london-snow

Even the last frame on the ukmo is not to shabby either. Let's hope the ECM follows suite or even throws out a better hand. Just a bit of consistency will be a step forward.

To be honest i didn't expect nothing more or nothing less from the meto in their update. They won't call cold or mild when there is so much uncertainty (Rightly so). The thing is that atm their is no clear signal as per the amount of conflicting signals from the output over the past week. I just hope all those hours spent this winter having a look at various output is not in vain and we get rewarded for what has been a truly dreadful winter thus far. Let's hope this evening carries on some renewed hope picked up from this morning.

Yes it is important as most runs are at this stage, However with the large uncertainty in the early to mid range wouldn't the 32 be although not useless a bit of a unnecessary factor as we still don't have anything nailed on early to mid range..

Regardless of how this run pans out.. ONE THING IS CERTAIN! By no means is this potential easterly over and done with, Nail in the coffin ect ect. I have absolutely no clue of where we will be heading but it sure makes it interesting viewing tomorrow morning...

Mr C our friend in the know from Austria. He has been pretty much spot on with his thoughts going forward add to that Mr Sussex is also doubting the output it certainly makes for interesting viewing for the rest of this evening and into tomorrow by no means is this possible easterly over..

Strange i didn't think that the ukmo ran yesterday (Either that or i must have missed it)..?

What's the message we see and hear year after year on here???Oh yes... Get the cold in place and worry about the snow later..

Quite right PM.A cold easterly is imo the king of winter weather patterns (If it's cold and snow you're after like myself). Your point of the cold beginning to back further west as shown on the output is a classic sign of westward correction. Let's hope it continues thus leaving us more room for error.

Well what a fantastic set of overnighters to start a new day with (ECM still yet to come). Crucially a continuation from yesterday's output and no climb down thus far overnight. Will be watching the ECM roll out with everything crossed.

Isn't you're post just going to add more fuel to the fire I.e mild campers v cold campers? I would have thought being a mod you would want a easy life lol.. Anyway to answer your question. Truth is that there is no cold and snowy days coming up anytime soon. However we are first and foremost beginning to see a pattern change and the most interesting thing about that is quite simply no one can be certain which way we are heading. There is potential for things to turn colder from the east or north east as per the hype atm but at the same time nothing at all is a given and we can end up again being dominated by tiresome lp systems. I'll leave you all on this note ' If ian F and the meto don't have a rough idea then where does that leave us '? That's why in heart we come back year after year. . Thrill of the chase!

I think although you can only comment on what you see that you should wait to see where this ties in with the ensembles before jumping the gun. What some folk don't realise is that it's a very finely poised situation with a number of options all possible as very well explained in previous posts from steve murr and nick sussex.Comments like the gfs has outperformed the ecm for a while so i back it to be correct is the wrong way of looking at it I feel. It may be true percentage wise over a period of time however every day is different and any of the so called ' Big Three ' can pick a pattern and eventually the outcome can be close to the mark or nowhere near that's the fun and games or in some cases nightmare of why we keep coming back year in and out.

A lot worse considering the centre is just off the sw of cornwall and with it rapidly developing still as it crosses land the isobars tighten therefore the wind is going to get stronger and stronger. Hope that helps.

Winds picking up now in sw london abd judging by the latest radar so will be the rain soon. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/radar/

Hi Paul, I agree with the warnings wholeheartedly and do not blame the met office one bit as the potential was there first. It's the tv and media that is grating me and their forecasters. What i disagree with is the live coverage of forecasters not stating the truth and that is that it is nowhere near as bad as first feared at all. Yet running and hyping it up and scaring those not in the know so to speak. It's a storm alright. A media circus storm.

Yes hat's off to you're best friend ' Pub run ' for picking up on the downgrade first last night.

Already very windy here in sw london.

Winds already getting up quite a bit here in sw london.

Well one's thing is for sure, It's going to be a very interesting set of mod in the morning whatever the output shows.

Well the latest runs throws a spanner in the works and promises more drama for the overnight runs. Who knows the event happening now with heavy rain and moderate winds could be the main event so to speak. Certainly a interesting sunday ahead!

Nice post WM well put.

Me thinks that you've watched a bit too much of forrest gump.

Well unfortunately people are going to have to work through this i for example finish at 2am but i live 2 hours away so that's 4am ne walking around the streets of south west london lol.

The rail company who i work for have already put out warnings to customers about the liklihood of disruption owing to severe weather on monday. Will try uploading a photo of our passanger screen later on or tomorrow.

= Not good at all.

Not to mention that it has been quite windy over the past few days factored in with the wet weather we have had, let's just say that it may have loosened tree roots and paving the way for the potential storm, you're right in thinking it will not take much to cause severe disruption.