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Lettucing Gutted

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Posts posted by Lettucing Gutted

    Summers going to be bad?

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    A good summer for me is warm sunny days with the temp around 21c-24c. With a cool night. I think endless heat ruins summer becouse its hot and humid at night. However saying that i don't mind a small heat wave with some super thunderstorms. June for me hasn't been that bad so far

    I agree with you there. Summer should have warm days and cool nights combination spells.

    Sadly due to do global warming these warm days n' cool nights combos are getting much rarer and we get warming all around the clock more often now...

    Summers going to be bad?

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Craig Evans

    There is nearly 2 and a half months of summer left, we can't forecast that far ahead, so we don't know what will happen. It could well be sorching for the rest of the summer. So, no, we don't know if summer will be good or bad. Ask that question in August perhaps if it's been terrible up til then but it's utterly premature now.

    I think even August is too premature to say summer is over especially with Anthrogenic Global Warming sniffing around these days. Remember last year? After last years mere mild August came the warmest September on record which was even warmer then August 2006.

    Indeed September 2006 was the second hottest month of 2006 behind only July 2006.

    September 2006 also marked the start of an "Indian Summer" that hasn't really ended since.

    Every month from September 2006 and onward has been above the 1971-2000 C.E.T average.

    Also every month from April 2006 and onward has been above the 1961-1990 C.E.T average.

    May CET

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Your ideal weather year made up from past months

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Craig Evans

    May 1995- I chose this for variety, and high "sunshine and showers" frequency. May 1997 was a close contender but lost out because of a week of sea fog from the 17th to 23rd.

    Yeah May 1995 and May 1996 are close runners ups in my list too. I think May 1995 is often underrated as a month for producing cold weather. May 1995 had everything from heatwaves to cold days and more variety.

    May CET

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Craig Evans

    We were "lucky" to get this cold spell (if a little brief). It almost never happened. On Sunday 20th May 2007 Countryfile were predicting a Southerly heatwave to come to Britain from the continent. "Luckily", however Countryfile overestimated (for once) the strength of the warm front (and Thermal Ridge) over southern Britain and underestimated the strength of the cold front (and deep low) which was originally positioned to the southeast of Iceland. If that heatwave did happen it would have given us the second warmest May on record if it persisted to the end of the month. That "heatwave" could have been frightening.

    Your ideal weather year made up from past months

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Craig Evans

    how can u say it is up there with nov 1919..as u were not alive to experience it!!???

    I KNOW that!! I was just comparing November statistics and descriptions from http://www.personal.dundee.ac.uk/~taharley...in_November.htm since 1899 and decided that the closest thing to November 1919 was November 1993 in recent years. No November since 1993 has come close to November 1993 let alone November 1919.

    Your ideal weather year made up from past months

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Craig Evans

    Yep I agree with that choice mushy for sure! My only change might be more cold in November - do like the frosty, clear or foggy weather in the long nights.

    Anyone else find they like a 'clean' start to summer with lots of clear, sunny weather in June (with lower humidities) moving into 'dirtier' stormy, sticky weather by August?

    I agree with most of what you say. However I would keep the low humidities all summer long. I hate those subtropical 10C and above nights.

    Your ideal weather year made up from past months

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Craig Evans

    January 1997 reason - Not an exceptionally cool month but a very sunny and the closest we will ever get to January 1987 in terms of frostiness.

    February 1996 reason - Not an 1960s Asian Ice Age month by any means but a very snowy one and I would settle for this any day over the likes of February 1998.

    March 1995 reason - For a SPRING month this has to be one of the coolest Westerly Spring months I can think of. In addition to that godsend - the thundersnow and some Cold Zonality - there was also a rockin' mixture of sunshine and showers. Both sunshine and showers were above average!! :)

    April 1998 reason - Not a full blown Beasterly as there have indeed been colder Southeasterly Aprils such as April 1966 and April 1986. However April 1998 was the last time Britain experienced a "white Easter" and April 1998 is on par with April 2001 to be the coolest April of recent doomsday times.

    May 1997 reason - In this rockin' roller coaster of a temperature ride London saw both 28C heat and sub 10C cold in this month of May 1997. Snow also blocked the A55 in North Wales in May 1997. :)

    June 1991 reason - The second coldest June of the last century. More of this please.

    July 1993 reason - On the 9th of July a cold front from the Arctic caused the breakdown of a Thermal Ridge which crashed the temperature in Whipsnade, London from a morning HIGH of 16C to a low 7.5C AT midday! B) July 1993 was also the coldest June of recent times.

    August 1993 reason - The coldest August of recent times. Nothing has come close to it since. It was surprisingly cool despite sunshine and transitional Maritime Tropical Westerlies.

    September 1996 reason - An exactly 1960-1991 C.E.T average September with pleasant sunshine and a surprising east-west contrast in temperatures. Hence the west of Britain was slightly warmer than average and the east of Britain was slightly cooler than average.

    October 1993 reason - The coldest October since 1974 and needless to say was the best I could hope for. When the Greenland High got going there some very beautiful crisp, cool nights and crisp, cool and sunny afternoons.

    November 1993 reason - This is the November I long for the most. It is up there with November 1919. Very cool conditions mid-late month which would certainly rival many of our pathetic shots at cold in our more recent "winters".

    December 1995 reason - My brothers first Christmas and a white one at that! Christmas 1995 was great. Not even Christmases 1996, 2001 and 2004 could top it. Also the coldest December since 1981 and Altnaharra, Sutherland equaled the record low of -27C on the 30th December 1995. B) Whilst not exceptionally cold I would like some more of this please any day over December 2006 and 1997 but I don't think we will see it's like ever again...

    May CET

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Not especially wet. 1996 was on the drier side of average, the other two on the wetter side of average.

    Thankyou Mr_Data :good: It is amazing that the second coldest May in the last 107 years (May 1996) was fairly dry.

    May CET

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Using Philip's rainfall value as a base, here's the wettest Mays on record since 1776

    151.8 1773

    142.4 1782

    140.7 1967

    129.6 1932

    129.1 1843

    123.1 1886

    122.4 1924

    121.9 1811

    121.5 1869

    119.1 1979

    117.6 1878

    115.8 1969

    115.2 1983

    114.9 2006

    113.9 1807

    110.4 1796

    110.1 1813

    109.5 1797

    108.1 1766

    105.7 1942

    104.1 1847

    104.1 1955

    101.4 1817

    100.1 1830

    98.4 1820

    98.0 2000

    97.9 2007

    How wet were the cold Mays of 1902, 1996 and 1816?

    June C.E.T

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Craig Evans

    I'm surprised the May Metcheck CET is 0.9C above average -what with the frequency of fresh northerly winds this month.

    Most of the "Northerlies" this May were simply transitional Northerlies as well as Westerlies and a Southerly in southern Britain rather than true Northerlies from the North Pole.

    The year off 1993

    in Historic Weather

    Posted · Edited by Craig Evans

    Just looking at my spreadsheets for my observations of August 1993 and it was a remarkably consistent month in that virtually every single day up til the last week recorded temps between 19-22C, nothing higher, then again in the last 3 days. The coldest night was the morning of the 25th when 5.5C was logged (this is 150m up in the Chilterns), which I suppose is quite cold for late August, but not exceptionally so.

    It is remarkable how cool August 1993 was. There was almost no modified Arctic Northwesterly airmasses and yet the month was a good 1C below average. In fact the prevailing winds were transitory maritime tropical westerly airmasses and sunshine!

    May CET

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    So, this projection suggests a range of around 13-14. 12.5-13.0 would probably be a safer bet, but on the other hand a sustained run of average conditions goes against a long run of recent form. Splitting the difference I'd say 13-13.5 at present.

    Thirteens to fourteens? Another very warm month. I hate this new climate. I am going to Mars...

    Met Office winter NAO forecast...

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I'm not even sure it'll make it to La Nina if I'm honest, subsurface temps have leveled out to just over 0.0C, the eastern side has below average temps while the remains of el nino is still present in the western part of the Pacific and its balancing itself out right now. Still ENSO events are very hard to forecast in Spring.

    Another El Nino? Oh no! Not again... :wallbash::friends:

    May CET

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Craig Evans

    Craig Evans; how can you say that this month feels cool; the CET is currently 11.9*C, above average already

    1. That last reply was partly just a bit of sarcasm there. Indeed I WISH IT REALLY WAS COLD. :wallbash:

    2. However with that last reply I was also agreeing with Grey Wolf's theory that people begin to feel "cool" even when temperatures are just slightly less warm if they have become acclimatized to extreme heat. In other words some people become "habitualised" to extreme heat as Grey Wolfy called it. But I am not one of them.

    Believe you me I HATE HEAT!! HA! HA! STOP GLOBAL WARMING!

    May CET

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Craig Evans

    Harking back to 'Pits' "we're due for a cool one" kinda post.

    I think so too but it'll still be above the '71-2000' average even though we'll feel it as cold and wet.

    We are also becoming acclimatised to our new situation (habitualised) and so any move away from the extreme is felt as 'cold/cool' even though the stats make a non-sense of it (last Aug for instance!).

    I agree with you there Grey Wolf.

    So far May 2007 is a bit like August 2006 in that it feels "cold" simply because it is not exceptionally warm or cold after a previous and recent very warm spell.

    Is this the new definition of cold?

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