snowhope
Members-
Posts
153 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by snowhope
-
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
snowhope replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Just this fine dandruff falling from the sky, No moisture in the air I am guessing. Is this likely to change. We are quite far south in the midlands (Worcestershire/Gloucestershire border) but I have not seen anything resembling snow rates that will give 4 inches we were advised of. Not at all sure about this....... -
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
snowhope replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
For the first time in a long time I wish I still lived in Abergavenny! I would be happy with that to! Working in Tewkesbury I am hoping its enough for a snow day -
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
snowhope replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
@Glacier Point What are you thinking for Worcestershire (i am in Upton upon Severn, fairly near you I think) over the next few days GP? Looking at the Met and BBC latest forecasts we seem to be on the Eastern Edge of the precipitation with the heavy stuff missing us and going into wales and staying in the South West. Where would you anticipate to get hit the heaviest? -
Model output discussion - the beast arrives
snowhope replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I know it was just for fun, but still annoying how the heaviest snow falls in the Irish Sea!- 1,198 replies
-
- 1
-
- models
- model discussion
-
(and 1 more)
Tagged with:
-
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
snowhope replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I know we should take precipitation with a pinch of salt but I am confused. We are seeing a cm or 2 of predicted on these charts and for the spine of Britain from the midlands south nothing at all in terms of precipitation. I am not sure I remember the last decent easterly very well (1991??) but will this setup really give the whole country snow or are we in the south and west of the country going to have to rely on a Low pressure hitting the block as per Dec 2017 before we get to see anything but cold from this predicted outbreak? This seems to be a more Easterly affair to me. Thanks in advance -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
snowhope replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
At this range neither have much chance of verifying as shown so its all Mute. Interesting that the low shows up from last nights 18z though, Look for trends, not specifics! -
Model Output Discussions 18z 31/01/2016
snowhope replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A flake would be Amazing, Lying snow would be too much to ask.... surely! Looking at the last few runs though there is a chance over the midlands to see some snow. All dependent on mixing out the warm sector and as others have mentioned the intensity of the evaporative ecooling effect to see it to low levels. -
Model Output Discussions 18z 31/01/2016
snowhope replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I suppose many more runs and changes to come yet, some upgrades would be nice rather than the expected downgrades..... -
Model Output Discussions 18z 31/01/2016
snowhope replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You really couldn't be more unlucky! Cold Air all around us with a massive mild sector over practically the whole of the UK. It brings to mind this line from a famous poem: "Water, water, every where, Nor any drop to drink" -
Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016
snowhope replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This should tell you all you need to know though. The models as we have all seen in the past week or so are so volatile in their output, why would the MO/BBC commit? Millions of people rely on them for the forecasts! With the models in such a state of disagreement in the relative short term it would be a brave person to commit to a scenario on here let alone in the national Media. -
Its been said many times before, weather sells newspapers. One year they may get it right but if they do it will be pure dumb luck!
-
Snowing in Tewkesbury where I work. Covered the ground and trees. First snow in nearly 2 years wooooohoooo
-
Whether you are right or wrong Phil, thanks for putting together a clear and concise forecast backed up nicely. I would gladly take your forecast if you are right!
-
Have you turned your central heating on yet ?
snowhope replied to stewfox's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Wont be going on till we get frosts and sub zero nights, even then the windows stay open! -
Winter Model Discussion 18Z 12/2/13 onwards.
snowhope replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Can snow penetrate right across the country in these setups or is it more likely an Eastern only event if it comes off? -
Winter Model Discussion 18Z 12/2/13 onwards.
snowhope replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Can Wales see convection off an easterly of this type or would it be eastern and central UK that benefit from this setup, am just confused when peoples say showers penetrating in land? Thanks still learning here -
Nothing in the south west of the region but was always going to be a non event here, not even raining currently
-
I think some people forget just how expansive the midlands are, some saying snow event for the midland can be misleading. Half of the midlands on the current output would still see a marginal/non snow event. Need further shifts south and west over coming days for this to include the whole of the region. Would be nice for once not to have to ride the rollercoaster right up until the day especially with some of the ppn totals showing... ahh for an all snow event somewhere is likely to get pasted but where will it be
-
Winter Model Discussion 12Z 22/1/13 onwards.
snowhope replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I think looking for trends in the models over coming days is now the way to go, we are not quite out of the current cold spell which has provided something for most. Still time to feel the effects of what winter can offer. Most indications of cold have been picked up in the relative short term by most models. Lets see what unfolds day to day without trying to predict an entire months weather a week before we even reach it. Chin up chaps, it could be worse. You could be a Swansea Ball boy! -
latest charts have this going through solid until tomorror fingers crossed
-
Dunno about malvern but its hammering it down here now, long may it last wooohoooo
-
They even have stopped that now with the flood defenses!!!! Is it settling in malvern? Just about trying to here now
-
lol I need to blame someone inch and a half of snow is all we have seen down here at 6m asl
-
Lighter here in Upton now, Malverns blocking my fun as always