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Eugene

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Everything posted by Eugene

  1. Yep thats my mentality, avoid anything toasty, i enjoyed the past two weeks as it wasn't southerly dominated, now its turning cooler again, that high just had to go if all it was gonna do is bring warm air over us like on GFS runs late last week.
  2. Exactly PM and GFS 12Z further amplifies the cold flow with a very cold WNW'ly flow at times with a snow risk at night almost anywhere, no really cold max's but feeling very chilly esp under showers and once the sun goes down, tiring hearing springlike to describe near average temps, spring to me is calm sunny days with temps of 13C to 15C on a widespread scale.
  3. The coldest spell of winter has passed, warming trend from here on in, all very normal though.
  4. Yeah GFS has been hopeless lately, turning increasingly unsettled from thursday now across almost all model output, GFS's springlike weather for next weekend has now gone with cooler unsettled westerlies, glad to see that high just to our south be pushed southwards allowing cooler PM airmasses to dominate.
  5. You gotta laugh at GFS 18Z T+384 hrs, building a deep cold pool to our northeast and putting northern europe into the freezer just a few days before Spring starts. Spring = The New Winter.
  6. Wow, 1C is cold Terminal, colder than on most days in the arctic northerly here last week, no need to look for cold on the charts, it's here now.
  7. Don't agree at all, it's been a very interesting winter up until the weekend with record amount of users during the many snow events, this week is a nice calm period and pretty chilly, no major warm up on the cards with temps near average and more cold weather next week as pressure rises, this winter has been seasonal for many.
  8. Has been the case this winter any warm spell gets downgraded, temps into the teens been downgraded to average on Sunday and pressure builds next tuesday/wednesday on GFS 00Z.
  9. You'll feel warm even with -15C uppers then, suns strength doesn't depend on airmass.
  10. Well they were showing HP domination just yesterday so they could easily switch back with a slight variation of that theme.
  11. Sorry when almost 20.0C has been reached in mid Feb, 10C isn't staggering at all, also non standardised temp recordings are higher than official recordings esp once the day's lengthen.
  12. Yes lets hope so karyo, i think we have to look to get the most out of poor synoptics, i hope that low on friday digs further and further SE on each run allowing a pressure rise behind, we could see a blocking high to our east.
  13. Well after the latest GFS debacle my confidence in anything that model shows past 5 days has hit rock bottom.
  14. Well easily the worst spell coming up from friday, not bad until then but the prolonged anticyclonic weather has been downgraded, turning very mild and Springlike from next weekend, those who think this winter has been bad haven't seen anything near that bad for cold. Bluearmy why should it be an anticyclonic 10 days or so?
  15. Quite happy with the charts, i see ECM has moved towards an anticyclonic outlook like GFS, not sure why the gloom really, an anticyclonic pattern is long overdue and is much better than mild SW'lys, it will be quite cold under stagnant conditions, it's only February not late March.
  16. Hey GFS 18Z is nothing like ECM 12Z, HP with cooler air filtering in and hopefully clearing the gloom.
  17. I've really enjoyed this winter, hopefully more winters like this to come with just more snow cover.
  18. The grey dross has cleared with colder continental air moving in, clear frosty night ahead.
  19. Exactly, people acting like it's mid March next week and not mid February, when the high moves directly over us and just to east it will be very chilly with a high fog risk which can hang around all day. Also incorrect to talk of wide diurnal temp ranges this early, it's towards the Spring Equinox in mid March when you see these wide ranges like -4C at night to 13C in the afternoon, this won't occur next week as it's too early by about at least 3 to 4 weeks.
  20. GFS 18Z has a quiet spell of anticyclonic weather next week with frosty nights and possible rural valley ice days under fog.
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