
  12. mulzy
    11.1C please
  13. mulzy
    9.6C please
  14. mulzy
    6.3C - fairly average I think!
  15. mulzy
    FI of course but interesting to look at.
  16. mulzy
    Light snow in Raynes Park. Not settling though. 1.3C
  17. mulzy
    FWIW, the extended eps suggests renewed heights over Europe and a trough over the mid Atlantic resulting in a mild south westerly flow.
  18. mulzy
    The 12z GEFS diluting the retrogression signal that was quite strong in the 0z and 6z suites.
  19. mulzy
    Nowhere near semi-reliable when it comes to precipitation.
  20. mulzy
    Not much change but the small changes could be significant going forward - Atlantic held back a little, Scandi high a touch further north, better alignment of the cold pool - small differences yes but still notable.
  21. mulzy
    To my very amateur eyes hints of retrogression on the EPS as heights build over Iceland at day 11 (with continued strong heights over Europe though).
  22. mulzy
    Behind a paywall I'm afraid (weatherbell.com).
  23. mulzy
    Early news from the ECM EPS. Not as hideous as the operation but could be better - a combination of the Azores High and lots of energy in the northern arm placing significant pressure on the Scandinavian block (transforms into a Belarus block by day 8).
  24. mulzy
    Significant westward shift in the 06 GEFS at only 78 hours
  25. mulzy
    What seems to be clear is the big difference in the mean 850 HPa temperatures between the GEFS and the EPS in the day 4-7 period. Here is my updated graph for the EPS 850 hPa temperatures (for London) - they go quite a bit colder that the GEFS suite.
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