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Mark Bayley

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Everything posted by Mark Bayley

  1. Indeed, and as noted in the model thread, the ARPEGE also looks to be tracking further south, although doesn't go past T72 There will be numerous changes in track and intensity over the coming days. As per my previous post, i'd plump for somewhere in the Midlands faring best! Or perhaps just the Scottish mountains Good job its rubbish
  2. I was jesting, but yes that is how i see it unfolding. Based on the models so far today, the 'sweet spot' will be somewhere south of the line from Sheffield, north of Northampton. Although further north could still get a couple of cm's - if it doesn't shift south. This could still happen (e.g. NAVGEM), so caution advised!
  3. Unfortunately I now live 'down south', although will be up north until Sunday evening. No doubt it will track through the Midlands, meaning i miss in both cases!
  4. Sods law dictates that it will track so far south that most of the UK misses any precipitation, or it turns into a Pennies only event! In all seriousness, looking like somewhere between Yorkshire and the South Midlands is in for a shot. I'd go with with higher ground across the Midlands as favoured. I'll be coming back to the SE on Sunday evening, from the north Midlands. I'll be hoping to catch something!
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