Theresnoway

Not as far as I’m aware, quite a few places have seen good snow fall all day!

So far so good in Wimborne, best snow for many, many years! And still more to come!

Me too!

Powdery

Does anybody know if the approach of the front coming up from the SW, will slow as it bumps into the cold air?

I just found this, it's good as it shows France and UK... https://www.accuweather.com/en/fr/national/weather-radar

Picture of sprinkling in Wimborne

It started just gone 04:30, been steady since.

Can anybody tell me where I should be looking for the source of today’s snow? Is it on the French radar? I can see the moisture over Mid East Franch, but that looks too east?

Yes, nice surprise down here!

I thought the same, but then i’ve Woken up to a snow shower not even forecast. So I wouldn’t worry Too much yet!

Surprise early snow show shower here in Wimborne (Dorset)

The main event is not due until 3pm, so do not get worried too early. There may be some light snow before that, but I'm not sure it will amount to much.

Met office view of 3pm tomorrow.... INCOMING!

Indeed, this thread will be all the better for some positivity ?

The Sky?

Sleet in Wimborne

You mean apart from the fact it never snows?

A little more hope?

I have a 40% chance of sleet tomorrow in Wimborne... Get in there!

This from Matt Taylor, a little hope for those further north in our region! (Not me!)

Indeed! Just watched the latest http://www.gavsweathervids.com/snowwatch.html and not one model suggest much settling snow down south, even for the south east. Always time for upgrades, but not holding my breath. Anyhooo, at least we have some cold rain to look forward to :-(

Should people who are looking for the 6z GFS to verify, be concerned that the operational for London T850's was almost an outlier versus it ensemble suite for the coming weekend? Looking back at the 0z it was not much better, although joined by a couple of the ensembles. There is definitely a trend towards colder, but the mean does not drop below -5, and that is not until Monday 15th February, well into la la land I would suggest. Caution required, as ever.

I'd be very wary of the ECM's solution at 9/10 days, it could be the first to pick up on a new trend, but with little support from the other models, I for one will not be dusting off the sledge quite yet. It'll be interesting to see where the operational sits compared to the ensembles, I'm expecting it to be an outlier later in the period!

Hello John, It would be really helpful to understand the rational to viewing the charts in this way. I can think of 2 possible reasons, but maybe there is a third. 1. Anything beyond 144 is too far out for the models to grasp properly, therefore you should always expect changes at this range between the same timed runs? 2. Different data sets are fed into different runs throughout the day? However, I do wonder that if it is for the first reason, then as long as the models (regardless of which run it is), are showing a similar outcome, then the likelihood of that outcome is just as likely? Thanks in advance David