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cyclonic happiness

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Posts posted by cyclonic happiness

  1. Here's is what appears to be going on off in the North Sea to the east.

    You have a large low pressure out to the south, and this is swinging bands of cloud and precipitation around it.

    The direction the cloud is travelling in in 'blue' and the way the cloud should move later tonight and in to tomorrow, in 'red'.

    you can see there's a lot of precipitation out there and the wind should be strong enough to get it hear later tonight

    snow1.png

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 4
  2. 20 minutes ago, Rich_T said:

    BBC weather app

    Today: Light rain showers and light winds

    Sunday Gusty winds, and light snow temp 2/1

    Monday light cloud and moderate breeze

    Tuesday light cloud and moderate breeze

    Wednesday light cloud and moderate breeze

    Thursday light cloud and moderate breeze

     

    Same thing until Sunday 14th, where light cloud is replaced with sunny intervals

     

    I remember watching a forecast on the bbc a couple of years ago, that said dry and sunny, whilst looking out the window to snow piling up. They really are bad nowadays

    • Like 1
  3. 1 minute ago, Jon Snow said:

    Just looked at the 0z and to me, there’s still plenty of stunning output showing bitter easterly winds and snow showers, severe frosts / wind-chill etc...that may sound OTT but with uppers (T850’s) plummeting to minus 12 or lower in places..it’s no exaggeration!...

    yes, but we cannot ignore the elephant in the room the GFS, I think most people feel quite alarmed by the way it's flipped so drastically in the medium term.

    I'll go with the GFS, as I know I won't be disappointed

    • Like 6
  4. I'm a bit worried about two things really.

    1. America's east coast has gone into the freezer, and that usually fires up the jet stream and blows all the systems' through the UK rapidly.

    2. The GFS is wobbling, and has flipped from severe cold to mild in the late reliable and FI.

    I fear this'll be another watered down spell, and that like Saturday, we'll end up with sleet before the Atlantic powers through.

    I really hope I'm wrong

    • Like 2
  5. ay.dibDoes a 30% chance of precipitation and not a single symbol for anything falling from the sky tomorrow, really justify a yellow warning for this area?

    Also, why is the metoffice website showing dry all day tomorrow when we all know 100% that it's going to at least rain?

    I'm starting to wonder whether they are losing the plot??

    ay.jpg

  6. 1 hour ago, IDO said:

    Never say never with weather, but the trend is your friend, or not in this case, and with only gem and a handful of gefs now pointing in that direction with T-5days, I am doubtful. There is a good chance we may get another stalling front at the weekend before the Atlantic rolls in so fingers crossed for that boundary for some temporary snow?

    I am still sitting firmly on the fence as to after the Atlantic trough has emptied east/SE. The gfs op 06z is probably the favourite:

    gfsnh-0-318.thumb.png.05e62591c7e4ed53e682fdb0076d7686.pnggfsnh-1-318.thumb.png.639223eda98ad0a2a05ff53e07800689.png

    The UK (south) relying on scraps and just not cold enough uppers for anything too interesting. The north and elevation will enjoy that NW'ly flow.

    They said that about the last lots of snow that's still mostly still here, the uppers were mediocre at best, but we had the best snowfall in 3 years here.

    • Like 1
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