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karyo

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Everything posted by karyo

  1. The 6z is once again the most enthusiastic with the split from all the gfs runs. We can do with some consistency or upgrades from the 12 and 18z.
  2. Not the ones that live in the UK! lol Anyway, good to see another split in the stratosphere.
  3. High pressure with surface cold would be a blessing until we get a more favourable pattern. It will cool down the ground nicely.
  4. Yes and the UKMO is milder and drizzlier from what I can see. That low to the southwest is a huge pain!
  5. A frosty Xmas morning can wet the appetite for later. Mind you, I would happily accept fog that lingers all day compared to the southerly dross that some charts were showing.
  6. Yes it should feel seasonal. If the high manages to ridge a bit more north in subsequent runs it can get more interesting.
  7. Yes, the update is certainly an improvement.
  8. There will always be areas that find themselves in a rain shadow. A straight easterly may keep you relatively dry but a northeasterly will do the same to another location.
  9. I'd say mainly the 6z. The previous run was not as favourable with a chunk of the vortex thrown over us at 30hpa.
  10. Yes, good to see a proper split showing as previous runs were underwhelming. It is the 6z gfs though which is not the most reliable. We need to see consistency from now on.
  11. To be honest, this reminds me of the updates we had a month ago and I'm the end we only for a brief cold spell. Also the wintry showers indicate that the uppers won't be very cold. Snow likely in frontal battlegrounds where not very cold uppers are needed. Let's take it as a holding update till the situation with the stratosphere becomes clear.
  12. The sooner the cold starts the better so that we benefit from the long nights!
  13. I also liked the Sicromonte hills overlooking the city. There are caves there where hippies live.
  14. Yes it sounds like a holding update until a clear pattern emerges. Not bad but not exciting either.
  15. I think so as Scandi and Siberia have below normal rainfall. However, the same applies to Iberia and Italy which is not what we want to see.
  16. Maybe they have seen how next week has imploded and are more cautious as a result.
  17. A bit underwhelming today! Basically equal chance between westerlies and more settle weather with high pressure nearby. We lost the wording of colder weather with the high pressure.
  18. The energy is going over the high as the trough is positively titled. It doesn't look good to me.
  19. Netweather is not the only weather site you know.
  20. Quite a change in the models in the last 24 hours. Basically the high pressure is too far east for the UK and not as strong as initially thought. To be honest, I am not gutted because the easterly looked a bit toothless (the uppers were surprisingly high for mid December). Let's hope we get cool zonality before the next easterly opportunity arises.
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