Mark Bayley

Think you'll be able to make it over? I'll admit i was quite wrong about this event, i thought it seemed to marginal for those away from the peaks. GFS 18z clears precipitation post mid-night, although at this stage its just a case of radar watching

Odd the radar shows its getting lighter yet its the heaviest its been in a long while! Seems its about stall over South Yorkshire before moving south, i may see my 10cm! @craigers if you're online. Snowboarding is on tomorrow, if you can make it there

6cm of snow now. Still a decent amount coming down. Would like to make it to 10cm but it seems to becoming lighter. Still, i thought i'd only get a couple of cm's tops as it cleared. First decent snow in over a year! Was also breaking some the smaller bushes in the garden (due to the high water content) so had to go out a bash them all. Im sure i looked quite odd

Was fearing that gap just to the north of Nottingham may get us, but seems to be moving more eastwards than northwards now. Should be another 2-3 hour of heavy precipitation before it starts to clear, which will hopefully give us all time for a dusting

Still snowing moderately. Reckon i have 3-4cm, although will go out and measure when snow clears in a few hours (the heavy stuff). Hopefully temperatures drop enough so i can get a few daylight pictures!

Huge flakes here, the temperature is perfect; 0.2c. Still a good few hours of heavy precipitation

Thats frustrating :/ Whats your sea level? You're only 20mins from me so hopefully it does turn!

Tend to stick to the Yorkshire thread but technically i am the north Midlands area. For those around Chesterfield/Mansfield/Worksop area my precipitation has now turned to snow so hopefully should for you guys!

I spoke too soon

Heavy sleet that is turning more towards snow. Ground is wet through so not expecting it to stick. However, still good to see snow falling

Yes, looking less good for me this morning with a shift further north. However, should see some snow falling, although probably not much in accumulations

Another shift northwards of precipitation on the NMM, albeit slight.

If the area of heavier precipitation reaches that area, then i think 8cm+ is achievable

Not sure how much snow you would need? I'd suggest several cm's for high ground around Edale (precipitation dependant)

GFS 18z shifts north, albeit slightly. Still looking marginal, however dewpoints fall away as the evening progresses. So a rain to snow event away from high ground seems probable, with some minor accumulations. Higher ground (the peak district) will do well from this!

I meant the ECM is furtherest south with the precipitation, although yes it is one of the better projections for our snow chances. Although, as alluded to by CH, its maybe best to stick to higher resolution models

The ECM is the furthest south, with the heaviest precipitation in the south of our region (snow to the hills).

Several cm's over high ground on the GEM, although again sleety away from higher regions. Will see where the 12z's leave us

Yes, a marginal situation. 6Z NMM has a period of heavy sleet for lower ground of our region, although a notable snow event for the Pennines. I still reckon (for my part of the region) that western Sheffield will do quite well. Its going to come down to forecasting on the day

Those regions will certainly fair better, although dewpoints look very marginal away from the Pennine regions. Do think we'll see some snow falling, although most notable for the Pennine region. The UKMO does have the low further south (thus the milder sector), so if precipitation did reach us, it would offer more wintry potential

Certainly a chance of some snow boxing day evening, although i'd suggest accumulating snow will be restricted to higher ground (Pennines) and areas with decent altitude (e.g. Western Sheffield). Further shifts south will increase this risk, so one to keep an eye on.

Could be an interesting boxing day snow event for those on higher ground north of the Midlands as the 12z pushes the small low further south. Dewpoints look too high for those on lower ground, but one to keep an eye on (especially with further shifts south) UKMO further south too

Better agreement between the operational and the parallel. Sadly the 6z was never going to happen. It seems a brief but potent northerly before new year (with wintriness for some). Thereafter uncertainty continues, although settled, but probably cold conditions, to prevail into and through new year. As stated earlier, i do not believe that any strengthening of the PV will last long, for reasons outlined earlier and by many other members. I'm afraid it is a waiting game in our hunt for snowier charts (but charts that will come)!

For all those disappointed with this mornings runs, run through this beauty, we can all dream... :smiliz19: http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=192&code=1&mode=0&carte=0 (sadly on its own)

Anyone for perturbation 1? :smiliz19: