DEYS(Kent)
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Posts posted by DEYS(Kent)
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Very subtle changes but significant for the far south....
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Rybris Ponce, what is your location?
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Those charts only make The Eagles comment about the ECM all the more ambiguous. Cracking set I'd say.
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Synoptically I'd say the ECM ENS generally support the Det Op.
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51 members and a few like the Op it seems.
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ECM and UKMO agree at 144. That's a start.
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ECM is great but not worthy of booms I have to say. Plenty there to spoil the evolution. As others have said, we need more of the 51 to support the Op along with other models for me to sit up and take notice...
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Let's wait and see what verifies before the medal ceremony. Of course, I'd love ECM to be on the money but let's not jump the gun. :-D
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CWT2012 needs some moderating methinks.
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Looks like longer range ECM ENS do not agree with the Op
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Reem1681.gif
Mean chrt for next Friday. The comforting thing that is a while away...
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Snowing lightly here at sea level at Hythe.
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Could this radar return over the southern North Sea be a little false?
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Evening all,
I quite like the ECM 500mb mean at day 10,http://www.meteo.psu...0z/hgtcomp.html
The east Canadian block funelling cold air from the Arctic which feeds the trough to the SW of the uk,Azores high is ridging into spain but props up further trough over the UK,dosn't look like a mild feed to my untrained eye.wouldn't there be a lot of cold air in the mid atlantic?
I have to say, I "like" this post but not as much as the team you support! UTW!
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A west based NAO- 99% of the time a waste of space.....
S
Quite agree, SM....N/NW peeps may argue though as the synoptics can drag some cold uppers down....but for longevity of cold spell, west based NAO is pants for the UK as a whole..
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Nicholas Sussex! It is November the 20th!......Plenty of time for entrenched cold from way out east!
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Northerly still there with interesting disturbances in the flow. Less intense than of late though..
FI is the usual zonal rubbish that GFS churns out....You can't ignore the trend though.
Will ECM show this trend at the end of the 00z run?
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Warnings just about to go Orange for C.England through to SE England..
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http://www.knmi.nl/exp/pluim/vijftiendaagse/
HP to the east ridging west. Good ECM ENS.
Spring Model Discussion 18Z 6/3/13 onwards....
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted · Edited by DEYS(Kent)
ECM PPN takes the risk to Kent towards the end of the day Monday. Does the UK4 model think different then? Or are you only talking about dynamic snow?