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lord stratus

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Everything posted by lord stratus

  1. lord stratus
    The 1927 snow storm was from a different set up. The country was very cold before the snow set in. This weekends snow set up is messy but could evolve into something special, providing there is a south and west correction.
  2. lord stratus
    Of course, that's the very nature of the weather, so I think it's best to put in each sentence "as it stands". I would say, as it stands, much of England & Wales will have a rain event with the north east and Scotland having snow. Then rain in England & Wales turning to snow later before petering out. This could change with a south or north shift of the low!
  3. lord stratus
    I agree with some slight snow chance on Saturday in the south. Theres not much snow in the south of the UK on that map for Sunday though!
  4. lord stratus
    When you say latest, what time was that? I saw kirky at 7.15 and the snow event was a northeast event, so I wouldn't call that a shift south! She did say that the snow area could change if the low pressure altered its track.
  5. lord stratus
    Yes, the T stands for towel, well and truly thrown in! The current output pushes that T further north reducing the snow area. If there is a further correction north, then we are looking at a snow on hills event only. If there is a correction south then it's game on for more of the country.
  6. lord stratus
    I agree, as we move into the weekend it's best to keep a close eye on the ukmo and ECM. I believe there will be a south and west correction over the next couple of days which will mean a change in the snow risk areas.
  7. lord stratus
    I agree with you entirely but you should also consider reporting posts that are created to wind up members. When this forum was called hunt for cold recently there was a certain member only looking for a mild outcome whatever the charts were showing. Playing on people's disappointments when a cold spell or snow event recedes is not in the spirit of things!
  8. lord stratus
    I agree, as we move into the weekend it's best to keep a close eye on the ukmo and ECM. I believe there will be a south and west correction over the next couple of days which will mean a change in the snow risk areas.
  9. lord stratus
    Cracking easterly on ECM.
  10. lord stratus
    What's yours called?
  11. lord stratus
    You are correct, for example if you take yesterday's output from ECM and ukmo you would expect to see a snowy Sunday for much of the UK. If we have this snow event on sunday then you can call the ECM rock solid. Ukmo tends to play it safe though so could not be given the same amount of praise!
  12. lord stratus
    Lol
  13. lord stratus
    If I had a pound for the everything further west quote I would be a rich man!
  14. lord stratus
    As you say a westward correction is required and is quite possible. Jan 18th snow had a south and west corrections up to that event which is generally what happens in these cases.
  15. lord stratus
    It's the sort of post that annoy me most, looking for the end of a cold spell before it's even begun!
  16. lord stratus
    I agree with your post entirely. Some people on here writing off the easterly a week ago have now become experts on how severe it may or may not be. And to say no chance of it being as cold as previous cold spell is quite foolish. At the moment it doesn't look exceptionally cold but no one on this forum knows what it may evolve into. There does seem to be snow events coming up which will suit most people and there is the possibility that the lowest night time temperatures of the winter could be recorded
  17. lord stratus
    You'll hate it!
  18. lord stratus
    ECM rock solid? What does that mean? I would like to see the ECM verify but it can't be considered rock solid or incorrect until we see the eventual outcome. If its rather cold or average in 7/10 days then the ecm will have been proven incorrect and not rock solid!
  19. lord stratus
    My reasoning is based on looking at all the data available not just from the ECM. As I said yesterday there will be a watering down of the cold solution shown on ECM, which I can see this morning. As expected the backdown will be subtle at first but will gather pace during the next couple of days.
  20. lord stratus
    Wintry showers north facing coastal areas, mainly dry elsewhere. Night time temps 0c to -3c nationwide, day time temps 0c in far north, 5c to 6c further south. Rather breezy.
  21. lord stratus
    I find that people looking for cold weather will always say that the best model is the one showing what they want at the time. If the gfs were showing a very cold, snowy solution tonight and the ECM were showing mild southwesterlies, the ECM would be rubbished!
  22. lord stratus
    The next gfs run will leave us none the wiser, however I expect a less impressive cold solution from ECM tomorrow which will begin the climb down with that model. This watering down should then continue on subsequent runs.
  23. lord stratus
    Sometimes I think it's not worth the heartache for some people on here. When a cold spell comes to an end they get really down. It's a bit like looking forward to Christmas then the gloom sets in when you have to go back to work in the new year! Anyway as you say we still have feb & march.
  24. lord stratus
    I think people on here looking for another cold spell should wait until mid next week before looking at the charts as I believe we will see better trends by then. This cold spell won't go out with a bang for the majority of England & Wales. There will be some snow in the north & east for a short time but the rest of the country will have rain from the outset.
  25. lord stratus
    I know you meant a blocking pattern but the point I am making is that the expected or desired weather type doesn't always play out, this is why the weather makes an ass of us on this forum and the professionals on many occasions!
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