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Eugene

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Everything posted by Eugene

  1. What drives me mad is all these armchair critics who don't have the guts to contribute anything substantial to an internet forum and sit back criticising such minor issues, really does my head in.
  2. Fantastic GFS 00Z upto T+240 hrs, laughable how once we enter low res it completely goes pear shape, that run would definately lead to continental blocking, i think we are looking at a two week cold spell maybe longer.
  3. I think the charts we are are seeing are coming at the right time, next week is February and February traditionally is when the jet quietens down and anticyclones become more dominant, if it was December/most of January its more likely the jet would smash through, it definately feels to me we are entering a quieter drier phase, February on average is one of the driest months of the year.
  4. Yes UKMO 12Z T+144hrs better than GFS 12Z T+144hrs tonight, UKMO doesn't develop the shortwave near greenland like GFS does, lengthier cold spell likely on UKMO.
  5. People are burn't out, they are looking forward to Spring/Summer now.
  6. Yeah i think you should think about moving to another climate, This is winter in the UK, northerners seeing more snow than the south, we've seen a decent amount of frosts this winter, seems you'll never be happy with our temperate winters, if they were cold most years as you want don't you think average temps would reflect this.
  7. No sign of Spring at all here, December and January have been close to average, if those CET's were recorded in April/May they would be the coldest on record, 7C isn't Spring in the UK, it's the winter average max.
  8. Much colder at night, remember maxs are very short lived in the winter, it will feel very cold out of the sun.
  9. JMA is cannon fodder, don't see too much mention of it when its showing cold but the three big aren't, not sure why its even being brought up, it usually isn't.
  10. Yes GEM is a temperamental model, this morning it was the best model for cold, I wonder if Summer Sun pointed this out, not sure wasn't here. GFS 12Z is great almost throughout for me finishing with anticylonic weather, don't care about temps just want a prolonged dry period.
  11. Great post, Good to see someone happy with this winter, December wasn't bad overall, no persistent bartlett high this winter either.
  12. No there are several runs similar but yes not got major support on the GFS ensembles, wonder if the dreaded MLB high just centred to our west could occur around the 4th onwards.
  13. Any chance us cold weather fans could have our own thread dedicated to cold temperature discussion away from snow fans endlessly arguing over marginal uppers, lowers or whatever you want to call it.
  14. You'll be enduring more cold and mainly dry weather in Chelmsford.
  15. Oh My, can't link this chart atm but go and check GFS 12Z T+162 hrs chart, just wonderfully slack in a light northerly flow, would give harsh night frost, fantastic chart for frost fans.
  16. Yeah it seems this winter has had plenty of interest with short milder snaps interspersed with regular cold spells, many times people have written off cold on the charts yet before you know it another cold spell is progged.
  17. Yeah thats how i see it, not sure where people are getting very wet for the south from, thats not what you get from Arctic Northerlies, most people will get beautifully crisp clear blue skies.
  18. In North America yes, here no, no wonder they let you down when you have such high expectations. Models show modified Arctic Maritime Northerlies, max temps for most of england will be 3C to 6C and 0C to -2C mins maybe lower if winds die down.
  19. Well i'm hoping that wind dies down early Feb, when it goes slack temps are much lower at night, friday started off wonderfully cold with no wind.
  20. Yes as ever we need cold with a more continental influence, Arctic maritime will deliver lovely crisp weather but mainly dry, need atlantic approach after initial cold for lasting snow cover like early to mid Feb 2012.
  21. Yeah excellent down here too, excellent wintry conditions in south warwickshire/north gloucestershire border. Question open to anyone, February proper cold spells for southern UK are usually continental whilst December's are more Arctic from the north for the midlands like late Dec 1995, can you name any cold spells in February from the north like late Dec 1995 that gave sub zero maxs with snowcover for the midlands? Bet they harder to find than mid December to mid January.
  22. There will be no big freeze this winter, the depth of cold needed over central europe is not there, still plenty of interest for cold weather fans, there are many of us that enjoy winter and any kind of cold weather not just the very rare and very elusive "Big Freeze".
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