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Eugene

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Everything posted by Eugene

  1. Eugene
    Been cold and very dry here this december, i welcome some decent rainfall, those charts look unpleasantly humid to me something we've had almost all year so definately don't need more, i think the jet will flatten any strong heights to our south anyway like on JMA 12Z, i like that run.
  2. Eugene
    Yep that's how I see it so hopefully we can avoid anything too mild before the pattern possibly changes, unfortunately these heralded pattern changes are prone to further delays one after another and before you know it its late February when most are looking for Spring, can see another exceptionally warm year next year so my advice to coldies is enjoy today and anything in the next month or so before solar output increases.
  3. Eugene
    Pattern looking all too familiar with westerlies dominating, we've been lucky so far with PM dominating but it won't be long until our luck runs out and mild atlantic airmasses start pushing over us.
  4. Eugene
    Yes those toasty 850's don't fool me either, would be as you say frosty with the risk of fog, deep cold is extremely rare this early anyway, may as well have faux cold for now and save the deep cold for late December onwards when it's of some use.
  5. Eugene
    GEM 00Z is fantastic with cold easterlies towards the end, UKMO 00Z at T+144 hrs has potential, just need the azores high to not ridge our way and that approaching atlantic low to dive southeastwards.
  6. Eugene
    Excellent post from Barry95 above with many good points, yes i agree GFS is the most consistent run and when it shows decent blocking charts in the next few days you will have to agree with it.
  7. Eugene
    Yes lets save the true cold for Christmas onwards, annoying how everyone thinks its mild in mid November with average temps and gloomy weather making it feel cold especially after an incredibly warm day just over two weeks ago, seems they have very short memories. Wish we could have a sub zero CET for March but that has never been recorded.
  8. Eugene
    Sorry guys but i don't see a noteworthy cold spell just yet, the cold pool won't be extensive enough over europe and what we'll get is a surface chilly feed but nothing like December 2010, late December onwards is when bonechilling cold usually visits our shores.
  9. Eugene
    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1682.gif - Hot Plume of air next weekend on ECM 12Z, I can bet you though it will not feel anything like it looks
  10. Eugene
    Doesn't equate to anything special 2M temp wise on the ground though and dewpoints aren't anything toasty either, excellent runs for those who want a blocked setup, mild SSE'lys are usually a precursor to something special for cold weather fans down the line
  11. Eugene
    No near average 2M temps actually, might be on the mild side though at night if its cloudy, as Steve Murr says I think ECM 12Z OP is on it's own tonight, I think GFS will be nearer the mark with a mild aloft SE'ly feed for Thursday/Friday with maybe a cold front moving slowly E'wards on Friday/Saturday introducing clearer cooler air from the NW, could stall though and be mild/cloudy but definitely not record breaking or anything that mild(early to mid teens max's)
  12. Eugene
    Yes certainly no sign of anywhere near record breaking 2M temps for end of next week on the GFS 12Z ensembles.
  13. Eugene
    There will be no record breaking warmth for the UK end of the week mark my words, UKMO and GFS don't agree with you at all, the chances are extremely slim and any light southerly will likely produce conditions like today, really give up on the direct southerly warmth until mid February onwards.
  14. Eugene
    Model fatigue just a few weeks after we hit 23.6C, wow that is just incredible if you are correct , I didn't even really start looking for cold until today and am raring to go about the next four months of model watching, the endless warm weather did fatigue me though
  15. Eugene
    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1441.gif A very promising chart by UKMO at T+144 hrs IMHO, definitely not looking too shabby and definitely nothing to be despondent over, any cold shot is a slow evolving process, a light SE'ly drift is great to dry the countryside out and build cold across the continent.
  16. Eugene
    Stronger build of HP to our NW on GFS 12Z for end of next week, very promising developments and hopefully an end to the atlantic driven weather in the week ahead and beyond, seems Steve Murr was way on the ball as usual, think he'll be very optimistic over that run
  17. Eugene
    I would of thought today alot more people will be putting on their heating as it does feel like proper mid November today with stubborn stagnant fog/low cloud and feeling chilly.
  18. Eugene
    BBC again underestimated that's its mid November now and when the wind calms, fog/low cloud is very stubborn and the days can feel chilly like today, i noticed the ramping up the word mild on last nights forecasts, well 15 days ago it was miles warmer feeling, November isn't a freezing cold month even March is colder and Aprils average minima very similar.
  19. Eugene
    Yes nothing remotely cold in the models today in the foreseeable future, if we don't start seeing any remotely cold in the models by December 1st I will be calling this winter already over like I would of done in 1962 as faux cold isn't anything remotely cold.
  20. Eugene
    Speak for yourself damian, everyday this week here apart from Thursday has had long sunny intervals making it feel very springlike with butterflies around.
  21. Eugene
    God it feels like a big weight has been lifted off my shoulders this morning after all that horrid humid weather, so much fresher today, feels just fantastic, please don't ever come back humid weather, today is what it should be like all year round at the very least.
  22. Eugene
    Completely agree, i was delivering yellow pages thursday evening in a t shirt and was sweating buckets, cold weather is much better when you're active.
  23. Eugene
    GFS 12Z is far from a wet run with winds not predominately from the SW for once, puzzled by your post TBH, like Steve Murr says definitely an improvement today for those looking for something not too wet and cool to cold, the week ahead doesn't look overly wet to me.
  24. Eugene
    Sorry if this has been repeated but has anybody got a list of Winter CET's that have been recorded with an OPI figure below -2?
  25. Eugene
    850's nothing to write home about next week and ECM 12Z not as good as some say with strengthening mild SW'ly winds at T+240 hrs, we look a million miles away from anything properly cold, the British Isles seems to attract mild 850's like there is no tomorrow.
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