Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Mark Bayley

Members
  • Posts

    3,165
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

Everything posted by Mark Bayley

  1. We should have this guy.. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=32FB-gYr49Y How do you embed youtube videos?
  2. I imagine the warning could be extended southwards (say to Sheffield) for western areas of our region overnight, must depends on the intensity of the showers are how far south and west they make it
  3. It is simply a case of radar watching. Snow reports from the NW thread already
  4. Yes been keeping an eye on that HS. Done well out of marginal events so far. Third time lucky? Wind really picked up here as the cold front pushes through. Not expecting showers (i.e. prolonged) till early morning, when the streamers hopefully push south. Thinking Sheffield will do well out of this
  5. Don't you mean W, NWN flow, or you referring to the weekend? Showers will certainly make it across the Pennies, just a question of who they hit!
  6. 25cm of snow in Sheffield ? Of course wildly optimistic but highlights the potential for a decent covering should you be lucky enough to fall under a streamer
  7. Yes, i wouldn't pay too much attention to the BBC weather graphics and forecasts, just as you wouldn't with GFS and other model precipitation charts (especially in shower scenarios). They are only a guide. Our region will see snow tomorrow and Thursday, with pretty much anywhere at risk. Some will get lucky with 5-10cm, others may only getting a dusting! Wouldn't like to guess potential sweet spots, although Pennine regions should do well
  8. Yeah, was certainly a shock waking up to it. Still, why they didn't update i'll never know. If half a meter of snow doesn't warrant a red warning i don't know what does, although i guess it had stopped snowing, after about 24 hours
  9. Amazing pictures! Was truly an exceptional event, yet not even a red warning from the meto
  10. NMM has about 10cm of snow in Sheffield, put my postcode in, about 7miles further south and i have none . Not to be taken literally ofc however i can see it now that all showers are going to run west to east, but just to the north of me
  11. Metoffice warning updated, extended further south to include all our region, with the exception of central and southern Lincolnshire
  12. Yes, especially as we get closer to the time. Should come in range of the NAE by Wednesday. Marginal towards the coasts. Should precipitation hit higher ground then perhaps a decent, although small, snow event. Agree about the wishbone effect. Looks dry away from the coastal fringes, although given the depth of the cold troughs and disturbances can't be ruled out. I think the great aspect of this spell is if any of us get some decent accumulations over the coming days then they should last until the middle/end of the next week.
  13. Yes one to watch. GFS and ECM have it to east of us so no precipitation. GEM further west whereas the NAVGEM and UKMO over us. Hopefully the last two closer to the mark. Its marginal although night should help! NAVGEM UKMO GEM ECM GFS
  14. Anybody spotted this for Friday night? Marginal but could add to any decent totals that we receive from the snow showers!
  15. One only has to look back at the 20-40cm of snow that fell in December 2010 across the South Yorkshire region to realise we can get major snowfall events in this country. That event was unprecedented, im sure in Sheffield it was the most snow that had fell within 24 hours on record? No doubt we'll see heavy snow events again. As you say its a matter of when!
  16. Not that i advise following GFS precipitation charts however scroll through from Wednesday to Thursday evening. Constant snow showers for the bulk of our region. Still think i'll be too far south for decent accumulations however a good dusting to a cm or two possible. Those lucky to be caught in a stream will no doubt see several cm's! http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/royaume-uni/precipitations/3h.htm
  17. Yes, could be some significant accumulations for the pennies regions. Looks good for pretty much anywhere seeing a dusting to a covering of snow, especially those with distance north and west. Reckon i'll be too far south for when winds veer westerly, although still hoping to achieve a dusting. West Yorkshire the best location GEM highlights another potential snow event on Friday
  18. Glad to see the meto cover the whole of our region and to an extent the North Midlands. Lots of heavy snow shower potential. Although the nature of showers means some will wake up to dusting while others 3-5cm+! Thereafter remaining cold with further snow opportunities Friday and early next week. 6z looks best for long term cold (and keeping any snow) with potential for further opportunities (GEM, to an extent, also) whereas the ECM suggests milder from mid next week They are better situated for snow showers. Thats not to say we can't do well!
  19. To further illustrate SK's point (with the 12z) charts. Looks marginal on the 850hpa for Friday (potential snow event). Dewpoints support snow away from the coasts
  20. Yes, id watch the snow shower potential closely. Back edge snow probably for the Pennines
  21. @ Nick: Agreed, back edge snow rather limited (perhaps high ground in the north, i.e. pennies). A better opportunity comes from the snow showers on Wednesday, which i suspect could make decent distance in land. Although like you understand peoples frustrations, especially those towards the south east. Long range ECM looking interesting with a mid-Atlantic ridge and the PV shunted west of Greenland. Whether the ECM is over amplified and overdone the PV split remains to be seen!
  22. Wednesday, at least according to the GFS, looks another opportunity. Although back edge snow during the day isn't the best scenario. Snow showers Wednesday night and into Thursday morning looking more ideal. Hopefully provide a little interest more widely, although noting significant for our region. I note the GFS shows another slider on Sunday. Third time lucky (for Sheffield)..?
  23. I suspect the GFS is overdoing precipitation on Wednesday, or at least the snow potential. A glance at the NetWx-MR suggests some back edge snow as the front clears south, with accumulations to high ground perhaps? Nothing extraordinary. Behind it snow showers will pile into NI, Western Scotland, NW England and Wales (with overnight accumulations). Perhaps some making it far inland given the strength of the wind (e.g. Cheshire gap). Looking less good with distance south and east (e.g. worst locations probably SE Midlands, SW, Southern England, SE and EA). Friday sees the potential for weak front to progress southwards overnight, although associated with a milder sector (so marginal snow situation to low ground) and further south. All subject to change of course. Thereafter the potential for a sliders and winds to swing north easterly. Plenty of snow opportunities in the coming week, although i understand why those in aforementioned region may feel disappointed, given these regions are more likely to 'miss out', or at least within the next several days Wednesday day Wednesday night/Thursday day Friday night
  24. Still some snow around the higher elevations of Sheffield and in a few sheltered spots around me. It has however mostly gone now. Heres some pictures from the other day. Looks like the net cold spell is not so far away. Some back edge snow Wednesday (GFS)? Maybe not. A cold N/NW-erly should allow for an increasing risk of snow showers as we head towards and into the weekend. Thereafter the potential for winds to swing north easterly (and potential slider). A much better opportunity for those so far starved of snow, although greater marginality near the coast Pictures taken on Wednesday and Thursday. All pictures are from Creswell Derbyshire, whereas the one of the tram stop is in Sheffield (note how much more so with elevation)
×
×
  • Create New...