Nick L
-
Posts
22,786 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
41
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by Nick L
-
Model Output Discussion - Tuesday 20:25 -->
Nick L replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Add this to your favourites: http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/25253-daily-chart-timetable/ -
Edit: Just read your explanation
-
I imagine that Helen and Rob McElwee have both been tied to a chair in a dark room until the mild weather resumes!
-
When the Metcheck forecasts next update based on the 06z GFS run, I think they will change for the better!
-
Wouldn't take much notice of Metcheck's forecasts. They are based solely on the GFS runs and take very little else into account.
-
Didn't he get something catastrophically wrong last year regarding a cold spell? I could have sworn he did. But for some form of cold and snowy spell not to occur now it would have to be the biggest model backtrack in internet history, or at the very least be up there with the worst disappointments.
-
I'm dreaming, of a whiiiite Christmas.... http://charts.netweather.tv/gfsimages/gfs.20091209/06/384/uksnowrisk.png I know it is at the darkest depths of FI, but is still fun to look at I hope Copenhagen gets absolutely pasted for the climate change conference, looking forward to the news reports... "Here we are in Copenhagen, where it is -5c, blowing a gale and throwing it down with snow...now onto global warming" :blink:
-
Ok that put my fears at rest, only a complete amateur so your comments are appreciated!
-
We never seem to get the cold air on this run, a tad worrying?
-
Exactly, if we can't have snow then I would very happily take that!
-
I think this cold spell might be coming too soon for a White Christmas!
-
I am looking forward to the Met Office outlook update today. It nearly always sits on the fence, but yesterday showed the first signs of agreeing with next weeks cold spell, let's hope it jumps off the fence completely today!
-
Model Output Discussion - Tuesday 20:25 -->
Nick L replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
When does the parallel run become the main GFS run? -
Model Output Discussion - Tuesday 20:25 -->
Nick L replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We only get cold uppers for 48 hours at best. This really doesn't have a great deal of snow potential at all. Cold and damp yes, cold and snowy no. -
Looks pretty good to me as well at +144! http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/run/UW144-21.GIF?08-19
-
UKMO +120 isn't half bad either, at least it is still playing ball http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/run/UW120-21.GIF?08-19
-
That's snow I think The ECM will be out before the UKMO at this rate!
-
The thing is, we are always told to compare the same runs (18z and 18z, 12z and 12z etc.) and therefore any improvement on last night's 18z is a good thing surely?
-
Cheers OP [img]http://forum.netweather.tv/public/style_emoticons/default/good.gif[/img]
-
Model Output Discussion - Sunday 20:35--->
Nick L replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The ECM is pretty crucial tonight. If it sticks to its guns then I think the ECM is most likely to be right as we have seen so many times in the past. -
Just make sure you get in there before the Daily Express hears about it...
-
Put a tenner on that and you could get quite a nice Christmas present
-
Wow, on that list on the 6th of Feb, the exact place I was staying on the Geography trip is mentioned (Nettlecombe!). Says 30cm, but I thought it was around 20cm.
-
Right, the GFS model runs 4 times a day. They are the 00z, 06z, 12z and 18z which start to be released at 3.30am, 9.30am, 3.30pm and 9.30pm respectively. The 18z is known as the "pub run" because of the time it is released and it's tendancy to show some insanely extreme charts on occasion. Hope that helps
-
Model Output Discussion - Sunday 20:35--->
Nick L replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I am liking this very much, just look at what is sinking south http://212.100.247.145/viewimage.pbx?type=gfs;date=20091207;time=12;ext=162;file=h500slp;sess=a73a4d3486af94db93e582a017b916f9; http://212.100.247.145/viewimage.pbx?type=gfs;date=20091207;time=12;ext=162;file=h850t850eu;sess=a73a4d3486af94db93e582a017b916f9;
