cyclonic happiness
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Posts posted by cyclonic happiness
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1 hour ago, stainesbloke said:
In Philadelphia with work and it's 21C here at 9am! Madness. Some torrential rain and even a thunderstorm overnight! Family near New York reporting 20C there currently. No sign of cold here either, does feel very strange and a little bit ominous.
It'll flip back. The whole Arctic cannot be hemmed in on all side for too long, before it bursts open somewhere. (hopefully in this direction)
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1 hour ago, jethro said:
Ditto. I've never had Red Cabbage eaten by any bugs before but this year they're covered in slugs, sprouts are just the same. Never been able to harvest lettuce at Christmas either but this year there's a whole row, completely uncovered too, it's bonkers.
We grow all the food for our on-site cafe, and they're still getting lettuce too! Funnily enough, it's not been cold enough for the winter lettuce varieties, which bolted to seed, this is so weird.
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4 hours ago, jethro said:
Temperature doesn't make much difference to winter flowering things, they're governed by length of day light levels. Take Poinsettia as an example.....to get the bright red bracts they need exacting conditions of 12 hours daylight&12 hours complete dark. If you put them in a warm room, put a box over them to get the complete dark period you'll get exactly the same result as you would if you put them in a cold room with a box over them-might make a day or two difference, but that's all.
Spring flowering things can be influenced by temperature, hence Knocker's Daffodils. However, I'd urge lots of caution on that score as different varieties have different flowering times and it's perfectly normal to have some flowering very early.
Down here I've got Roses still in bloom, no frost to stop them but the mildness hasn't overcome the length of day governed Snowdrops, they're just beginning to peek through the ground.
Today is positively vile, about as un-Christmassy as it's possible to get.
I have noticed that my Witch-hazel is only just coming into flower now. Some years it's been over by now. I think they hang back as if they know worse weather is to come.
I'm in the same trade as you Jethro, it's very, very weird atm, and the amounts of pests and diseases around this winter, is phenomenal.
Only last week we had an entire bed of ornamental brassicas ravaged by cabbage white butterfly caterpillars, and they were swarming!
More slugs and snails than ever, more botrytis and blackspot. It's horrible, I'm praying for frost!
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5 hours ago, knocker said:
Scandinavian trough brings cold plunge over the UK with probability of blizzards as the secondary feature swoops SE. Severe disruption likely and an emergency meeting of Cobra is planned.
This is more like it :-D ^^^^
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I wish that the GFS hadn't have been upgraded. I know it's better for forecasting, but it has killed off one of the most vibrant and fun parts of this forum.
We all love to mull over charts in FI (regardless of what you say, you know you do it! :-D) to see phantom easterlies, or raging blizzards and minus ten 850s, but now we just have the monotony that is the British weather.
I used to love seeing all the crap in FI, I'd go to work with a spring in my step after seeing the latest charts, and imagining all the lovely cold and icey days that could go along with it.
I don't want to see the truth, I want FI to lie through its teeth and give me my phantom easterly!!! ><
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The weather is getting more and more dull and boring. We are going to be owed so badly by the weather gods!! ><
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Yep, we have some daffs out at the nursery where I work!!
I'm hoping we do get a decent winter, it'll be three years without snow in march
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Annoyingly, the Midlands doesn't even get enough rain to get excited about. I don't think I've ever been so bored with the model output as the past 2 years.
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You always get periods like this, and usually just before a major pattern change. That there isn't an epic cold spell showing in FI, is probably a good sign :-D
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it's absolute blizzard conditions here. Heavy snow and gales.Too breezy tonight for evaporative cooling, you need really still conditions.
We have an inch already. Gonna take some video. Stunning! :-D
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http://www.natice.noaa.gov/pub/ims/ims_gif/DATA/cursnow_asiaeurope.gif
Wow, big gains in Scandinavia over the last few days, must be near record snow cover for the time of years, and it's not even Winter yet :-D
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Quite a lot of stuff coming through the Cheshire gap, i wonder if it's gonna be a bit more eventful than we all thought, tonight? :-P
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Heavy sleet shower passing through here now, bodes well for later. The wind is also really strong again.
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The forecast is going for 60 mph winds running down the far east of the region, just imagine if there was snow in that too?
We're so unlucky here aren't we?
People keep anging on about how wonderful 2010 was, and yet we only had half an inch of snow that cold spell.
Seems like we can rarely get over an inch in any set-up nowadays.
Never used to be like that when I was a kid in the 80s, the northerlies were potent enough to bring snow from the direct north over the entire length of the Pennines, and still give us a few good inches of snow.
The one thing I've learnt about climate change, it's that it makes the weather in the Midlands impotent and dull!
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The Midlands is taking a real battering, the huge sign from Fort Dunlop in Brum has blown down, trees down, lorries turned over, numerous powercuts. I hope people stay safe!
https://www.facebook.com/wearefreeradio/photos/pcb.1325439484150549/1325437347484096/?type=3&theater
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Why does the West Midlands always have to be in the minority
We never get anything exciting here. Always amazes me how the lowest mountain range in europe (The Cambrian) has the biggest rain shadow. The Welsh hills can kill rain better than the Alps! We will never get a decent fall of snow every again......
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Are you both in the countryside?
Never known a power cut here in the more urban areas from wind. Did dip briefly from the manic lightning storm on the 3rd July though.
Bedworth does seem to have a lot of power cuts generally though
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Are you both in the countryside?
Never known a power cut here in the more urban areas from wind. Did dip briefly from the manic lightning storm on the 3rd July though.
No, I'm in town, but it's a very small town and right at the top of a hill
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Just seen the whole sky to the east flashing, and the power flicked, there must have been a transformer blowing?
Awaiting power cuts
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looking pretty scary for tomorrow evening. We get 70mph gales maybe once every 15 years here and they cause death and damage.
Stay safe!
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Why is a 60mph wind more damaging to the Midlands than anywhere else in the country? I've been to the Midlands before and the houses are still made of bricks and mortar like the vast majority across the UK. And in those 60 years the Midlands will have experienced far worse than what is forecast tomorrow, so don't be worried.
Trees and fences etc, don't get blown about, so tend to be weaker. And dead wood and branches etc aren't tidied up as much and are left on trees nowadays, so are liable to be blown down.
If there are going to be 70mph winds across the middle Midlands, it'll be very damaging indeed.
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60mph winds would be more damaging to parts of the Midlands which rarely see winds over 40mph, even on the windiest days. It's very worrying for me and my work (old glasshouses over 60 years old)
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Any updates about tomorrow's severe gales?
The Midlands (well, around here) rarely get winds of 60mph, so it could cause a huge amount of damage and chaos.
We're all understandably looking towards the weekend, but there's something extreme just 24 hours away?
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Seems like the GFS is leading us up the garden path again. The cold spell is now shortened to a cold snap, which looks like it'll topple pretty quickly. Wouldn't be surprised if it wasn't downgraded out of existence in the next couple of days.
Still, if we see snow, it'll be a bonus, seeing as it's not even winter yet. Am I expecting too much?
Model output discussion - 1st December onwards
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
i know it's gonna happen but.............
'There must be missing data'