Zenarcher

GFS shows 91 mph gusts for Fair Isle at 12pm on Friday but the Met Office forecast for Fair Isle gives 68 mph gusts so either one of them is right or wrong.

GFS 06z stays the same for the track of the storm and how strong the winds will be. It reminds me of the 3rd of February 2011 storm it took the exact same path with similar wind speeds.

GFS 12z shows gusts of 100 mph are possible for the far Northern Scottish Isles on Friday morning and early afternoon. Fair Isle is forecast to see 99 mph gusts at 12pm.

From their Twitter account, You can see the data here http://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IUNITEDK257 It's not an official station though by the looks of it so the reading may not be accurate. The closest official stations closest to the airport give gusts of 74 mph. Other non official stations closer to the airport give 50 to 60 mph gusts with Bethesda at 87 mph although its on higher ground and reported that gust at a completely different time of day.

18z GFS has 86 mph mean wind speed for Fair Isle on Friday. Still changes at this point from the models with not all agreeing yet but the ECM and GFS have been hinting on some stormy weather towards the end of the week. One of GFS 18z Ensembles is showing this.

Snowing here in Greenock and settling on the ground.

Gusting just under 40 mph here at the moment expecting it to pick up more later on. ST Kilda reported a 117 mph gust this evening. Other places have reported 60 to 75 mph gusts across Ireland, Scotland and some parts of England and Wales along the West.

84 mph gust at Belmullet Ireland. Yes its been downgraded a lot over the past few days. GFS was going for gusts of 90 to 100 mph now 60 to 70 mph with exposed locations likely to see over 80 mph.

Satellite images, Friday Saturday Sunday Today

Satellite image of Desmond this afternoon.

ST Kilda 98 mph at around 4pm. Gusts elsewhere around the Western Isles are mostly reaching 70mph with South Uist at 76 mph.

Across the Western Isles mainly 60 to 70 mph being recorded with a few stations reporting 72 and 74 mph. ST Kilda reached 92 mph around 3pm.

When I lived in Barra for a while (bottom Western Isles) my Davis anemometer lasted 3 winters which is twice as long as all the other ones I tried before.

Warnings out now for Friday they must have read this topic

Surprised as well. 06z GFS this morning showing gusts over 75 mph for parts of Scotland on Friday. I just checked the Met Office forecast maps and the max gusts are about the same.

Yep looks stormy this weekend for most places. Friday afternoon for Scotland 60 to 70 mph widespread gusts with exposed parts 70 to 80 mph. For Saturday further South this time with gusts of 65 to 75 mph across Scotland, Ireland, Wales and NW parts of England.

Yes its a error looking at the metar data on other sites for that time today they show mean speeds of 10 mph.

Maximum Peak Wave Heights Recorded K5 Buoy 32ft NW Scotland M4 Buoy 30ft W Ireland M3 Buoy 29ft SW Ireland K4 Buoy 27ft NW Ireland Orkney Isles 27ft N Scotland Blackstones 26ft SW Scotland West of Hebrides 25ft W Scotland K1 Bouy 25ft S Ireland K7 Buoy 23ft W Shetland SW Isles of Scilly 22ft SW England M5 Buoy 21ft SE Ireland NW Shetland 20ft North Sea 19ft English Channel 18ft East England 11ft North East England 9ft Top Official Gusts Over 60 mph Ireland Finner Camp 73 mph Malin Head 71 mph Mace Head 69 mph Casement 67 mph Magilligan 66 mph Sherkin Island 63 mph Knock Airport 63 mph Dublin Airport 63 mph Belmullet 62 mph Isle of Man Airport 65 mph England Great Dun Fell (high ground) 89 mph Emley Moor transmitting station 75 mph Loftus Samos 70 mph St Bees Head 70 mph Blackpool Airport 69 mph Fylingdales 67 mph Crosby 67 mph Walney 66 mph Warcop Range 66 mph Shap 66 mph Leeming 66 mph Keswick 65 mph RAF Holbeach 63 mph Weybourne 63 mph Newcastle Airport 63 mph Boulmer 63 mph St. Catherine's Point 62 mph RAF Dishforth 61 mph Linton-On-Ouse 61 mph Bingley 61 mph Doncaster Airport 61 mph Albemarle 61 mph Liverpool Airport 60 mph Cranwell 60 mph Wales Capel Curig 93 mph Lake Vyrnwy 84 mph Aberdaron 70 mph Pembrey Burrows 68 mph Aberporth 68 mph Mumbles 68 mph Rhyl 68 mph Milford Haven 65 mph Bala 61 mph Valley 60 mph Scotland The Cairnwell (high ground) 109 mph Cairngorms (high ground) 107 mph Aonach Mòr (high ground) 83 mph Bealach na Bà (high ground) 77 mph Dundrennan 75 mph Drumalbin 73 mph Fair Isle 73 mph Foula 69 mph Kirkwall Airport 68 mph Prestwick 67 mph Sule Skerry 67 mph Sumburgh Cape 67 mph Machrihanish 65 mph RAF West Freugh 63 mph Port Ellen 63 mph Tiree 62 mph Lerwick 62 mph South Uist Range 62 mph Eskdalemuir 61 mph Lusa 61 mph Unofficial Reports From Privately Owned Stations With Gusts Over 60 mph Ireland Mulroy Bay Bridge 74 mph Sligo 65 mph Foyle Bridge 65 mph Downpatrick 60 mph Isle of Man Santon 60 mph England Hartside 93 mph Cat and Fiddle 89 mph Queensbury 88 mph Blackstone Edge 82 mph Lanehead 74 mph Tow Law 72 mph Stainmore 72 mph Old Spittal Farm 70 mph Mossley Road 70 mph Fylingdales 69 mph Second Severn Crossing 69 mph Windle Edge 68 mph Barton Bridge 67 mph Shap Summit 67 mph Leyburn 67 mph Newton Arlosh 65 mph Sharphill 65 mph Tebay 65 mph Hutton Bonville 65 mph Hebden Bridge 64 mph Rosebrough 64 mph Heswall 64 mph Flushdyke 63 mph Laneshaw Bridge 63 mph Troutbeck 62 mph Brampton 62 mph Great Stainton 61 mph Sunderland 61 mph Thurcroft 61 mph River Aire 61 mph Crackenthorpe 61 mph Lytham Green 60 mph Garrowby 60 mph Wigton 60 mph Wales Llanfwrog 72 mph Mymbyr 71 mph Hirwaun 70 mph Abermule 69 mph Glasfryn 69 mph Cemaes Bay 68 mph Celyn 66 mph Brynford 65 mph Ponterwyd 64 mph Mochdre 63 mph Kenfig 61 mph Llantood 61 mph Scotland ST Kilda 81 mph North Rona 71 mph South Dell 70 mph Beattock 70 mph Mill of Rango 69 mph Dunlop 68 mph Garynahine 68 mph Aird Uig 67 mph Stewarton 66 mph Scalpay Bridge 66 mph Carsphairn 65 mph Isle of Barra 65 mph Horsecleit 65 mph Craig Douglas 64 mph Abington 64 mph Closeburn 64 mph Machrihanish 63 mph Turnberry 63 mph Maraig 63 mph Lochmaddy 63 mph Ardrossan 61 mph Mosspaul 60 mph Tarbrax 60 mph

Looks bad for the NW of Scotland mean speeds of 40 to 50 mph with exposed parts seeing mean speed of 55 to 65 mph,

Top gusts so far today up to 11am from official stations, Cairngorms high ground 88 mph Aonach Mòr high ground 83 mph The Cairnwell high ground 80 mph Capel Curig 73 mph Great Dun Fell high ground 72 mph Malin Head 71 mph Mace head 70 mph Kirkwall Airport 69 mph Mumbles 69 mph Finner Camp 67 mph Bealach na Bà high ground 66 mph Magilligan 66 mph Lake Vyrnwy 64 mph Machrihanish 63 mph Belmullet 63 mph Lerwick 62 mph Pembrey Burrows 62 mph Aberdaron 62 mph

Timeline of Sunday using EWN WRFDA 1am to 6am 38 to 46 mph mean wind speeds for the coasts of Ireland, Wales and England. Inland wind speeds for the most exposed parts reach 18 to 30 mph. Gusts around the coasts and exposed parts ranging from 60 to 70 mph. Inland gusts around 35 to 45 mph. 6am to 12pm Inland mean wind speeds range from 28 to 40 mph and for the coasts and exposed parts 45 to 50 mph. Inland gusts of 45 to 65 mph will be widespread across much of Ireland, Wales and England with the coasts and exposed parts likely to see 70 to 75 mph and at this point the West coast of Ireland could see gusts around 80 mph. 12pm to 6pm Inland wind speeds still range from 28 to 40 mph and around 50 mph for exposed locations. Ireland will still see gusts of 50 to 60 mph until 3pm when winds there will start to drop down. As for England and Wales the afternoon will see the highest wind speeds. With gusts ranging from 40 to 55 mph for inland areas and 60 to 70 mph for exposed parts and the coasts. Northern Wales could see gusts of 80 mph around 1pm along with the Northern Eastern English coasts seeing 75 mph around 4pm. 6pm to 11pm The wind quickly drops down during the evening with 40 mph mean speeds still likely for a while in exposed parts. Inland gusts range from 30 to 45 mph with the Eastern coasts still likely to see gusts over 50 mph.

Thanks glad you like them.

Overall Summary: Severe gales on Sunday for the Southern half of the UK and for Ireland and wintry weather in Scotland. For most of next week staying mostly cold, unsettled, wet and windy. Signs of high pressure moving in from the South West for next weekend giving the Southern half some drier weather. Sunday 29th November 2015 Summary: Cloudy and overcast for most places with heavy rain over much of the UK and Ireland with wintry weather in Scotland. Temperatures: Min -2°C to max 13°C. Mostly 5°C to 11°C. Wind: Gale to severe gales for most of the day in Ireland, Wales and England where gusts are expected to be around 60 to 70 mph. Gales arriving later for Scotland. Rainfall: Rain or showers some wintry 2mm to 6mm. Monday 30th November 2015 Summary: Cloudy with heavy rain across Ireland, Wales and England. Scotland see's some sunshine with some wintry showers. Temperatures: Min -3°C to max 13°C. Mostly 3°C to 11°C. Wind: Gales in the far North of Scotland and across Southern parts of Ireland, Wales and England elsewhere though is calm or breezy. Rainfall: Rain or wintry showers 5mm to 10mm. Tuesday 1st December 2015 Summary: Cloudy and overcast with widespread rain all over the UK and Ireland especially in West and Northern parts. Temperatures: Min -3°C to max 13°C. Mostly 7°C to 12°C. Wind: Gales for Ireland, England and Wales. Rainfall: 3mm to 7mm. Wednesday 2nd December 2015 Summary: Cloudy and overcast start with widespread rain some wintry weather for Scotland. Clearing up to some sunshine later for Ireland, Scotland and Northern England. Temperatures: Min -1°C to max 13°C. Mostly 6°C to 12°C. Wind: Gales for the far North of Scotland. Rainfall: Rain or showers some wintry 2mm to 6mm. Thursday 3rd December 2015 Summary: Cloudy and overcast with rain over England and Wales. Temperatures: Min -1°C to max 11°C. Mostly 5°C to 9°C. Wind: Gales in the West and North. Rainfall: 2mm to 6mm. Friday & Saturday 4th & 5th December 2015 Summary: Staying windy and unsettled but turning drier especially across the South. Temperatures: Min -1°C to max 11°C. Mostly 5°C to 8°C. Wind: Gales mainly in the West and North. Rainfall: 1mm to 3mm.

Some sleet showers here and a light dusting of snow.