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Paul_1978

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Everything posted by Paul_1978

  1. Paul_1978
    What brings you to that conclusion?
  2. Paul_1978
    I'm beginning to think she did. I'll have the forecast on the recorder - I'll see if I can put it online. Yes.....I've got the nightly BBC weather for the week on series link! Tell me I'm not the only one.
  3. Paul_1978
    We would have sold our grannies for a chart like that at T+132 last winter.
  4. Paul_1978
    Knock 240 hours off that and we're in business!
  5. Paul_1978
    That's exactly what I was going to say!
  6. Paul_1978
    Thanks for all the replies. It definitely wasn't "nuisance" and I'm 99% sure it was "nuscent". I'll have to see if she is on Twitter and ask her ;-)
  7. Paul_1978
    I think the models are anything but underwhelming at the minute - it's fantastic seeing it all unfold! Normal this ain't!
  8. Paul_1978
    Signal of high pressure to the NW of the UK early in Dec, with resulting northerly wind. Then 2nd week in Dec, low pressure to the south of the UK (= easterly), plus indications of greater than normal precipitation levels. Which could mean, given the direction of airflow, an increased chance of the white stuff.
  9. Paul_1978
    .....at T+384.
  10. Paul_1978
    Hi all, I was watching Weather for the Week recently, and Louise Lear used the term "nuscent clouds". The spelling is not right as I've Googled it (and various other spellings) and have been unable to see what she meant. Many ideas?
  11. Paul_1978
    Watch this classic Feb 1991 forecast and see where the massive HP is ;-)
  12. Paul_1978
    I can see where you're coming from after reviewing this afternoon's model output, but we've also got to remember the more positive news about the background signals and the "bigger picture". Im just glad it's only 11th November and winter hasn't even started yet! Plenty of time :-)
  13. Paul_1978
    Spot on - we have been spoiled recently and we have to remember tomorrow is only 10th November. When did we last have snow this early? And as for next week, it looks like a period of raging north westerlies is looking likely which should at least liven things up a bit. And in 3 weeks, winter starts ;-)
  14. Paul_1978
    Is it just me or are all these great strat charts at T+384?
  15. Paul_1978
    Nice view onto the fields :-)
  16. Paul_1978
    It's certainly trending negative towards the month end.....
  17. Paul_1978
    Wakefield at 6.40am.
  18. Paul_1978
    Light covering in north Wakefield. Wasn't expecting that.
  19. Paul_1978
    What is this showing us then @Dennis?
  20. Paul_1978
    It would be silly of us not to expect a bit of mobility. However it is always good to bear in mind the bigger picture - one of the pieces of the jigsaw is the AO. Note the peak around the 15th Nov, but there is a clear trend of the AO tanking negative by approximately the 20th November. The best approach for me (as a coldie) is to sit tight and enjoy the ride for the next week, and look forward to what might come - remember winter is 3 weeks away yet...it's still actually only autumn.
  21. Paul_1978
    The 06z GFS (Western Europe/Atlantic view) is almost identical to the 00z up to 252h. Can barely see any difference at all.
  22. Paul_1978
    I was expecting awful charts this morning after catching up on the thread but then I saw these from the ECM at T+168 and T+192 and they don't seem so bad to me? No raging Atlantic there.
  23. Paul_1978
    Exactly - do we think if there was "Model Output Discussion" back in 1978 people would be thinking the same. Probably yes - but fast forward to December that year..........not to mention the following January and February 1979. Two key words here..... "Bigger Picture"!
  24. Paul_1978
    I'm a regular in here and only in the last day or so have I heard people talking about "The FIM". What's that? Never heard it before!
  25. Paul_1978
    Joe B's comment doesn't make any sense to me whatsoever. Can anyone help decipher what he's talking about?
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