Evening thunder

Already -0.7c back at home. Wonder how low it will go before the cloud comes in and the breeze picks up, if it was going to stay clear and calm all night we'd probably be looking at -4c or -5c. Cold up here of uni but not sure of the exact temp. Been a very nice day though (though I may be more in the SE thread's area).

I thought certain newspaper headlines/stories on the weather couldn't get any more ridiculous... I was wrong.

Nice satellite images at the moment, the UK stands out pretty well with some snow visible on mountains of the north: http://www.sat24.com/ Temp dropped to 2.7c at home last night (though not the coldest this Autumn), and probably about 3c up here. Now a very nice Autumns day with the temperature around 8c, and up to 10c back in Devon.

Saw this yesterday morning and was going to post it, pretty impressive. I have a friend who's house is just back from the sea front (although he's actually doing a term abroad in Finland at the moment) I stayed in one of the hotels along the seafront in March 2012. Often can't beat the coast for dramatic weather scenes at this time of year

Alternatively turn the Thermohaline Circulation off Hello Younger Dryas..

Just 5mph winds at home, 10 minute gust is 10mph lol... even though Exeter Airport has a 23mph average and Portland is gusting 56mph. My anemometer and house is open to the WSW but for some reason we often don't do very well with winds from that direction. However up here in north Surrey there were some quite noisy gusts when I was out earlier. 30-40mph easily though nothing too out of the ordinary.

Now just 5mph gusting 11mph at home lol.. Even when Exeter Airport is averaging 23mph and Portland is gusting 56mph. Meanwhile up here in surrey there was some quite noisy gusts when out earlier.

Down to 9mph gusting 17mph at home lol. If some showers hit later it could get more gusty as stronger winds slightly higher up are brought into the valley more.

Wind is a bit rubbish at home considering what other places have, average 12mph with the 10 minute gust being 23mph lol. Top gust today is 32mph. My anemometer is open to the SW and West, though presumably some shelter from Dartmoor as well as local topography and me being in a N-S orientated valley means we don't get strong SW winds so much. S-SE and NW winds would be stronger at home.

Quite agree. Sorry just seen too many comments thinking it is so may have been too quick to post that, the last two sections of my post weren't aimed at you just general comments in reply to other posts on here

The reason's simple, the warning states locally around 70mph along exposed coasts, so they/the models presumably underestimated the strength of the winds (assuming it's not just at ultra exposed sites, compare to 99mph at the Needles on Monday). I agree they could update to amber now perhaps, but they don't seem quick with updates. They are only human and make mistakes too (anyway if they did issue a flash amber warning now they might get a different wave of criticism saying what's the point of issuing a warning when it's already happened! can't win lol). I just hope the people making comments today are none of the same ones saying the warnings for Monday were overhyped and saying that was quite a normal thing for the north and west, that'd be a bit ironic lol.

Not that windy at home, average 13mph with the 10 minute gust being 25mph lol. Max gust today is 32mph. My anemometer is quite open to the SW but we don't really get strong winds from that direction due probably to some sheltering by Dartmoor, and local topography downstream with my stating being in a N-S oriented valley. This is quite impressive, though not quite as strong as St Judes still imo. That had 99mph gusts on a high up exposed coastal headland, where as this has produced 84mph on a similar headland. What I do find a bit odd is people north of the area affected storm on Monday and where it was forecast, using that to say this event is stronger than Mondays low. If I was the MetO I may consider a amber warning, not sure, though if there are insufficient warnings now it is due to the models under predicting the winds, not them deciding to ignore the effected areas..

66 gusting 84mph at Mumbles Head! Dropped back a bit at 'Buoy 62023' now which I assume is the same one as Kinsale Energy which was reported earlier, as it was reporting 75 knots/86mph gusts. I notice it always seems report higher than others and be the one to watch though, not sure if the anemometer above the standard 10m above sea level Some webcams from Swansea Bay and the Gower here http://www.gowerlive.co.uk/ They do look a bit stormy, people keep changing the view but quite a few surfers out at Langland despite hurricane force gusts on the headlands with Mumbles head just up the road. I presume there must be some shelter in the bay there.

That is quite interesting, I have to guesstimate here not having a rain gauge or a good place to put one so thanks for that. I was thinking it seemed quite wet with a higher frequency of heavier rain (and a couple storms) making it here than normal.

I don't think this low/storm is going to be as strong or newsworthy as early on Monday. More widespread, but that doesn't make Mondays event weaker for the parts it hit. Forecasts gusts are more like 60mph to perhaps locally 70mph on exposed coasts, and more like 45-55mph inland. This compares to 80mph inland gusts which occurred in places on Monday. I'm not sure there's as much of a north/south bias as some think, I remember a lot of media attention/hype over Ex Hurricane Katia that effected northern areas mainly, and that was slightly weaker than the southern event last Monday, with the top gust recorded anywhere being 81mph. Of course the Met Office haven't issued a warning for the media to pick up on, although much of the media hype about Mondays event was hardly sensible.I think the Met played it quite well personally. This event maybe worthy of a yellow warning perhaps, though nothing more atm in my opinion.Edited to correct position of 'atm'

I'm confused unless there was a mistake? the post just talking about the weather and hoping for interesting weather this weekend has gone though the rather abrupt reply with personal remarks remains Anyhow October was a pretty wet month at home, my Davis recorded 172.4mm of rain, though other areas not too far away e.g Dawlish recorded over 200mm, and stations on the eastern side of Dartmoor closer to 300mm with one at Haytor getting over 345.7mm. Definitely a wet month, wetter than any month last year for one or two locations, though coming after a dry summer and with no exceptional falls I haven't heard about too many flooding problems. The area could probably do without a run of very wet through winter months leading to similar conditions to last year.

When trying to upload photos I get an error on many of them saying: No file was selected for upload though others work fine. I think it happens when the size is over 8 MB (but under the 10MB limit stated) as a few photos between 7 and 8MB work and photos 8-9MB don't.

Also I think he was referring to what the St Judes storm brought to his location. His top gust was 47mph, not exactly going to tear the roof off peoples homes or cause mass disruption and death.

Am I the only one that finds the kind of output on the ECM interesting? It does briefly risk turning more boring with a Euro high close to the south threatening to cut off the more interesting/changeable weather and turn to a more constant mild flow/Bartlett type set up without much weather, but that doesn't happen and by 240 it's looking rather interesting again with stormy weather over Scotland a storm winding up to our west of course unlikely to verify at that time frame, but looks like plenty of weather to come. I would prefer this to any cloudy cold spell though I would like a few frosts sometime soon, but not too bothered if I have to wait until later for decent cold as long as the weather keeps me entertained in the mean time.

Yeah I know/agree about the Needles station is extra exposed, though as you say it was a good blow even for some inland areas esp with trees in leaf. Yeovilton had 48mph gusting to 75mph, Lyneham 77mph, and Odiham and Andrewsfield both recorded a 79mph gust. These are true inland stations too. I think the Met Office did a good job and weren't sucked in by low res GFS output, it was right to issue amber warnings (although perhaps extended a bit too far N/W, but the system could have been) imagine what would have been said if there were no warnings and then we got 80mph inland gusts with numerous trees down over tracks, roads, and the loss of life (which probably would have been greater). I just don't understand why anyone would be swimming. (Watching the sea yes, there's a place good for watching the sea at home where the risk of trees falling on my car or me even being blown away will stop me before the sea ever reached there), but swimming, surely not?

Sky seem to have been rather OTT and become like the Express for this event. Though it's still been pretty windy here and notable, as shown by half a tree down next to the back garden (it has, or had 2 trunks that came out the ground, now it has 1) Gusts more in line with what the Met Office were forecasting here I think. Average 45mph gust 64mph at Northolt I notice

Some pretty impressive winds/gusts for here, and just noticed half the tree in our back garden has come down! :O

Oops! haha Meant the sound of it blowing around/over the roof, It hasn't reached that stage yet and hopefully wont! haven't heard much unusual for the last 10 mins or so actually, I think the strongest may still be to come looking at what Yeovilton got at 5am.

Pretty windy here, was woken up by a gust blowing over the house Yeovilton reporting sustained 48mph gusting 68mph at 4:50, and as posted above the Met Office show they had a gust of 75mph reported in the 5am observation! That's notable for inland. Gust of 81mph on Portland, looking at xcweather.

Not so sure myself, even the GFS gust charts show around 60mph gusts here, and I'm not exactly near the coast being near Heathrow. Some people seem to have been determined that nothing would happen from this system since it first started being forecast. There will be reasons for the Met Office's thoughts (some of which already posted previously). Will they be right, I don't know until later. I can't remember a system causing this much uncertainty this close before, definitely a finely balanced situation.