[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Rain in Hythe, Kent.. Managed to go for a drive last night towards Hawkinge just so I could say I saw laying snow this winter.. Just in case.. 

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Snow started on the SE Kent Coast..

[Meto Uk Further Outlook]

People need stop getting hung up on what these outlooks contain. They can only give commentary on what all the various data systems they have to hand are showing at a given time. If they change, so will the commentary and the probability of a particular weather pattern..

Take them for what they are at a particular point in time..

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

Building blocks are in place, chaps and chappesses.. Ignore the 850 temp ensembles.. Cold blasts of old had warmer upper air preceding blocks to our NE. I've seen enough over the last 12 hours to be very optimistic about.. 

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

4 minutes ago, winterof79 said:

You can wish for southern corrections all you want but if it happens then it could end up with tears

ECM is crud

-3 850s in this set up is not crud.. 

[Meto Uk Further Outlook]

Why doesn't someone ask the question about MetO's outlook forecasts on the next live video they do? 

[Model output discussion - 7th January onwards]

I know it's in La La land but end of GFS 12z has a 1987 look about it. As in the behaviour of the Arctic High.. 

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

The south north sea snow making machine looks a bit iffy for showers for Kent this afternoon at the mo..

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

3 minutes ago, Daniel Smith said:

Having a look at the various models..

HIRLAM and APERGE are closest to real world observations, it just so happens both of those models bury our entire region.

http://www.meteox.com/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=loop1uur

Radar shows it heading North/North-East directly towards us. GFS is about 150 miles wrong so that can be completely discounted.

EURO4 not interested and keeps it West

So.. no idea whats going to happen. Keep an eye on the radar, the sudden shift Eastwards now the low has developed is definitely an encouraging one. 10-15cm max on top of what some have already would be absolutely epic!

That Euro4 is out of date - 18z just trickling out..

[Short range model discussion - into 2018]

Little feature being progged on ICON for the past 12 hours Tues into Weds..Could be a surprise for us Kent folk..

[Ireland Regional Weather Chat]

PPN Type radars are suggesting a rain/snow mix so I'm not suprised that people are reporting wetter than frozen PPN..

[Model Output Discussion - 16th Jan 12z onwards - Smile While You Post!]

Unless there is a dramatic change in the modelling of the PV strengthening then I would say its a 70-30 probablility we will be in a westerly regime by the end of the working week of next.

 

Plenty still to keep us on our toes..but form horse does look like being a return to average conditions by end of next week..

[Model Output Discussion; into 2015]

ECM at 240 has HUGE potential. Granted, it is out at post D10 but could this be the start of the strat conditions filtering into the model output?

[Model Output Discussion 19th January 2014-18z onwards.]

?@ ! Since when is any prescriptive forecast beyond T+96 based solely on the DET? Let's await the ENS/EPS before getting knee-jerk over stuff a whole week away. :-)

Your colleague in Essex seems to think the Met favour the mild solution?

[South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 23/12/13]

Well, it's dangerously windy here now...Canterbury seems to have been hit quite bad and it is well inland. Roof has been blown off a block of flats.

[South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 26/10/13]

Not a non event in Kent. Sad incident that will be reported in the news later, I'm sure...

[South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 28th March 2013 22:00hrs>]

Snowing in Thanet!

What is the intensity like? Pretty light?

[South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 28th March 2013 22:00hrs>]

Like all councils in the area they will be gritting any way due to RST's warranting it. Not necessarily what is currently showing.

[South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 24th March 2013 22:00hrs>]

Aye, just had a look as MetO's Hazard Manager, reckons there will be some snow showers in the SE this eve...

http://www.buienradar.nl/

Could it be those??

[Spring Model Discussion 17/3/13 6PM onwards....]

NAE has a good undercut for the PPN to turn to snow as early as Saturday morning for SE England. I know Ian has asked us to discount the NAE but interesting all the same given the frigid conditions just across the channel such undercutting conditions can't be ignored, surely?

:-)

[South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 17th March 2013 18:00>]

[South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 17th March 2013 18:00>]

Its out.....

[South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 11th March 2013 15.00 hrs onwards]

I believe Hythe is pretty much cut off too....hills at either end of the town are impassable.

[South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 11th March 2013 15.00 hrs onwards]

Looks like the front is just starting to pull away from the SE Kent coast. Attention now to the NW Kent crew. Looks like streamer central on the radar.

[Spring Model Discussion 18Z 9/3/13 onwards....]

Re the channel low, it's not it's fronts that is causing the headache, it's how far south the front currently lying from EA NW'ds goes and if the approaching CL and it's fronts intensify it. Is this a correct assumption? Nowcast tomorrow.