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karyo

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Everything posted by karyo

  1. karyo
    How fast can it rise? Can we still have negative values by December or is that too much to ask?
  2. karyo
    Actually, the 6z GFS is spectacular in every sense! Florence becomes very troublesome for the whole of the eastern coast, Battering for days the Carolina coast as she stands stationary then slowly moving northwards where it makes landfall in the northeast. And then a major -AO and -NAO combination with the Arctic plunge for the UK.
  3. karyo
    The models have taken a much more interesting turn this morning. The ECM has a large high to the north of Florence which steers it towards the US coast with a landfall in the Carolinas by the end of next week. The UKMO at 144 hours looks very similar to the ECM. The GFS has also shifted Florence further west, it takes her very close to the east coast before moving away for a time but then makes a chenge of direction and eventually hit the far northeast US and Nova Scotia.
  4. karyo
    The 0z ECM has changed its tune regarding Florence's path. It takes her north with no landfall.
  5. karyo
    I can imagine! I went in January 2015 and everything was completely dry with hardly any vegetation. They pray for rain there.
  6. karyo
    I wish I was in the Cabo Verde now. Those islands rarely get any rain so I bet they are looking forward to this developing system. Other than that it looks like a fish (which is not exciting) but at least it could change the pattern in the north Atlantic which may prove interesting for us.
  7. karyo
    Yes, we have lost half a month! Let's hope September will be quiet.
  8. karyo
    The sunspots have overstayed their welcome.
  9. karyo
    https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2018-08-21-august-no-atlantic-hurricanes-2018-rarity
  10. karyo
    Last year all the long range models were showing a very mild winter (remember those orange and reds?) but in the end it was not that bad and March delivered the goods.
  11. karyo
    Nice solar flux drop.
  12. karyo
    Interesting last sentence....
  13. karyo
    This is the worst summer for storms here. I have not heard a single rumble of thunder yet this season and this includes spring! Although my location in not known for its thunder activity i cannot recall another year that I reached August with no thunder at all.
  14. karyo
    Thanks guys, let's hope for a delayed return to positive.
  15. karyo
    For once I will agree with you. One clear advantage of September is that the sun is less strong so you can sunbathe with less risk of sun damage.Much kinder to skin unlike June.
  16. karyo
    I have stopped going to Greece (and other Med countries) in the summer months. The heat is like torture! I normally go late September or October when the weather is much kinder and I can enjoy sunbathing without baking.
  17. karyo
    Is it certain that the QBO will be positive by winter? When is it expected to switch to the positive phase?
  18. karyo
    That makes sense. I can imagine even travelling to work being dangerous with the risk of overheating and collapsing.
  19. karyo
    Maybe most of this season's activity will be initiated in the Gulf of Mexico, at the SSTs there are quite warm.
  20. karyo
    The hottest weather i experienced was when I was a teenager and I visited Athens in 42c. Despite the relatively low humidity, it was highly unpleasant and uncomfortable unless you were indoors with the air con on. I don't even want to imagine what 50c will feel like. Are people expected to go to work in this weather?
  21. karyo
    Nice drop for the solar flux. Is this a new low for this year?
  22. karyo
    Yes, due to sleep deprivation caused by the horrid heat
  23. karyo
    By Friday night I will be sleeping comfortably with the cooler Atlantic air.
  24. karyo
    Sadly that's how it looks, also the update that Summer Sun just posted has removed northwest England from the warning area.
  25. karyo
    Manchester will be bone dry again by the look of things (tomorrow and Friday) with the activity east of the Pennines. At least, my places looks east so I will be able to see the CBs.
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