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Neilsouth

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Everything posted by Neilsouth

  1. Neilsouth
    Doubtful... I expect people are seeing blue too much. This really depends on what this low pressure system does, we have been here many many times before and the direction hardly ever favours the uk except in rare occasions
  2. Neilsouth
    BANG BANG BANG BANG BANG All **** night with neighbours who were too lazy to shut a gate properly. I was tempted to do it by myself but that meant walking up an alley, getting soaked for someone else's lazyness
  3. Neilsouth
    Which is what I said would happen, it happens time and time again! Why I don't know This is looking like another mid/northern affair, I feel for you southerners
  4. Neilsouth
    NICE! Does he have a cold?
  5. Neilsouth
    Something most people haven't realised is the models tend to overdo the uppers, on many occasions deep 850's such as these have been pushed further away from our shores back across europe nearer the time. Sometimes we've expected -10 and got -4 instead
  6. Neilsouth
    I can't remember that many convective snow showers from uppers of -2, many great falls have been between -8 and -10. Unless you want a sleety north sea mix
  7. Neilsouth
    This! And -5 uppers isn't that good, -10 gives a more accurate telling for snowfall
  8. Neilsouth
    But Steve how many times has this been shown on the models in previous spells, it very rarely happens. At most it moves off to the east, or fills in situ. I just don't see that happening tbh. Look what happened last time! Low pressure forecasted to dive into france, instead it moved to the east and it rained
  9. Neilsouth
    That's exactly what I was looking at, apart from the GFS (Even that looks iffy) I don't see next week as a particularity great cold spell, it's either way to slack or with a low pressure system slap bang over us and south westerly winds
  10. Neilsouth
    I saw the same and its not just that forecast either but they have also mentioned it on twitter with model'd charts
  11. Neilsouth
    Maybe, but everything is way to slack allowing milder air to intermix... Can't see all the excitement personally! Would rather have a siberian high pushing deep cold air in from the north east
  12. Neilsouth
    BBC Forecasts going for coldest spell in two years? Possibly following the models then
  13. Neilsouth
    That's the problem living in this part of the country, we rely on north easterlies really and -10 850's. From what I've seen of the models it looks pretty slack to me, with not much chance for streamers!
  14. Neilsouth
    Looking good so far, this happened in some pretty decent previous winters, correct?
  15. Neilsouth
  16. Neilsouth
    Out of all these years of model watching, this winter is turning out to be the worst. At one point every model was giving a different outcome! Thankfully I don't put much faith in them anymore, including the met's
  17. Neilsouth
    For decent streamers I tend to look for -10 850's
  18. Neilsouth
    Rained in Canterbury
  19. Neilsouth
    Where's this kent streamer then? Been dry all day
  20. Neilsouth
    Nice one thanks
  21. Neilsouth
    Hi Fergie.... I notice some have been looking at models re: possible snow accumulations Saturday night/Sunday into EA/SE. Is this regarding back edge showers or streamers in from the North Sea? Thanks
  22. Neilsouth
    I've seen some forecasts on netweather regarding snow showers saturday night into south east england, but nothing on the beeb.... Any updates on this?
  23. Neilsouth
    Hi Nick F, Merry Christmas to you No sign of snow showers on the latest national forecast re:SE Saturday-Sunday. What time are you expecting these to filter in? Any models to show this? Thank you
  24. Neilsouth
    When does the GFS retire and become the new model? Is it next year
  25. Neilsouth
    Great! Thanks Daniel, still some time to go though, lots of changes after the big day
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