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Everything posted by WS Evolution
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Got a good dumping of snow today while visiting family between York and Malton. At one stage the A64 was completely covered and closed in both directions. Ended up abandoning the car a short distance from my destinations, but later returned after the road was snowploughed. There was about 4 inches on the road. Some of the heaviest snow I have seen. I would guess 4 to 5 inches fell in 1 hour.
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The warnings are for an area of risk, they don't say everyone will be hit in that region and they can't predict exactly where the showers will be in those situations. Its all about levels of risk for an area. If you just miss out it does not mean the warning was wrong ! as the risk was still there. Thats way they say "moderate risk". I am hoping the showers do develop further south and further inland tonight but so far today the warning areas are correct. if they start developing south of North Yorkshire I am sure they will update the warnings.
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Based on the latest charts the shot term chance of snow has reduced away from the north and east facing hills of the North York Moors. If the models change or the showers start developing further south, so will the warnings. Long term the chance of snow is still good, but not as good as it was showing yesterday. Met office warnings seem fair to me.
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They have been downgraded because it looks likely that significant showers will be for the far north east of our region for today and tomorrow. Radar currently showing the showers to the north of out region so its correct so far. I hope the showers shift further south, but I think away from the North York Moors the chances of seeing significant snow have reduced for tonight and tomorrow.
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Frequent snow showers from new year onwards looks quite likely now with a high risk of significant snow in the east, but also pushing far inland for a time. Repeat of two weeks ago I think ! some areas will do allot better then others depending on the streamers, but looking good for most of us in the east.
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It looks increasingly likely that the low pressure system will be too far south for this region to receive a large dumping of snow from it, but there will be a significant threat from convection off the north sea from a brisk easterly. Snow showers across the region for at least 5 days with the east getting the most.
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North East England Cold Spell Discussion
WS Evolution replied to grab my graupel's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
In Lapland last year it was -6 and it started raining very dangerous conditions, luckily it was not that heavy. Clearing the windscreen took quite a while ! -
Midday and the temperature here is -5C ! extremely impressive day time temp .... should rise for a few hours but will be another ice day, with plenty of laying snow. I would expect the snow to last up until Christmas now at least, with snow or freezing rain early Christmas eve. Freezing fog could be a big problem after that.
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Pickering on the 20th: York: Brandsby: Further Pictures here: http://www.gojicafe.co.uk/dec20th-2009/