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karyo

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Everything posted by karyo

  1. karyo
    Good to see that the new sunspot died a death before it got a chance to be counted.
  2. karyo
    Ok, thanks for clarifying.
  3. karyo
    So if it belongs to SC25 it would mean that we are moving to the next cycle already? I guess that would be no good news if we want a deep minimum or am I getting this wrong?
  4. karyo
    Hopefully we will get that in 2 days.
  5. karyo
    Reaching 100 days in June should be realistic.
  6. karyo
    Thanks Yarmy. You are the fountain of solar knowledge.
  7. karyo
    This is a new low for the solar flux for this cycle.
  8. karyo
    Absolutely throwing it down now!
  9. karyo
    Some heavy showers in west Manchester about half an hour ago but dry in the eastern half.
  10. karyo
    current spell 3 days 55 days so far in 2018 and solar flux 68 Does anybody remember how low was the solar flux in the last minimum? It appears very stable.
  11. karyo
    Is it only the SSW though? I think the quiet sun and the east QBO may be playing their part. I wonder for how long we can hold on to the east QBO...
  12. karyo
    We have already achieved 52 spotless days this year which is half of the total count of 2017! So we are doing very well but taking a break currently as a growing sunspot appeared in the eastern side of the sun that will keep us spot free for a few days.
  13. karyo
    Yes, still pretty chilly in Darlington.
  14. karyo
    Indeed, a very nice trend from the 6z gfs which is also joined by the ICON 6z . Hopefully, this will continue with the afternoon models.
  15. karyo
    The scorpion has the risk of stinging us with a lot of flooding as the two air masses meet over our country. Still good snow potential for Scotland though.
  16. karyo
    Yes, a less cold ICON with the problematic low to the southwest. The gfs up to 165 hours is an improvement for the north and it has a nice Atlantic block but sadly the low gets anchored to the southwest so central and southern areas just get rain. The UKMO has the cold licking the east at 144 hours and like the gfs it has a nice Atlantic block but still with that horrible low to the southwest.
  17. karyo
    Definitely not! Terrible summer for working and sleeping that was followed by a terribly mild winter.
  18. karyo
    Stunning 12z gfs brings the cold from the northeast by Wednesday next week! The UKMO appears much slower.
  19. karyo
    My airbnb hostess in Ariege said that she had a very heavy fall of wet snow in May some years ago. It was so heavy that trees collapsed! The cold March may give the impression of a long winter but overall it was a mild winter here. The 6z gfs certainly offers several opportunities for further spring snowfall.
  20. karyo
    The Pyrenees ski resorts must be very pleased with the extension of the skiing season.
  21. karyo
    Northerly setting in by the end of the run.
  22. karyo
    The UKMO 144 hour chart is quite similar to the GFS so maybe some more support for the Easter northerly. https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php?nh=0&ech=144&carte=1021
  23. karyo
    Which then helps to bring a screaming northerly!
  24. karyo
    Yes, very interesting outlook! Still light snow falling here and the snow survived 80% in balcony :-)
  25. karyo
    Awesome!
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