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Zenarcher

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Everything posted by Zenarcher

  1. The good news from this mornings model runs is that the Friday low pressure looks to have finally been worked out by the models. There's now very good agreement on the path it will take however some still have it deeper and stronger than others and over time this should be sorted. The GFS has been consistent for a few runs now on the path and strength and goes for 35 to 40 mph mean wind speeds for the Western Isles and gusts of 55 to 65 mph. For Saturday it looks like most models agree with last nights ECM which showed it to be a lot weaker and head across central Scotland. This has good support at the moment. Parts of England and Wales may see top wind speeds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph in exposed locations. The models picked up on a possible low pressure passing again on Sunday. At 108 hours it still far out and will change but there is good agreement on the path and strength which will bring more wet and windy weather to much of the UK.
  2. ECM and GFS at 72 hours for Friday afternoon show changes still yet to come. The ECM places it closer to Scotland but less deep at 976mb while GFS 972mb. The differences can be seen below. Out if the 2 models the UKMO sides with ECM. Here are the 6pm Saturday wind charts from the ECM and GFS, Once again there's a noticeable difference. The GFS takes it further North and the low goes much deeper as well bringing stronger winds with it. The ECM takes a more Southerly route while still bringing strong winds.
  3. The GFS has moved Fridays storm further West. It has good support from the ensembles for doing this as many place it in the same place. However most of the other 12z runs this afternoon (UKMO, GEM and JMA) Have it slightly further East. Mean speeds across the Western Isles of Friday afternoon according to the GFS will be around 30 to 40 mph with gusts ranging from 55 to 65 mph. But it won't be until Friday night when the wind should peak. Mean speeds 45 to 55 mph for the North West of Scotland with gusts of 55 to 68 mph.
  4. This mornings GFS runs still show strong winds for the Western Isles on Friday afternoon and through the evening. Mean wind speeds between 40 to 50 mph with top gusts ranging from 55 to 65 mph with the possibility of reaching 70 mph. Interestingly the ECM shows something less severe so there's a chance the GFS could downgrade however its the first time the ECM has actually shown windy weather for Friday so it may be playing catch up to the GFS. Saturday night is the next one to watch out for as the GFS shows 60 mph mean speeds for Northern Ireland and later on 50 mph wind speeds for central Scotland. GFS shows gusts ranging from 60 to 80 mph. The ECM agrees on a low pressure passing by but again shows something weaker.
  5. Here's the 180 hour wind chart showing 40 to 50 mph mean wind speeds for the worst hit areas mainly in the North. Like you say not a direct hit, Both the GEM and CMA also show some unsettled weather around that time as well,
  6. Latest forecast wind speeds for tonight, And Thursday morning, I have looked around the gust map on the Met Office site and it seems in the North West of Scotland the peak gust will be 72 mph around 4am on Thursday, Updated warning from this morning,
  7. Windy weather for the North West and Northern Scotland for this evening and tonight, 9pm Mean speeds around 26 to 32 mph with gusts ranging from 40 to 48 mph, Through the night the highest wind speeds will be over Northern parts with 32 mph and gusts of 52 mph, The first storm of Autumn is set to arrive on Wednesday night into Thursday morning the Met Office have a yellow warning out for this covering the West and North of Scotland, Late Wednesday night looks to have 40 to 60 mph gusts across the West and North of Scotland, Early Thursday morning gusts mostly between 55 to 65 mph,
  8. Tuesday night looks to be the start of it. Here's what the ECM shows for mean wind speeds on Tuesday night. The Met Office are going for gusts ranging from 30 to 40 mph across most of Scotland especially in the North West while the Western Isles up to 48 mph gusts. The next spell of windy weather for Wednesday night into Thursday looks to be much stronger this time and more widespread. Although Scotland will see the worst of the winds Ireland, Northern England and parts of Northern Wales will also get some of it to. The models still disagree on the positioning of the low at the moment but seem to predict similar wind speeds. Mean speeds across exposed Western and Northern parts of Scotland look to be around 30 to 40 mph and some places a bit higher with gusts of 50 to 60 mph as well. GFS shows that this strong low pressure system could possibly bring severe wind speeds as 70 mph gusts are shown for Northern Scotland on Thursday, Something to keep a watch on for sure in the coming days.
  9. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Monday (NASA) Widespread unsettled weather with rain and gale force winds around all of the UK and Ireland as a low pressure system passes through. 48 Hours Tuesday (ECM) The wind eases down for most places however still staying very windy over the far North of the UK. As more low pressure comes in it will be mostly cloudy with more rain arriving. 72 Hours Wednesday (GFS) Staying cloudy and wet in the North while drying up with some sunshine in the South. 96 Hours Thursday (NAVGEM) Hurricane Joaquin enters the Atlantic and still looks to take a Southerly route. Over at the UK its looking like a nice and sunny day with a breezy wind. 120 Hours Friday (GEM) After a sunny start for most places it will turn cloudy. Hurricane Joaquin begins to lose strength as it sits to the far North West of Spain. 144 Hours Saturday (UKMO) Hurricane Joaquin continues to weaken as it moves North East to the South West of Ireland. 168 to 240 Hours Sunday to Wednesday (GEM & GFS & FIM) Most of the models at this point show high pressure sitting to the North East of the UK while low pressure passes underneath near the West of Ireland. As we head into mid October a more settled outlook is still looking likely.
  10. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Sunday (JMA) After a sunny start for many but it will turn more cloudy as the day goes on with rain arriving in the evening across Ireland, Wales and England along with strong winds. 48 Hours Monday (GEM) A unsettled start to the week as a low pressure system passes through bringing more wet and windy weather to all of the UK and Ireland. 72 Hours Tuesday (ECM) Staying unsettled with more cloud and rain as another low pressure system passes through. The wind should ease though for most places but staying windy for the far North of Scotland and Southern parts of England and Ireland. 96 Hours Wednesday (NAVGEM) Drying up along Southern parts to some sunshine but the North still staying cloudy and wet. Still windy for most places. 120 Hours Thursday (CFS) The wind finally eases down and sunshine will be widespread across most parts. Hurricane Joaquin enters the Atlantic. 144 Hours Friday (GFS) There is still disagreement among the models over the path of Hurricane Joaquin but most models show it weaken as it crosses the Atlantic and taking a Southerly path which had good support from yesterday and again today. 168 Hours Saturday (FIM) At the moment it doesn't look like Hurricane Joaquin will hit the UK as there's good support that it will end up heading North towards Iceland. 192 & 216 & 240 Hours Sunday, Monday and Tuesday (GFS & FIM & CFS) Low pressure begins to lose control as high pressure begins to make a move in again so a more settled outlook for mid October at the moment.
  11. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Saturday (GEM) As the last of the high pressure begins to move away its still looking sunny for most parts apart from the North which will be more cloudy. 48 Hours Sunday (JMA) Sunny start across the Eastern parts but elsewhere will be mostly cloudy with rain arriving from the South West on Sunday evening with strong winds where gusts could still reach around 60 mph across Western parts. 72 Hours Monday (ECM) Widespread wet and windy day for all of the UK and Ireland as low pressure moves past. 96 Hours Tuesday (GFS) The unsettled theme continues with more wet and windy weather as another low pressure system passes by. 120 Hours Wednesday (ECM) Turning drier and more sunny for most parts but still staying windy. 144 Hours Thursday (UKMO) Hurricane Joaquin enters the Atlantic. 168 Hours Friday (GFS) Hurricane Joaquin moves closer to the UK there still seems to be a disagreement between the models over the track. Five models show it taking a more Southerly route which would lead it coming to the UK and as the GFS shows it could bring gusts over 65 mph. However four other models show it going further North towards Iceland instead. 192 & 216 & 240 Hours Saturday, Sunday and Monday (GFS & FIM) Still looks mainly unsettled with a sign that high pressure may start to move in from the South West.
  12. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Friday (ECM) The high pressure still gives off some nice and sunny weather for all of the UK and Ireland apart from Scotland which will be cloudier. 48 Hours Saturday (CMA) A mixture of cloud and sunshine with the Northern parts again staying mostly cloudy as the high pressure continues to slowly move away. 72 Hours Sunday (GEM) After a nice and sunny start it will become more cloudy by the evening with rain and strong winds coming in from the South West. 96 Hours Monday (GFS) Takes a very unsettled turn as heavy rain is widespread along with strong winds that could see gusts reaching just over 60 mph. 120 Hours Tuesday (FIM) Still staying unsettled as low pressure continues to pass over or move near the UK and Ireland. We see more wet and windy weather arrive. 144 & 168 Hours Wednesday and Thursday (NASA & FIM) Still looking mainly unsettled as low pressure sits to the West of Iceland and over Western and Northern parts of the UK. 192 & 216 & 240 Hours Friday, Saturday and Sunday (GEM & NASA) Its still looking mostly unsettled as we approach mid October with low pressure systems passing over the UK.
  13. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Thursday (JMA) The high pressure gives a nice clear and sunny day to all of the UK and Ireland. 48 Hours Friday (GEM) The high pressure starts to very slowly move away and weaken it still looks to be a nice sunny day apart from the far North of Scotland which will be more cloudier. 72 Hours Saturday (JMA) Staying settled and sunny with the last bit of high pressure around although it will be cloudier over Scotland and some Northern parts. 96 Hours Sunday (UKMO) It looks to be another nice day being clear and sunny for most parts but turning cloudy in the West later. 120 Hours Monday (CFS) The unsettled weather arrives from the West bringing overcast conditions along with rain and strong winds especially in the North West. 144 & 168 & 192 Hours Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday (NAVGEM & ECM & NASA) We now enter a period of unsettled weather as low pressure is expected to remain close by to the West of the UK. 216 & 240 Hours Saturday and Sunday (NASA & GEM) The low pressure is expected to move over the North before it goes away completely. Other low pressure systems may also cross the UK and Ireland continuing the unsettled outlook.
  14. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Wednesday (ECM) High pressure of 1035mb continues to sit over the UK and Ireland continuing the current settled spell of weather. 48 Hours Thursday (GEM) The high pressure makes a shift slightly to the West but still remains over the UK and Ireland. 72 Hours Friday (ICON) The high pressure begins to weaken but it still stays settled up to this point of the week. 96 Hours Saturday (ECM) High pressure continues to weaken and move away from the UK and Ireland while the settled weather is expected to continue still. 120 Hours Sunday (FIM) Low pressure starts to move in but Sunday should be mostly a fine day it won't be until later in the evening and over night where it will turn wet and windy. 144 Hours Monday (FIM) The unsettled theme now takes control especially in the West as low pressure moves in close. 168 Hours Tuesday (CFS) A large and deep low pressure system sits to the West of the UK bringing more unsettled weather. 192 & 216 & 240 Hours Wednesday, Thursday and Friday (CFS & ECM) The large low pressure system is expected to slowly weaken over 2 days which will mean unsettled weather especially over the Western parts. Later on we see the arrival of more low pressure but this time Further North West.
  15. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Tuesday (ECM) High pressure between 1030 to 1035mb covers all of the UK and Ireland. 48 Hours Wednesday (NAVGEM) High pressure moves West while still covering all of the UK and Ireland. 72 Hours Thursday (FIM) The high pressure remains in the same position continuing the settled spell of weather. 96 Hours Friday (FIM) We see the high pressure move East now and backing out of the Atlantic as it starts to weaken but it will still stay settled up to the end of next week. 120 Hours Saturday (UKMO) The high pressure continues to weaken and move away East from the UK and Ireland. 144 Hours Sunday (GFS) As high pressure continues to move away the Western parts will see low pressure slowly taking control and may become more unsettled. 168 Hours Monday (NAVGEM) Low pressure takes full control in the North by now. 192 Hours Tuesday (ECM) Still a sign of high pressure building up to or near Greenland at the start of next week. Over at the UK it takes a unsettled turn with low pressure systems crossing over the UK. 216 & 240 Hours Wednesday and Thursday (ECM & FIM) Low pressure still looks like it will be in control with some wet and windy weather looking likely.
  16. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Monday (GFS) High pressure of 1030 to 1035mb covers all of the UK and Ireland while a low pressure system develops in the Atlantic. 48 Hours Tuesday (GFS) High pressure remains over the UK while the low pressure system moves North into Iceland. 72 Hours Wednesday (NAVGEM) The high pressure now starts to move West and still covers all of the UK and Ireland. 96 Hours Thursday (GFS) The high pressure continues to move West. 120 Hours Friday (GEM) High pressure now sits mainly to the West side of the UK and Ireland. 144 Hours Saturday (ECM) The high pressure now begins to weaken while staying in the same position. 168 Hours Sunday (NAVGEM) The high pressure shifts back East while it continues to weaken in strength while a low pressure system develops in the Atlantic. 192 Hours Monday (GFS) High pressure still remains at this point but it continues to weaken. The low pressure system deepens in the Atlantic. 216 & 240 Hours Tuesday and Wednesday (ECM & GEM) Signs of high pressure building up to or near to Greenland while low pressure starts to take control over the UK and Ireland.
  17. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Sunday (NAVGEM) High pressure sits over the UK at 1025mb while most of England and Wales are under 1030mb. 48 Hours Monday (FIM) High pressure gains some strength up to 1035mb as a low pressure system begins to form in the Atlantic. 72 Hours Tuesday (ICON) High pressure gets pushed back East as a low pressure system heads North to the South of Iceland. There is still a lot of disagreement between the models at the moment on its path even at this range. 96 Hours Wednesday (CFS) As the low pressure system over Iceland moves North East we see high pressure now pushing back in and this time going further West. 120 Hours Thursday (NAVGEM) High pressure continues to move West at this point. 144 Hours Friday (GEM) High pressure still stays over the UK especially over the North West. 168 Hours Saturday (NASA) The high pressure is now expected to move further West and out into the Atlantic. 192 & 216 & 240 Hours Sunday, Monday and Tuesday (CMA, CFS and FIM) No real strong agreements at this range however they do show a blocked outlook with high pressure mainly still sitting over the UK and out in the Atlantic which would continue the settled spell of weather into first week of October.
  18. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Saturday (ICON) High pressure of 1025mb sits over the UK while a low pressure system to the South West of Iceland forms. 48 Hours Sunday (GEM) 1025mb stretches over most of the UK and Ireland at this point while parts of England and Wales get 1030mb. The low pressure system now deepens to the South East of Greenland. 72 Hours Monday (JMA) 1030mb covers all over the UK and Ireland now, while Eastern parts start to get 1035mb. Another low pressure system forms in the Atlantic. 96 Hours Tuesday (NASA) High pressure remains over the UK and Ireland as it still continues to gain strength. There seems to be a bit of a disagreement among the models over where the low pressure system will go most place it to the South West of Iceland however there's a chance it could end up to the North of Iceland instead. 120 Hours Wednesday (UKMO) High pressure now starts to shift West into the Atlantic. 144 Hours Thursday (UKMO) The high pressure has shifted further North West. 168 Hours Friday (ECM) High pressure continues to remain in the same place and still looks to stay strong at this point. 192 Hours Saturday (ECM) Once again the high pressure remains in the same place with no signs of it shifting yet however it does start to weaken. 216 & 240 Hours Sunday and Monday (CMA & GFS) The high pressure weakens quickly and moves into the Atlantic The trend continues for a settled spell of weather to last at least until the 3rd of October.
  19. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Friday (JMA) Low pressure sits over Northern Scotland as we start to see high pressure move in from the South West. 48 Hours Saturday (GEM) High pressure of 1025mb sits over the UK as a low pressure system develops to the South West of Iceland. 72 Hours Sunday (FIM) High pressure still remains over the UK and gains some strength up to 1030mb as a large low pressure system deepens to the South East of Greenland. 96 Hours Monday (GFS) The high pressure continues to gain strength up to 1035mb now as we see another low pressure system form in the Atlantic. 120 Hours Tuesday (ECM) The low pressure system moves North towards Iceland the high pressure over the UK moves East slightly but still continues to gain some strength. 144 Hours Wednesday (ECM) High pressure fills into the Atlantic as the high pressure over the UK remains. 168 Hours Thursday (NASA) The high pressure starts to make a shift North and still covers the UK. 192 Hours Friday (CFS) The high pressure still sits over the Northern parts. 216 & 240 Hours Saturday and Sunday (CFS & GFS) High pressure is expected to still remain over or at least close to the UK. Some settled weather on the way for the rest of this month as high pressure will be mainly in control even into the first few days of October.
  20. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Thursday (GEM) Low pressure sits to the North West of the UK and will slowly move East during the day across the far North of Scotland. 48 Hours Friday (GFS) Low pressure remains over most of Scotland while the rest of the UK starts to see high pressure moving in from the South West. 72 Hours Saturday (ECM) High pressure around 1025mb covers most of the UK and Ireland as a low pressure system to the South West of Iceland develops. 96 Hours Sunday (NAVGEM) High pressure of 1025mb now covers all of the UK and Ireland. 120 Hours Monday (ECM) The high pressure starts to gain strength up to 1035mb as another low pressure system starts to develop in the Atlantic. 144 Hours Tuesday (ECM) High pressure remains over the UK and moves East just slightly as the low in the Atlantic gains strength as it moves North. 168 Hours Wednesday (CFS) High pressure continues to move East but still mostly covers all of the UK and Ireland. 192 Hours Thursday (CFS) High pressure shows a sign of gaining even more strength and moving West. 216 & 240 Hours Friday and Saturday (FIM & GEM) Most of the models at this range showed high pressure extending North into Greenland.
  21. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Wednesday (ECM) Low pressure remains over the UK and Ireland with another low pressure system to the West of Iceland making its way down to the North West of Scotland. 48 Hours Thursday (NAVGEM) Low pressure sits to the North West of the UK it will start to move East while weakening and make its way to the far North of Scotland. 72 Hours Friday (JMA) Low pressure remains over Northern Scotland but the rest of the UK and Ireland starts to see high pressure coming in from the South West. 96 Hours Saturday (GEM) High pressure is expected to be over all of the UK and Ireland while another low pressure system forms to the South East of Greenland. 120 Hours Sunday (UKMO) High pressure over the UK and Ireland continues to gain strength but moves slightly more East while the low pressure system near Greenland weakens. 144 Hours Monday (ECM) High pressure still remains over the UK and Ireland while another low pressure system begins to form in the Atlantic. 168 Hours Tuesday (FIM) While high pressure still remains over the UK and Ireland it starts to move East while a deep low pressure system sits in the Atlantic. 192 Hours Wednesday (FIM) High pressure continues to move away from the UK and Ireland while the low pressure system in the Atlantic moves to the South West of Iceland and weakens. 216 & 240 Hours Thursday and Friday (FIM & GFS) High pressure is expected to continue and move away but will remain close by.
  22. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Tuesday (ECM) Low pressure sits over the UK. 48 Hours Wednesday (GFS) Low pressure moves over to the East of the UK as high pressure attempts to come in from the South West. A low pressure system forms to the West of Iceland. 72 Hours Thursday (FIM) The low pressure from the West of Iceland moves down to the North West of Scotland. 96 Hours Friday (ECM) Low pressure sits over the Northern half of the UK while the South starts to see high pressure moving in while another low pressure system out in the Atlantic begins to form. 120 Hours Saturday (FIM) High pressure continues to build over most of the UK apart from Scotland. A large low pressure system now places itself to the South East of Greenland. 144 Hours Sunday (FIM) High pressure remains over most of the UK apart from Western parts. The large low pressure system still remains in the same place and weakens in strength very slowly. 168 Hours Monday (NASA) As the large low pressure system continues to weaken there are signs of high pressure gaining more strength and covering all of the UK and Ireland. 192 Hours Tuesday (NASA) High pressure is expected to still stay over the UK and Ireland. 216 - 240 Hours Wednesday & Thursday (FIM & ECM) The trend remains for the end of the month to see high pressure over the UK while low pressure systems will pass over Greenland and Iceland.
  23. Daily comparison using the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Monday (ECM) High pressure just sits along the South of the UK as the low from the West of Iceland starts to move South East down to the UK. 48 Hours Tuesday (JMA) The low pressure from Iceland now sits over the UK. 72 Hours Wednesday (FIM) Low pressure remains over the UK as another low forms to the West of Iceland. 96 Hours Thursday (NAVGEM) The low pressure from Iceland now begins to move over most of Scotland and Ireland. 120 Hours Friday (FIM) Low pressure remains over Scotland as high pressure begins to move in from the South West of the UK. Another low pressure system begins to form this time to the South of Greenland. 144 Hours Saturday (CFS) Most of the UK and Ireland see high pressure apart from Northern parts of Scotland. The low pressure system has deepened a lot and now sits to the South East of Greenland. 168 Hours Sunday (ECM) High pressure continues to build up over most of the UK while the low pressure system continues to stay to the South East of Greenland. 192 Hours Monday (FIM) High pressure is still expected to be over most of the UK at this point while the low pressure system to the South East of Greenland finally starts to weaken while another low to the South of it begins to form. 216 & 240 Hours Tuesday & Wednesday (ECM) Still a trend of high pressure to be strong at this point over the UK as we reach the end of the month.
  24. Plan to try and do this daily and compare the GFS, ECM, UKMO, JMA, ICON, GEM, NAVGEM, NASA, CMA, FIM and the CFS all up to 240 hours along with the ECM and GFS ensembles. For each day whatever model has the most support will be shown for that time. 24 Hours Sunday (ECM) High pressure sits over the UK while a low pressure system to the West of Iceland begins to push away the high pressure. 48 Hours Monday (NAVGEM) High pressure moves away from the UK while the low over Iceland begins to weaken. 72 Hours Tuesday (JMA) The low pressure from Iceland now sits over the UK. 96 Hours Wednesday (GFS) Low pressure still sits over the UK while another low forms to the West of Iceland. 120 Hours Thursday (ECM) The low off from Iceland begins to move down to the North West of Scotland as it slowly weakens. 144 Hours Friday (ECM) Low pressure sits over the Northern half of the UK while high pressure starts moving in from the South West. 168 Hours Saturday (FIM) A large low pressure system forms to the South East of Greenland while high pressure moves in from the South East and covers most of the UK. 192 Hours Sunday (ECM) The high pressure over the UK gains more strength as does the low out near Greenland. 216 Hours Monday (CFS) The trend at this range shows high pressure sticking to the North East. 240 Hours Tuesday (CFS) The high pressure trend to the North East continues and has good support at the moment.
  25. Nice warm sunny day with 18°C being recorded here.
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