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damianslaw

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Everything posted by damianslaw

  1. I suspect this would be on a par with Sunderland's maximum where I work, but perhaps a little lower than Newcastle's where I live? But all in all what a shockingly woeful figure, no wonder I haven't yet had a day where I haven't needed to wear a jacket or coat! Perhaps we might record a 25 celsius this year?
  2. Philip Eden in today's telegraph was saying that it will be the coldest July for England and Wales since 1993, for some parts it could even be the coldest since 1988, quite some feat in these times of rising temperatures... As for tonight and tomorrow night expect some very low readings for late July. Tonight could see widespread minima in north England and Scotland of around 8 degrees coldest in sheltered valleys where 5 degrees could be a average figure, indeed some places may record 2 or 3 degrees but I doubt anything lower but still for the 29th July quite cold indeed. For tomorrow night south of england and midlands will see a colder night whereas more northern areas won't be quite as cold as tonight. Again many inland parts of central southern england and Wales likely to see widespread minima below 10 degrees with some parts possibly recording 5 degrees locally below this. All in all wouldn't noramlly expect to see such low minima for another month or so...
  3. I went for 16.7 for July and so I am going for 16.7 for August aswell. I think we may see some quite cool nights which will offset by and large a bias to mostly above maximum temperatures by day. I do not foresee a particularly warm month
  4. Whatever the final CET will be at long last it will be a below average CET how very very very refreshing it has restored my confidence in the idea that we won't necessarily see month after month of continuously above CET values in this period of global warming. On a downside what a shame it has had to arrive in July, in my opinion it should have waited until September.
  5. Yes certainly what I am looking out for now is a spell of below average months i.e. July August and September then perhaps a warmer October to be followed by a average November and then much colder than average December
  6. I am going to stick my neck out and say with some confidence that we will record a below average month, I just don't see any sufficient sustained spell of weather that can help the CET to recover to above average temperatures. However, I think that it will only just be a below average month largely due to fairly mild nightime minima, had we seen high pressure exerting itself more readily towards the end of this week then I think we could have recorded some fairly chilly nights but although the end of the week will see some cooler minima i don't expect we will see anything that particularly cool.
  7. 30 degrees we'll be lucky to see 25 degrees at this rate here in Newcastle. Could anyone enlighten me as to the maximum temperature Newcastle upon Tyne has recorded so far this year. I wouldn't be surprised if this occured in April, I don't think we hit anymore than 21 degrees in June and less than that in May.
  8. But wasn't it only two years ago that they were confident of a below average winter, so it is wrong to suggest that the METO will never forecast any below average seasons. I am hoping for a cooler autumn than we have had for many a year can't remember the last really below average autumn, at least that will help to lower sea temperatures and perhaps set us up for a early cold spell just in time for christmas. It would be good to see a disturbed Septmember quickly replaced by an anticyclonic October. Can't think about winter too much just yet, lets think about the Autumn first! I'm beginning to loose hope with this summer so my thoughts are naturally turning to Autumn right now much much earlier than in previous summers-quite refreshing really...
  9. Quite surprised to see figures for Scotland and N England coming in at just above average. Is is the high minimums that have caused it as maximums haven't been that great.
  10. Yes indeed normally we expect to see the highest recorded maximum for the year sometime from mid-late July i.e. from about the 18th through to early-mid August i.e. about the 13th. The 18th July-13th August is high summer for me, if we are not to record 30 degrees during this period it would be quite unusual indeed.
  11. How refreshing it is that at this stage in the month we are seriously considering that we could actually be about to record a below average CET shock horror! We've become so accustomed to having to put another above average month in the bank at ridiculously early points in any given month in the last few months. This month feels very very different to any other month since last August
  12. Thanks for those figures, very interesting and yes they show how poor the month was for much of scotland particularly the east. When talking about the CET living in Newcastle I don't pay much attention to what it is doing as it very rarely reflects on average mean temps here. It is a useful tool for making statistical comparisons and comparing temperatures from previous years but really only of interest for those living in the CET zone.
  13. Yes lets have a cool wet september for a change I can't remember the last time we have had one of these, then I would like a sunny frosty october followed by a cold november. I feel like it is the end of august at the moment and we are looking into autumn not early July..
  14. Amazing statistic emphasising emphatically that for Tyne and Wear June 2007 really was quite terrible, not one day hit above 21 degrees and the dullness has made it certainly feel like the depths of winter at times.
  15. This summer is beginning to have the same effect that a mild wet winter has on those looking for more 'seasonal' conditions i.e. we are beginning to get excited at even the mere chance of just one fine day under a temporary ridge, much like many of us feel about the chances of a similiar but cold dry day in winter. However, strangely enough provided we can gather at least 1 week this summer of good fine warm conditions I am quite happy for the unsettled conditions to remain, it makes a change from recent summers of heatwave and drought conditions something that we are told we will have to get used to in the future, so why not at least make the most of an unsettled wet summer now as we may not if the global warmers believe see many comparable to which in the future.
  16. These statistics are really crazy and should be emphasised strongly in any review of the month. June 2007 for Tyne and Wear has been and i will re-iterate absolutely shocking, even with the dry first 10-11 days it has been the dull grey skies that have made it so unappealing and unsummery, it is like living in January!
  17. The BBC weather presenter John Hammond just mentioned don't be surprised to see some flakes of snow in the highlands tomorrow, this emphasises the cold conditions we are under right now..
  18. I'm glad someone has made this observation as it is something I have been mentioning time and time again this month i.e. the woeful sunshine levels in Newcastle/Sunderland. June is usually the sunniest month of the year and although i don't usually expect warm conditions i do expect sunny conditions. This year has been appauling for sunshine. You don't need high temperatures to make for a pleasant summers day 18 degrees is fine, but you do need the sun. It is for this reason that this June has been truly horrible here in Tyne and Wear, not the temperatures which certainly haven't been much to write about we haven't seen 21 celsius all month, or the rain which i think has been not much above average but the pathetic sunshine totals. I would be interested for people to record their sunshine levels this month, a warm June certainly doesn't make up for a wet and dull one aswell!
  19. I'd be very very surprised if somewhere didn't record 30 celsius this year, even if that 30 celsius has to wait until September. What is quite surprising is as someone has pointed out the number of places who haven't so far recorded above 25 celsius. I don't keep a track of maximum temperatures for my location, but I think I am right in saying that here in Newcastle 21 celsius is the record so far this year? Can anyone verify this, and by the look of things it could be at least sometime after 4th July that we are likely to record such a temperature, very poor indeed..
  20. Yes if somebody was to glance at the charts for this month and who had not been in the country at the time, they would probably be quite surprised at the CET as it currently sits. But once again i re-iterate it is the cloudy mild nights we have had, thnakfully never too humid but just persistantly well above normal that have made the CET figure it is. Some quite tropical air seems to have been wrapped around much of the low pressure systems that have affected us this month particularly for southern areas, and other parts namely the east have so far often seen the cloud building in from the coast. I expect the CET to drop quite markedly from Saturday onwards thanks to some colder than normal nights.
  21. If the northerly airstream digs in as some models predict with the azores high ridging north and east, expect to see some cool nights next week under clear skies. For the CET to get to 15 degrees or below we need some clear conditions, the number of cloudy nights this month has been the reason why the CET is so high, I can't remember the last cloudless night, a pity as June brings the longest days and those twilight nights really have left us alone this month...
  22. Interesting statistics there the most notable observation being the exceptionally dry April slapped in between what have been preety wet months re-iterating waht a unique month that was. Once July is out of the way we enter the 6 month period of the year where would would expect the wettest conditions, so yes a good chance of a very wet year although i doubt the wettest.
  23. Quite surprised to see the CET so high at this stage, however i now appreciate how mild the nights have been in the CET zone and the sustained above average maxima though nothing dramatic just sustained. I can't help but feel cheated though by the figure as the first two weeks of June here in Tyne and Wear have been preety miserable and maxima really have been woeful. It looks like the final CET for the month is not going to be a true reflection of conditions countrywide, maxima of about 11 and 12 is for June what we had yesterday and today and by the look of it tomorrow is useless...Perhaps the prospects of the azores high ridging polewards may ensure some cooler nights as we head into the second half of June, but who wouldn't bet at this stage of us perhaps recording a top 5 CET for June. Does anyone know what the CET so far this month in Newcastle is? I would be very interested to compare with the national
  24. The words another warm month is likely are just depressing to my ear. I had hoped that we may perhaps record a near averageCET this month at least here in Tyne and Wear, however the next 3-4 days look like being quite above normal and from then on you would expect the trend for the CET to only go up. Oh when will we see conditions again which could result in a near average month, i am getting very tired of this now..
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