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karyo

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Everything posted by karyo

  1. This is associated with the low in France. It will affect the southeast but hopefully the worst affected areas will narrowly escape. There are some heavy showers to the east/northeast of me but they don't seem to move very much. Karyo
  2. A band of light rain has passed through and now it is dry and bright with some decent convection kicking-in. This afternoon should have my favourite summer weather: slow moving heavy showers. Karyo
  3. At long last! What took them so long? The rain over Lincolnshire is intensifying all the time. Also, some very heavy showers just south of Cardiff. Karyo
  4. hi Brian, heavy rain now, very fast deterioration. The rain shouldn't get as heavy here as further south but it is likely to stick for many hours which may become dangerous for flood prone areas. Karyo
  5. The 15:30 radar shows the rain is intensifying now over Lincolnshire. The whole band is moving northwards so Manchester can expect a thoroughly wet evening! I find concerning the persistence of the rain over east Wales - thinking of the river Severn! Karyo
  6. Rain stopped for a couple of hours in Manchester as the first band moved to the west and south (pivoting rain bands around the low). However, it is starting again now as the next band is coming from the east/southeast. The Pennines are gradually dissapearing to the east of me as the rain approaches. I am not expecting thunder though. Karyo
  7. It will turn wet in the Lincolnshire area shortly according to the radar. The South coast is drying up. Moderate rain here turned much lighter here now as the rain band moved west. More to come from the southeast later. Karyo
  8. I think there won't be any electric activity by the time the rain band properly arrives here. I hope I'm wrong of course. It will still be heavy though. Karyo
  9. To the West of the Pennines it's a different story. We've had light rain for the last hour which is now intensifying to the south of the city. Getting darker too. To the west of the Pennines it is still dry and bright but it will go downhill there too during the afternoon. Karyo
  10. The day started cloudy but bright here in Manchester with an easterly breeze. The cloud has thickened now and it started to spit. The main action is much further south of course and I don't expect much rain till the latter part of the afternoon. Karyo
  11. Nice to see cold and snow making the headlines for a change. Nice change! Karyo
  12. What a stunning place! Totally unspoilt beauty thanks to the small number of humans living there. Karyo
  13. I really hope so. Something to help me (and other winter lovers) through the summer months. Seriously though, as positive things may look now, we need to be cautious because I remember many positive signals and winter forecasts that went disappointly wrong! On the other hand, we shouldn't see another winter like 2006/7 in a hurry - even with climate change. Karyo
  14. Apart from some cumulous there's nothing of interest here. Disappointing day! Karyo
  15. It looked pretty promising here until half an hour ago with good convention. However, the clouds have moved to my west now and they could become showers as they slowly head for the coast. To my east, where normally the best convention can be found (Pennines) there's absolutely nothing. Boring blue skies and not a decent cumulous to be seen. It must be some drier air that has moved in from the east. It certainly looks less promising today with higher pressure than yesterday. Karyo
  16. Perfect! Look at her smiley face! This picture perfectly represents how happy snow makes people. Karyo
  17. Precious snow! It makes me wish it was winter again. Oh well, in less than a month the nights will start getting shorter and the countdown will begin again! Karyo
  18. In theory it should be a more active season this time. However, all the forecasts for last year's hurricane season (including NOAA) were wrong as they were talking about above average tropical activity and as we all know it was a very quiet one instead. Karyo
  19. Still snowing nicely in Stoke although the flakes are not that big now. Main roads have loads of slush while minor roads and totally covered now. The local bbc foreast mentioned ice becoming a problem as temperature is expected to drop to 0c but that might be a bit optimistic. A moderate easterly wind makes it look like a blizzard at times! Karyo
  20. Where about are you? Snow is covering everything in Fenpark which is a bit higher than Hanley. Huge flakes as well. Not sure what the temperature is but it must be falling. Karyo
  21. Don't you just love unexpected snow? I heard about the weather warnings for the Midlands this morning and decided to leave work in Manchester early so as to avoid problems for my return to Stoke. As I was leaving Manchester it started to rain and I thought well maybe low elevation and close distance to the Irish sea is the reason. Then in Macclesfieldrain was turning to sleety snow and I started to get dissappointed. The arrived in Stoke where it was snowing but it wasn't settling and I could clearly see the snow from yesterday was thawing slowly. However, within an hour the snow has become a lot heavier and starting to settle againthanks to avaporative cooling and my elevation. Looking at the radar and hearing reports here I think I'll have a lots more as it is moving northeast from Wales and the west midlands area. Great times! PS What a joke the met office forecasts have been I must say. Yesterday tey were talking about a quite day for Friday with no snowfall. This morning they talked about snow for the southwest and wales moving northeast but warning only for those areas and now they realised how much more serious the situation has got. Karyo
  22. The ECM looks bad also. It gives rising pressure to the south and mainland Europe and low pressure to the north. Let's hope things change soon because I have better expectations from February especially after the winter update (met office) earlier this week. Karyo
  23. Can sobody please post the 06z ensembles as I they haven't been updated in net weather? Karyo
  24. It is brilliant news that as the low moves east is likely to track the cold air back in. As we know, not so long ago it was expected to turn milder. Nevertheless, the UKMO doesn't look as promising for the weekend unlike the gfs which brings more snow. Karyo
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