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Eugene

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Everything posted by Eugene

  1. Eugene
    Much better JMA 12Z with the high slam bang over us next week with frosty nights and a fog risk, miles better than atlantic westerlies on ECM.
  2. Eugene
    ECM 12Z is a terrible run, back to boring atlantic westerlies and much milder in the south than this week, i am flabbergasted people think it's a good run.
  3. Eugene
    Well spot on for lassie's backyard.
  4. Eugene
    People looking for northerlies on the charts in MOD yet we are in one now and they are moaning, feels really bitter today and you won't get much colder feeling than this. I think they should look for southerlies as they'll never be satisfied with cold.
  5. Eugene
    At least that dreaded word beginning with M won't be used today.
  6. Eugene
    I'm worried about milder air toppling around the high to the NW, much better having the high over us with cold trapped at the surface.
  7. Eugene
    Very cold week ahead after that is FI, models change every day, s4lancia is spot on, also why is everyone acting like ECM has it modelled perfectly.
  8. Eugene
    Yeah back to what i was saying yesterday, some moderation of the deep cold nights of the week ahead likely but still on the chilly side, any breakdown to mild SW'lys seems an eternity away. Can't believe the doom, we are in a blocked setup and the high could retrogress, there is no sign of a wet mild zonal setup which we should all be thankful for.
  9. Eugene
    Oh my, i wouldn't dare tell the world something that embarassing about my childhood.
  10. Eugene
    Like the one today. Cyclonic northerlies don't deliver, too much moderation, as it turns more anticyclonic northerly like tonight onwards we can have some lovely hard frosts.
  11. Eugene
    JMA 12Z as ever has it nailed.
  12. Eugene
    Spot on though the atlantic never gets a look in pushed back really easily, GFS 12Z finishes off very blocked with a large area of HP stretching from eastern/central europe to greenland. Also the last decade is like a drop in the ocean, historically February is a dry month with a higher frequency of anticyclones and quiet weather than any other winter month.
  13. Eugene
    A very sluggish jet on GFS 12Z, looks like as normally happens in February the atlantic loses all strength, don't write off some stellar runs appearing in the week ahead.
  14. Eugene
    Yeah me too, i agree on this run but chiniomaniac said expect the high to be further north when we get there, thursday onwards still has time for adjustments,
  15. Eugene
    HP again building strongly end of the week on GFS 12Z, will take a while to break that down, looking very precarious for the mild zonal camp.
  16. Eugene
    Pretty confident it will stay cold under as SE Blizzard says a cold surface high before retrogression either northeastwards or northwestwards. Can't see it turning SW'ly, February see's the lowest occurance of SW'lys of any winter month. Anyways under an anticyclone at least the word "Marginal" will be put to bed for a while.
  17. Eugene
    Good support for GFS 06Z OP on GFS 06Z ensembles for it turning anticyclonic week 2.
  18. Eugene
    Noticeable improvement on GFS 06Z with HP moving over us next weekend keeping us cold and frosty, i think thats the most likely solution.
  19. Eugene
    Just shows you never write off snow in a cyclonic northerly in peak winter, can't believe some of the comments tonight.
  20. Eugene
    Fantastic post, would sticky it in it's own thread if i was a mod, makes a change from the needless negativety we so often see, ensembles offer plenty of great solutions.
  21. Eugene
    Yeah i noticed a band of precip over central england on friday on GFS 18Z with suppressed temps, hilarious how people are moaning about downgrades next week and miss this.
  22. Eugene
    Lasting into March Tamara? Would love a proper cold block in March.
  23. Eugene
    I'm surprised there isn't more excitement over GFS 12Z, stellar run with a scandy high/atlantic undercut in FI, yes 850's aren't special but you can get away with much lower 850's in a continental setup.
  24. Eugene
    Well the most tastiest bagel i have ever had, this bagel is not to be messed with.
  25. Eugene
    I can, a scandy high - atlantic battle is the most likely evolution IMO.
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