cyclonic happiness
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Posts posted by cyclonic happiness
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4 minutes ago, Joao 02 said:
Yes incredible warmth for time of year, cold air very far away.
Ah yes, but in the past, we've had very warm southerlies in winter, which tend to get followed by very cold either easterlies or northerlies.
Direct southerly flows are not the enemy of cold winters, they are the harbingers of cold spells
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9 minutes ago, Don said:The weather hasn't been 'playing ball' with the usual drivers for sometime now and I think we all know why! Yes, forecasting possibly more difficult than ever nowadays!!
yes, the Tonga eruption, it's played havoc
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13 hours ago, Don said:
Was it a 'magical' experience?!
I'm not sure, i'll tell you when I stop floating in space
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2 hours ago, mb018538 said:
Tell you what….day after day of rain gets tedious a whole lot quicker than day after day of sun. Been horrendous here again today, about the 4th time in the last couple of weeks it’s been a total washout.
I think it's been great, been mushroom hunting the last few days and there are tons about, I was worried it'd be a write off season. and we really do still need the rain, rather now than in summer
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Latest GFS showing a possible very weak easterly flow after the southerly right at the end of the run,
Could be good for us, although it's nowhere near set in stone.
Also, it's slightly alarming as, if a certain nutter from Russia wants to drop the bomb on Ukraine, the fallout would go away from russia.
This will be the first winter I've not really wanted a raging easterly
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43 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
EC 46 for second half ofNovember..
what is that a HP/LP anomaly or a temperature anomaly?
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I think it's been such a strange year for weather, that nothing can be ruled out.
We have the extra heat from the Hunga Tunga eruption, which is an unknown element that we've not really seen before.
Plus I don't think I can ever remember the Atlantic and jet stream being so dead, I think we have an exciting period ahead
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ours is set to 17'c during the day and it's completely off at night.
it's a big ,draughty Victorian house with open fires, so it's alway cool in winter and summer
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1 hour ago, markyo said:
There was nothing, and i honestly mean nothing, i travel trans Pennie most days, maybe 2 or 3 days with anything on the very tops. Shocking Winter.
the past 2 winters have been awful. Last winter we didn't have a single snowflake in Warwickshire, but it did snow in november as a bit of a p**s take.
The winter before just had a couple triple-M snowfalls (Melts Mid Morning) which are no use whatsoever
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27 minutes ago, East Lancs Rain said:
I think temps are still below average, especially at night. After the last couple of warm Septembers, it feels unseasonably cool. I like a warm and sunny September, because by September it’s cooling off anyway and the sun is getting weaker. And the fact that it’s the last warm month before the cold, rain and gloom of autumn and winter sets in, for six months or so. It’s a long wait until spring. So it’s nice to get an Indian Summer.
Depressing isn’t it? At least here it’s been mostly dry and temps have still managed 14/15°C this weekend, was actually able to sit in the garden in shorts and a t-shirt on Saturday afternoon, felt quite pleasant in the sun, but sadly it will soon be too cold to do that until next March at the earliest.
This week looks to be a bore fest here, not much sun, not much rain, very little wind, temps coolish at 15-18°C, one word, zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.
Saw a nice rainbow yesterday though, during a heavy shower.
The sun is out in London for the Queens Funeral, ironic considering it was pouring down during her coronation in 1952.
I know this will probably be an unpopular opinion on a weather forum but... I (and many others) do not want a cold winter this year, due to the soaring cost of energy bills. A lot of people will struggle to keep warm this winter, and with the dry summer, a mild and wet, Atlantic winter would be ideal this year, to top up the reservoirs and reduce the burden on people’s wallets. A cold and dry winter would be the worst outcome.. But it would be Sod’s law that after a decade of mostly mild winters, that we get a cold one when it’s least wanted.
It would be nice to get a bit of snow this winter - but we have to consider the people who will not be able to afford to heat thier homes.
I think we all know it's probably going to be the coldest winter on record, if only for the fact that we cannot afford to heat our homes.
We could always burn politicians to keep warm?
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I really do think this Summer's weather has been really affected by the Tongan eruption, also would explain the sheer amounts of amazing sunsets we are getting, plus the extra heat.
It's also a bit scary to think we could have the extra warming from the eruption for up to 10 years! We have truly entered the next phase of global warming and it's just been turbo charged
Tonga's volcano sent tons of water into the stratosphere. That could warm the Earth
WWW.NPR.ORG"We've never seen anything like it," said atmospheric scientist Luis Millán, who works at NASA. The vapor sent skyward by the eruption will likely stay in the stratosphere for years.-
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10 hours ago, Snowy L said:
Don't know what happened to the rainfest, looking like a decent weekend now. Brilliant news.
Yes, it really is sad isn't it, The Atlantic just doesn't have enough umph to push weather systems over us like they're supposed to.
And with the lack of a decent jet stream in this area (well, at least until the end of the model runs, let's see if that comes off?
), not much will change.
And it's so weird to see low pressures stationary or ex-hurricanes just wandering about the Atlantic like they're lost or something, the whole of this Summer has just been weird and boring, maybe it's the Tonga eruption which has thrown the world's weather out of kilter, they say it ejected sso much water vapour and elements into the stratosphere, it's bound to have done something?
Tonga's volcano sent tons of water into the stratosphere. That could warm the Earth
WWW.NPR.ORG"We've never seen anything like it," said atmospheric scientist Luis Millán, who works at NASA. The vapor sent skyward by the eruption will likely stay in the stratosphere for years. -
Looks like the majority of the rain will miss us again today. The desert zone of middle England remains dry as a bone, even with yesterday's drizzle
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I know it's a bit off topic, but it really grates on me that the Met Office's Dan Stroud cannot pronounce his 'THs'.
You'd think that such an eminent job, it would be vital to be able to pronounce words correctly? End of moan
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Look at this absolute mess of troughs and fronts for Monday, surely we will get some decent rainfall from it?
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9 hours ago, Sunny76 said:
I don’t know why people say you shouldn’t kill them. I hate those fookers
Traditionally, it's said to be extremely bad luck to kill a spider in the house
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Last night was by far the worst night's sleep this year, even worse than the last hot spell.
Upstairs stayed at 27'c all night, the fan was on full blast and I still ended up covered in sweat and only slept maybe 2 hours.
Now I have the joy of going into glasshouses again to work all day (I was there yesterday too, but only for 2 hours, but had to have a nap when I got home.....it's exhausting when it 47'c with 100% humidity
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2 hours ago, Ed Stone said:
No, the vodka's driving me to the heat! Anyone else getting sick of the sight of cloudless skies!
Yes, I am!! it was 47'c at work today and I'm half dead again after watering all the glasshouses. The sky is a really weird blue colour, whereas it's supposed to be grey? I'm not sure what magic this is but i'll be glad when we fade to grey again
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17 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:
The start of the Amber extreme heat warning
comes into force today for the next four days
It’s very rare that these up and coming four days will hit the mid 30’s in a row.
It’s been mentioned the last time this happened was back in 1976
I was tring to explain this to some over 60s fokk at work, but they will not have it.
"ha! .... 1976 it was hot from the first week of may until the last day of september" another one said " so what if it's going to be 33'c plus for the next 4 days, in 1976 it was over 30'c every day for 3 months!!".
I sometimes wonder how many times I have to prove people wrong before they'll accept it, but it's been 8 years in my current job and I'm still waiting....
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17 minutes ago, The PIT said:
This time is erupted at the lowest point not on a hill.
yes, and it's got quite a long fissure now, all pointing straight to Kelir mountain, so maybe it'll spread that way?
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34 minutes ago, Rush2112 said:
Fountains right along the fissure.
looks amazing!!! Wow! we've seen the birth of 2 volcanos in just over a year. Well. unless you'd class this as part of Nar? I'm not sure, it's pretty near to him?
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1 hour ago, The PIT said:
I#m beginning to think that this is just a moss fire that someone's set off. Probably the two people we saw earlier.
I think you might be right.
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2 minutes ago, The PIT said:
That was me having a shower
geez!! they felt that in Iceland
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Big quake just struck, felt in the capital. Won't be long now
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Trouble is, people have set the bar at 2010 levels, and that was exceptional. Also, it's far too early in the season for deep cold. But I can imagine we will have a couple of shots at this before we it happens. This is hopefully a practice run. But I think we will get something out of the ordinary purely due to the Tongan eruption, because nobody knows what affect shooting that much water vapour up into the atmosphere will do, and it's taken until now to filter into the world's weather systems completely.
But the charts are looking amazing and very unsual even now, fingers crossed!!!