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Theresnoway

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Everything posted by Theresnoway

  1. Theresnoway
    Goes to show how the varying positions of the high (when it starts to finally move away), have a big impact on the weather we’ll experience.
  2. Theresnoway
    Agree with what you say about being reactionary, going to cause a lot of unnecessary stress! Can the deterministic runs be given any additional weight, or are they exactly the same in terms of accuracy as the ensembles? I always thought deterministic runs had a higher resolution. Thanks
  3. Theresnoway
    Do the models use the same observational data? Or do they all have their own independent inputs? Thanks
  4. Theresnoway
    I’m very surprised there are not local warnings for ice, already heard on 2 cars on their roof due to black ice near Corfe Castle. Standing Water + Freezing = High Impact, IMHO!
  5. Theresnoway
    Tend to agree, probably monitor until midnight, have a good idea by then.
  6. Theresnoway
    I thought the same, should be a warning for Ice. Currently 1 degree and a lot of surface water still. With temps dropping, I’d expect ice to form.
  7. Theresnoway
    Morning All, Quick question, is the data that sits behind the operational runs for any of the charts available? I was thinking about plotting a single variable (eg 850’s) from each run from the same model (offset for time difference), to see where they diverge. So essentially I’m just looking for 850’s data for a single location for each run, from any model. Thanks David
  8. Theresnoway
    I guess the ensembles will help to answer this question, but I would guess around 4 to 5 days.
  9. Theresnoway
    We’ve got a very similar house with scaffolding one up from us! Also have concerns!
  10. Theresnoway
    Things aren’t that bad
  11. Theresnoway
    The Met Office Red has disappeared from the App, I wonder if they’re updating?
  12. Theresnoway
    There’s a lot of irritability on here today, my comment related to ‘IF’ a red warning was issued later tomorrow morning . I have faith in what the Met-Office are capable of, as it sounds like you do!
  13. Theresnoway
    Gate, Horse, Bolt!
  14. Theresnoway
    Indeed, apart from referencing 1986
  15. Theresnoway
    If you’re taking about the high pressure, nowhere fast
  16. Theresnoway
    Superb, thanks for the link. I’m a wanna be data freak . There must be some kind of automation that could be set up to pull the latest data into a DB. I might just give it a go!
  17. Theresnoway
    Evening All, Does anybody know if any of the model ensemble data is available as a data file, as opposed to pre-constructed chart form? I’d like to start plotting different runs for the same date and see how much they vary as they get closer to the period they’re predicting. Thanks
  18. Theresnoway
    You won’t believe this, I just seen an actual snow flake coming out of the sky! The amount of time spent looking at this forum, forecasts and radars has paid off! (Almost)
  19. Theresnoway
    It certainly will decay according to the Met Office, see screenshots below of expected precipitation at 16:00, 17:00 and 18:00.
  20. Theresnoway
    I’m no expert, but having followed this and other forums for over 15 years, generally these cold blocks are underestimated. I would add to that that the further you go out in terms of time, the less reliable the forecast, so whilst it is an outcome, it may not be a likely one.
  21. Theresnoway
    I wouldn’t take a channel that employs Piers Morgan too seriously
  22. Theresnoway
    Settling on grass and cars, will be settling on roads shortly! Guess the 4 hours sleep I got earlier will have to do...
  23. Theresnoway
    The heavier snow has just started in Wimborne, hopefully we’ll get a covering like the IOW.
  24. Theresnoway
    Same here in Wimborne!
  25. Theresnoway
    Definitely not snow in Wimborne, could be sleet? Not sure!
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