Paul_1978

That seems odd. If the contract had ended, the Met Office should surely stop providing the data? Why would they supply something they are not getting paid for?

This post been a case in point. Do the "amusing" GIFs add anything to the post? https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/88243-model-output-discussion-010917/?do=findComment&comment=3631993

Emoji's are fine. It's this kind of thing that grates.

What are people's thoughts on people adding animated GIFs to posts - laughing faces, clapping, shocked faces etc? Its the weather. For me, these stupid GIFs are annoying and don't add anything to posts other than getting in the way.

If it was December, January or February, we would all be salivating at the prospect of the "Beast from the East" looking at this morning's output.

Got woken up at 03.49 by the wind - Aileen is here...

Just after midnight in Wakefield. No significant wind yet.

Interesting stuff - but am I right in thinking that La Nina has little effect on European weather?

Tweet from Met Office a couple of days ago saying their contract with the BBC runs to 30th Sept, and Meteogroup take over after that.

I was thinking the same GW - when is one of these hurricanes going to get picked up by the Jet Stream and sent over in our direction? Obviously will turn into an "ex hurricane" by the time it reaches us.

That Tweet by Peter Cross though

Game over for what exactly Warren? This weekend looks pretty good to me (for cold and a bit of snow). After that, all cards are on the table.

ECM isn't out yet?

Hmmmmm yes well it's all so obviously set in stone isn't it.... Well, I don't know about anyone else but I'm enjoying watching all this unfold. We've been crying out for charts like this for months, and now we've got them. Let's just enjoy it eh - I'm sure there will be upgrades in the output over the coming days.

If anyone remembers the Jan '87 and Feb '91 cold spells (easterly situations), the reason we got 'prolonged' snow was because there was low pressure nearby (with associated fronts of course). '87 saw systems sweep west to east underneath the block, whilst '91 saw lows move up from France. The both also had a perfectly straight easterly too. So to this end, I am going to be looking for low pressure approaching to the south as that's where we'll get our prolonged snow from in my view, as well as a pure easterly via straight isobars. Don't want much do I!

If you are referrring to the T+312 ish timescale then that's so far away it's not worth worrying about.

What's going on fellas????? Surely it would be better to wait until the run has had chance to get to a decent time period - this isn't helping,

I think 99% of us would take that in 2017!

Not meaning to be negative but by T+180 we are getting back into SW'lys, and we have been seeing the GFS repeat this trend in the last few runs.... that's making me more than a bit nervous.

Why do you feel the ECM could be correct? I think it's been inconsistent this winter myself.

Some people are being far too negative this morning. We've been waiting for this kind of model output for weeks and when we finally get it (and consistently over a few days) then somehow there's some negativity around. I think recent output, and this morning's, is fantastic if it's cold and snow you're after.

Massive pinch of salt when it's at T+384 though.

Really? I thought GEM was a cannon fodder model?

Well there are things happening in the strat, so I'm not as convinced things are going to be as relentless as they seem at the minute. Surely not long before we see more favourable output once the models pick up on the signal?

How's thing looking for the SSW this morning? Last I read was that the ECM was up for it but the GFS wasn't. Also, that the SSW was due to kick in around 29th Jan, which is in 3 days. Whats the latest?