Mark Bayley
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Posts posted by Mark Bayley
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Precipitation strengthening quite a bit over Leeds / Bradford area. Good timing as well. Slushy coverings starting to build on the pavement.
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Intensity has picked up now - looks quite heavy just south of Leeds. Hopefully can drift a little bit further north. Heavy enough now that its creating slushy deposits on pavements. If it keeps it up Roundhay Park will look very pretty just after work!
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Just now, Winter Cold said:
Yes I think this next few hours into max daytime heating will be nervy to get through.
Hopefully this evening will cool down quickly and the really heavy stuff will arrive on queue
Yeah, amber warning was always from later in the afternoon. I'm not overly worried, think tomorrow morning will produce some of the best pictures and disruption! Snow definitely getting heavier now so that should counter any melt.
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Just now, Winter Cold said:
It's slid off my car bonnet now and i see bits falling off the house past the window. Seems to be a very slight melt!
Thought it was just me, same here, snow has picked up but defo a slight thaw in places (soil etc..). Hopefully it continues to get heavier.
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Constant light snow with a temp of 0.1c. Like others have reported pavements and roads are soaked so nothing accumulating here yet. Suspect they won't be until after darkness unless it really does pick up in the afternoon. Got a couple of cms now.
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Light snow in North Leeds with a temp of -0.5c follwing a low of -0.9c. Still not sticking to pavements. Let's see if that changes when the heavier stuff arrives mid morning. In any case seems the potential for the snow to be disruptive will occur later this afternoon/ evening
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Still snowing lightly in Rounhay. Measured just under a cm on the bin. Has stuck everywhere bar tarmac (it's starting on the paving slabs). Temp -0.5c. I see the ppn is invergating further south. Hopefully a nice top up for the south of the region. Models look good though a case of now casting here on in. Snow should arrive mid morning - fingers crossed for a good event!
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Still snowing lightly with a temp of -0.2c. Should fizzle out in the next few hours. A decent dusting on all surfaces bar roads and pavements. I'm sure they'll be a decent covering on those once the heavier stuff arrives tomorrow.
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Light snow now. Band of precipitation seems to be strengthening over Leeds and Bradford. Showers also making inroads. Temp -0.1c. Perhaps a good dusting before tomorrow!
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Anyone in the Chesterfield area? Looks like the snow has just about reached the area. Perhaps Sheffield in with a shout too! Light flurries in Leeds now but with temp of 0.1c everything is now sticking. Let's see if the showers fizzle out by the time they hit Leeds
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2 minutes ago, winterof79 said:
Who the vrxap wrote this
Thursday:
Cold and frosty initially, perhaps dry first thing before mix of snow, sleet and rain spreads northeastwards through the morning, with wintry outbreaks through the afternoon and overnight. Maximum temperature 4 °C.
Yeah, i thought an odd update given the warnings. Would have least thought reference to significant accumulations on higher ground..!
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Has been snowing on and off all afternoon in north Leeds, but nothing has stuck. Too light so has just soaked everywhere. Temp 0.6c and dropping, so perhaps might get an icy covering overnight before the main event arrives tomorrow.
For those in the south of our region, say Chesterfield, i'd keep an eye on the precipitation further south. It may graze our region before the main event!
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14 minutes ago, The PIT said:
B eginning to stop here been melting as fast it fell for the last few hours so a dusting. Shows the effect of relative warm ground and probable polutants in the snow. The question for tomorrow how far north will tomorrows low go.
Indeed, i still think a slight risk areas in North Yorkshire might miss the heavier precipitation, but model consensus so far is the milder air shouldn't reach South Yorkshire and most of our region should see precipitation. Agreed with TWS that higher areas of South and West Yorkshire look prime!
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2 minutes ago, Harsh Climate said:
My only grape about charts like that is it shows a very sharp decline in snow away from Pennine areas.. I would hate for it to be snowing like mad in cookridge (where i tried to buy a house last summer) but be in a snow shaddow here in Kippax, that woul really suck lol.. Last bbc shoed it ramping up over most yorkshire thursday evening though!
I wouldn't worry, i am in Roundhay and hope to do rather well. Hills will always do best! The main point is it shows snow from Thursday afternoon to Friday morning!
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Closely followed by the GFS. Brings the snow south a bit but not enough to worry us. A little less intense too, but aligns with the ICON in regards amount. Again, take with a pinch of salt these sorts of graphics. The main point is it shows snow for much of our region from mid day tomorrow until Friday morning, with varying intensity, and would align with the meto orange warning.
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First of the 12z now out (ICON). Aligns with the Meto warning (though always take accumulations with a pinch of salt). 5 to 10cm for lower areas, favoured higher areas much more!
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On and off snow in Leeds too. Looks to be a heavier patch en-route. Not expecting a covering until tomorrow. Tonight looks interesting for the south of the region, will see if it reaches Leeds (am not hopeful). Model consensus appears in line with the meto warning. Looks good for higher areas of west and south Yorkshire (decent accumulations from tomorrow and inti Friday morning). Could be more marginal at times for lower areas, but suspect everyone will see a covering or snow falling. Either way we should all see some snow in the next 48hours- shame it took until March
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I'm meant to be driving to London at 4pm tomorrow so this will help our chances of a decent event quite a bit..... In the more immediate term the potential for snow showers to hit Leeds during the course of the day!
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Thanks - looking forward to the update !
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Or marginality won't be a problem, because it completely avoids us (bar Lincolnshire)
In seriousness should stick to the high res models. Will change track several times between now and Monday
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Yes, one to watch for the early hours of Monday. Looks quite marginal for most but western sides of Sheffield and higher parts of West and North Yorkshire could wake up to a surprise?
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On 10/01/2023 at 16:22, Paul said:
Hi Mark, thanks for the feedback / suggestion. It's a good idea, and something which should be possible (I think). I'll get it added as an idea for our development plan, and hopefully get it scheduled in at some point in the relatively near future.
In the meantime, you can also use the virtual stations to go back through the rainfall data for particular postcodes over time, if that's helpful (right back to 2011).
https://www.netweather.tv/secure/cgi-bin/premium.pl?action=virtual-stations;sess=
Thanks Paul
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Yorkshire and E England regional discussion
in Yorkshire & E.England Weather Discussion
Posted
Have about 4cm of snow. Definitely a bit of dripping (temp 0.3c) though its still coming down faster than it can melt. Radar suggests current intensity should last into the mid afternoon