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karyo

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Everything posted by karyo

  1. There will be some very frosty nights if the 6z GFS is correct. It keeps us under the cold air all next week (while the 0z had the Atlantic coming in fast) and as the winds fall light some impressive minimum temperatures are likely.
  2. ICON is not great for picking up showery precipitation. In the last easterly it was showing west of the Pennines to stay dry but that was not the case with a covering of snow for me.
  3. Yes, an upgrade and much less pressure on the Scandi block from the north.
  4. They have also changed the wording a bit to say the wettest conditions will be in southern and central areas while yesterday they said wettest in the northwest. A very odd update with everything thrown in.
  5. Because we want a re-run of 2009/10 but colder! Anyway, today is another spotless day to add to the list.
  6. Started to snow all of a sudden in Piccadilly. Looking at the radar it won't last long.
  7. What is interesting is that snow fell and settled in places close to the coast with upper air temperatures higher than -5c. All due to lack of sea influence and intensity of precipitation. This is why the continent easily manages to get snow events out of marginal situations.
  8. 50% of this year so far is spotless. That's impressive!
  9. Nice to see some areas that missed out last week getting the snow today. Just sleety rain here, even if it turns to snow it won't make any impact. Once again the Met Office didn't do well. The initial warning was for areas further south (north Mids, south Pennines) and then they adjusted it northwards last night.
  10. The track of Emma was probably a symptom rather than the cause. I think the cause was the bitter cold air reaching the mid-north Atlantic which shifted the negative NAO too far west.. So now we are back in boring weather but I guess at least we had an exciting week.
  11. Indeed and it shows how much longer the cold spell could have lasted. It makes me a bit sad actually.
  12. Agreed! Looking at the 30hpa level it still looks rather interesting. In about 10 days time what's left of the vortex is expected to transfer to Siberia with a vague high pressure ridge further west.
  13. I hope you are right and the cold makes a comeback. The 12z ICON brings the cold back from Thursday next week which is a notable shift in the earlier output. A snow event looks possible by Saturday http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/icone_cartes.php?&ech=156&mode=0&map=0&archive=0
  14. I think you will do all right tonight.
  15. Starting to snow here again although the radar hardly shows anything over Manchester. The 12z gfs is good news for the southwest of the region as the band of snow reaches those areas before moving to the west towards Ireland.
  16. Both the north Wales and Sheffield areas of snow seem to have expanded but nothing in Manchester. Maybe I am under a rainshadow now that the precipitation is not showery.
  17. That's right, I also saw this happen in 2013. The wind is not helping things.
  18. Some intensification in the area south of Sheffield and east of Stoke. It is moving west/northwest.
  19. Yes, I see what you mean. I also don't think it takes into account hills etc.
  20. Have a look here http://meteoradar.co.uk/expected-rainfall# I am not sure how reliable it is.
  21. True and that reminds me of March 2013. I remember in April when things started to get a bit milder and it started to rain it felt unusual to see rain. lol
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