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ANYWEATHER

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  1. ANYWEATHER
    I've been on this forum for eleven years I've never seen such winter charts from both west and east such cold but subject to change ....
  2. ANYWEATHER
    Evening! Where is the Big cold coming? And why will the UKMO be interesting from Sunday onwards? Confused
  3. ANYWEATHER
    To be honest any build of pressure to the north east of the uk looks very fleeting indeed ,I think with the intense cold over north America is building a super strong jet towards the uk ,so we need to brace ourselves for some potential stormy conditions, albeit with some transient ridges allowing for calmer with froster overnight and I would imagine that the Scottish mountaIns in picticuler will do well out of this. We need a big pattern change over north America before we see any beast from the east. Unfortunately for coldies more patience is needed
  4. ANYWEATHER
    The Jet stream is too strong to form any long lasting cold from the east ...Jet too strong fuelled from north America and a strong Polar Vortex. Despite the models toying with cold to the east of us I think we need too look west for a little while
  5. ANYWEATHER
    Indeed if you trace the jet stream back over to North America you will see a semi permanent lobe of the polar vortex somewhere over Canada and the northern states for many days to come and into a good bite of February. Does not bode well for the uk however as that intense cold only goes on to keep refueling the jet stream giving the uk potent low pressure systems and snow mainly for upland areas at best. We need the polar vortex to reshuffle and move away from its presant location over north America to give us in the uk a fighting chance of some decent wintry weather, at the moment though I can't see a major pattern change
  6. ANYWEATHER
    To be honest most of the posts on here center around the unreliable output rather than the sensible output of a few days ahead. The outer realms of model outputs often have the most interesting synoptics regarding winter cold or summer heat and rarely comes to fruition ,and often we are left sitting on the fence with a very watered down version of epic heat or super cold. I think that this thread is actually quite fun to view the varying degrees of model output because it's a great talking point and even though we all really know that the weird and whacky output at the ten day range is very unlikely to verify ,there's a little bit in all of us that perhaps the super doupa cold synoptics at day ten and beyond may just this once verify...
  7. ANYWEATHER
    Actually Easterlies are statistically more common in April and May than any other time of year ,probably due to the fact that the jet stream is becoming more relaxed and less fuelled by a strong displaced polar vortex over the other side of the Atlantic....
  8. ANYWEATHER
    Evening "! A Winter with very few mild days and benign weather , stormy and cold about sums it up and that's whats on offer from the models ... Nothing as yet from the North East..... A very cold Winter for many...with well below average temps....
  9. ANYWEATHER
    Lols Yes youre entitled to your opinion and I respect that. Ive been taking weather records for over 30 years and a lot of my data does not agree with the met -office . I think we have to agree that because the met-office dumps a weather station in a certain place , does not mean that its Gospel , in an era of Fake news and Data and this is nothing new , makes you wonder if the data we have received from years ago is accurate....Anyway lets bring on a snowstorm....
  10. ANYWEATHER
    Im afraid that's wrong , they always have a warm bias , in my back garden its been below average, I will check the stats out for my weather station when I get time.
  11. ANYWEATHER
    Temps running definetly below in this neck of the woods
  12. ANYWEATHER
    Gfs showing mild in the longer range now showing cold ecm showing cold now showing mild in the longer range watch this space..?..
  13. ANYWEATHER
    2010 was the last full coverage of snow....And Gfs as come around to the ecm....
  14. ANYWEATHER
    Evening Another week and more drama! Wednesdays cold front needs keeping an eye on with perhaps some dramatic weather along the front with winds and rain, then it turns colder, then at T+144 both ecm and gfs diverge greatly . Gfs builds a big area of high pressure so cold with perhaps problems with frost and fog , ecm on the other hand shows PMr air with cyclonic synoptics with problems with snow and ice.... It looks like the Boxing Gloves are out again for the two main Rivels
  15. ANYWEATHER
    Thanks again Paul
  16. ANYWEATHER
    LolsI live in this area and the chances of this happening is second to none! The battle between the gfs and ecm continue with a somewhat milder blip , then turning colder by the end of the week...The outer reaches of model output that's day eight to ten show gfs and ecm strongly disagreeing with gfs showing mild ecm showing cold , Who Will Win?
  17. ANYWEATHER
    Cheers Paul
  18. ANYWEATHER
    Hi Paul Ecm is still iffy ,not sure why it's playing up so much?
  19. ANYWEATHER
    Hi Paul looks like the ecm is still playing up
  20. ANYWEATHER
    OK mate thanks for your reply.....will show some charts to answer your question tomorrow. ...meanwhile the mild weather progged from the models is decreasing by the hour....a very interesting winter and bloody cold
  21. ANYWEATHER
    It may be a simple explanation but completely inaccurate
  22. ANYWEATHER
    Feels Mild Its bloody freezing out there, and I live barely a mile away from you! ,would be snow if the precip was heavier!
  23. ANYWEATHER
    Thankyou
  24. ANYWEATHER
    Hello Paul ,no joy still with the Ecm chart viewer?
  25. ANYWEATHER
    I think there is nothing wrong with commenting on mod even when it's right out to a very unreliable time frame, but also nothing wrong with putting your own interpretation on it regarding how likely or unlikely the synoptics at that far away timescale are likely to verify. I just think we need to respect all other posters ideas even if we don't agree with them and given the state of a level of uncertainty in the computer model output it's wise not to take any output to seriously even regarding this coming week
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