Theresnoway

Not expecting any in Bournemouth if that is of any help!

Not looking too good for anyone south of the M4 according to this updated BBC chart, whether it is correct or not is another story! Chart shown at 3am Courtesy of the BBC

In my opion for what it is worth, I think it will not even snow on the south coast, rain from the start. I would have thought that yes it will eventually turn to rain in your location, I am no expert though, just been analysing the models and thoughts of more professional forecasters! Not sure about this, but again I would have thought so looking at the models. As a lot have said snow is not easy to predict even 24 hours before the event, so although yes we can guarantee snow across some parts of the counrty on Thursday morning, how much and where it falls has yet to be confirmed. See the met-office risk maps for there take on things Courtesy of the met-office

There is a 60-70% chance you will, if not higher! How long it lasts for before turning to rain though is a different question!

Updated Winter forecast from the Met-Office - Released 6th Feb Issued 6 February 2007 The Met Office forecast for the winter period (December 2006 to February 2007) was first issued in August 2006 with monthly updates thereafter. The forecast indicated that: for temperature, near-average or warmer-than-average were the more likely outcomes for the winter as a whole, but that there was potential for lower temperatures (relative to average) later in the season. for rainfall, average or above-average amounts were predicted to be the more likely outcomes. Forecast for the remainder of Winter 2006/7 The forecast update below is based on latest indications for the remainder of the winter season. Temperature The Met Office is expecting further cold snaps with the possibility of snowfall through the remainder of this month and these are likely to extend into March. Although there will be variations in the temperature from week-to-week, overall, for the rest of February, the temperature is expected to be around average. Precipitation There continues to be an indication for average or above-average precipitation through the remainder of the winter. See how the winter is shaping up... Although this forecast runs until the end of February, it is recognised that winter weather can often extend beyond this period. In March, we will publish a review of the actual winter season and how it compared with the forecast we issued.

I wonder if the GFS is still being over progressive as it was yesterday, could the low still track further south? Will be interesting to see the fax charts at 10:30, will they colaborate? I am guessing even at +T48 we will still see some disagreements between the models.

Is it something to do with Bitten, Twice, Shy.....

A good spell of virtual snow! Well into FI??? Unfortunatley the virtual stuff is not as good as the real thing! Dave

I am going to go for 4.7. Although I do believe we will see some cold in February, more so than January. Warm and cold patterns will both be present throughout different parts of the month. Given the fact that the last couple of months have been above average CET, I will go for the theme to continue and Febs CET to come out above average, although not by that much. Let the fun begin!

Thanks

Hi Paul / anyone alse who knows. How come I can not see the number of / names of users at the bottom of the forum pages? This seems to coincide with the forum getting busier! Thanks Dave

Well, I will add a few! LRF = Long Range Forecast (Forecast for a season, or a shorter long range period) PV = Polar Vortex (Apparently one of the reasons this winter has not started!) FI = Fantasy Island (Weather shown on the models, but unlikely to happen). (Not to be confused with F1, this is a type of motor racing.) GFS = Global Forecasting System (One of the main model outputs) HP = High Pressure (Self explanatory in my view, please feel free to expand on my limited knowledge base!) There is a few more to keep you moving, please ignore the exlainations, just my way of livining things up! Happy new year all! Dave

Thanks Atlantic!

I can not get in, anybody else struggling? If someone could paste the info that would be great. Thanks

NETWEATHER.TV - A funky new name for NETWEATHER.COM (An attempt to increase the commercial fortunes of the site (Everybody likes TV))

Thanks for your reply, a good suggestion! However for ease of use this is still 2 clicks instead of one. I find the best sites are the ones you can navigate with the least number of clicks! Dave

Hi, been using the site for a while and have a suggested improvement to the navigation of the pages. I will explain! You have.... Netweather UK and worldwide weather forum > Weather discussion > Autumn discussion ...at the top of every page I keep finding that I am normally at the bottom of a page when I want to use this link. How about duplicating this link at the bottom of every page it is used. What are other peoples thoughts on this, do you find the same? Thanks Dave

Warning, Warning! People have recommisioned the will it snow at xmas thread! I hear people bosting they have a 55 or 65% of a white xmas according to Met-Check! First and final warning issued! Think we may have to Escalate this one later! Currently at level 5!

Hi, Can I just check! The NW front page says the winter forecast will be out at 8Pm tomorrow, is this not a little late? (Thought you guys only worked 9-5 (only joking)) Just checking this is not a typo, please can someone in the know confrim. Many Thanks Dave

My vote goes to Leekay! Clearly the best photo! Although I can not think of a link to a football team (Does that matter?).

Forecast for Winter 2006/7 Temperature Over much of the European region, the situation is now finely balanced with approximately even chance that the winter will be colder or warmer than average. For the UK, temperatures near the 1971-2000 average are slightly favoured for the winter season as a whole. However, later in the winter season, there is a signal for lower temperatures (relative to average) and an increase in the frequency of cold snaps. Note that even an average winter is likely to include some notable cold snaps and snowfalls. Precipitation For this winter, wetter-than-average conditions are favoured over central and southern Europe, although for the UK, there is approximately even chance of a wetter-or drier-than-average winter. Last winter saw much drier-than-average conditions across northern Europe and all parts of the UK - much as last autumn's forecast had suggested. In the south-east of England this was the continuation of a long period of dry weather starting in November 2004, continuing through to the summer of 2006. End... Think the bits in bold sum the forecast up, somewhat edging their bets at this time... Dave

Please can you change to: Theresnoway Thanks Dave Thanks Paul. Much appreciated! Dave

Hi, does anybody know if I can change my username? If so, how? Please can you PM me. Thanks Dave

New news item from the met-office! News release Wintry weather for the south 22 February 2006 Forecasters at the Met Office are expecting the cold weather to continue across southern areas of the UK over the next few days. A raw easterly wind will bring an increasing risk of sleet and snow through Thursday and Friday. Head of Forecasting at the Met Office, Nick Grahame said: "Snow is likely to settle in places, especially over higher ground, but it's not certain at this stage just how much there will be. Icy conditions could also be a problem in many areas on Friday morning". The Met Office is working with other organisations, such as the Highways Agency, to alert people to the risk and the best advice is to check the latest weather and travel reports over the coming days.

You cant get much more on topic, this is a snow report thread!!